It’s no secret what Hoffman is or what his loss means to the Senators. So let’s look at Boedker for a minute. The Sharks signed him to a four year deal with an AAV of $4-million in 2016. The deal was kind of laughed at when it was signed because there wasn’t a lot of evidence that Boedker was a useful hockey player.
Boedker put up one of the emptiest 50+ point seasons in NHL history in his walk year on the back of nearly four minutes per night in 5-on-4 time, the 15th highest 5-on-4 TOI/G of the post-Lockout III era. He barely crested 3.0 points per 60, which is terrible but played enough to pile up the counting numbers. That summer San Jose inexplicably paid him. He started accumulating healthy scratches in the first year of his deal, which is hard to do, given that healthy scratches make the GM look bad.
His possession numbers are historically abysmal — the only time he’s put up a positive relative possession number since 2011-12 was in his brief stint with Patrick Roy’s Colorado Avalanche in 2015-16. His relative Corsi% was a stunning -5.1 per cent last year. That’s not just a result of being on a bad line either — Boedker spent most of his time in the middle six and both lines did better from a possession perspective when he wasn’t around. He was able to keep his head above water last year by virtue of a hot shooting percentage run but over the course of his career, there’s no evidence that he’s one of the players who can succeed that way.
So all of this looks bad. And then, shortly after the San Jose-Ottawa trade is announced, the dagger: San Jose flips Hoffman to Florida for draft picks. A lot of concerning things flow from this. Did Ottawa want Boedker? It kind of seems like they did. Which is ludicrous, given where Ottawa’s at. I’ve seen some suggestion that maybe the Senators liked Boedker’s contract from the perspective of needing to get to the cap floor but that doesn’t really make sense. The league is awash in bad contracts that teams would happily move along. No team needs to forego draft picks in order to get a contract to hit the floor. Worse comes to worst, overpay someone for one year in free agency.
Anyone can get a player wrong but what’s really bad is that it just seems like the Senators are way out of their depth in terms of operating an NHL team.
Of course, then you run into the question of whether Ottawa would have even perceived the picks on offer from Florida to be a better package. According to Panthers GM Dale Tallon, when he was talking to Ottawa about Hoffman, they wanted players, not picks. Given that that’s what they ultimately accepted from San Jose, that seems to check out. That suggests a much bigger problem than any one trade: they don’t understand where they’re at or what will help them get out of it.