Nate Silver just tweeted that this is shaping up to be an awfully nice night for Bernie. He didn't say why, but I'm guessing it's because the two moderates gaining momentum here are the two with zero support from minority voters.This is bad for Bernie, right? Shouldn’t Sanders be pulling way more than 28% in NH. This reads to me like moderate Dems are out in force.
Nobody is going to be pulling away with 5 major candidates still.This is bad for Bernie, right? Shouldn’t Sanders be pulling way more than 28% in NH. This reads to me like moderate Dems are out in force.
Yep, and Warren appears to be toast. She's under 10% and her home state borders NH.Nate Silver just tweeted that this is shaping up to be an awfully nice night for Bernie. He didn't say why, but I'm guessing it's because the two moderates gaining momentum here are the two with zero support from minority voters.
Will they be chasing his 1% of the vote?Going WAY out on a limb here and predicting the other candidates will be singing Yangs praises tonight.
Probably not Biden, but the others yes.Will they be chasing his 1% of the vote?
Yep - there's still some big question marks about Pete and Amy with minorities. I'm happy though because my top 3 candidates are Bernie, Pete and Amy. Time for Steyer, Bennett and Gabbard to follow Yang out the door.Nate Silver just tweeted that this is shaping up to be an awfully nice night for Bernie. He didn't say why, but I'm guessing it's because the two moderates gaining momentum here are the two with zero support from minority voters.
Moderates like Amy, Mayor Pete, Biden and Bloomberg will continue to split that vote. Bernie's more progressive opponent Warren is having a very bad night.Yep, and Warren appears to be toast. She's under 10% and her home state borders NH.
holy ballsIs there a Republican primary thread? Bill Weld is at 12% of the votes so far.
Yeah but if things continue in this route, none of the Steyer, Biden, Yang, etc... people are going to Bernie. I’m not totally sure he’d sweep the Warren people considering their exchange after the debate a few weeks back.Nobody is going to be pulling away with 5 major candidates still.
According to today's Morning Consult national poll, a plurality of Biden supporters list Bernie as their second choice.Yeah but if things continue in this route, none of the Steyer, Biden, Yang, etc... people are going to Bernie. I’m not totally sure he’d sweep the Warren people considering their exchange after the debate a few weeks back.
Is Iowa still counting?LOL at 32% of the votes have been counted 37 minutes after the closing time.
I'm not sure what Steyer fans are looking for but I could see Yang supporters going to Bernie, especially if it's younger people. I get the impression that Biden supporters will vote for whoever the DNC pushes.Yeah but if things continue in this route, none of the Steyer, Biden, Yang, etc... people are going to Bernie. I’m not totally sure he’d sweep the Warren people considering their exchange after the debate a few weeks back.
Totally agree. I said last week I felt that whole private convo thing was a final straw and a permanent schism between those two bases. Some will go back, but it will be significantly fewer than if it hadn't happened.Yeah but if things continue in this route, none of the Steyer, Biden, Yang, etc... people are going to Bernie. I’m not totally sure he’d sweep the Warren people considering their exchange after the debate a few weeks back.
This kind of thing is why you really can't just add up the "progressive" numbers and the "moderate" voters and compare them when there are so many people. Too hard to predict how things change as the choices disappear.According to today's Morning Consult national poll, a plurality of Biden supporters list Bernie as their second choice.
I’ll believe it when I see it.According to today's Morning Consult national poll, a plurality of Biden supporters list Bernie as their second choice.
Maybe so. DNC will push a moderate. They want to win and they’re not going to hitch their wagon to a guy who’s nearly 80 and just had a heart attack.I'm not sure what Steyer fans are looking for but I could see Yang supporters going to Bernie, especially if it's younger people. I get the impression that Biden supporters will vote for whoever the DNC pushes.
The thing Bernie should be concerned about is that Warren’s bad night isn’t resulting in a bigger lead for him. Them only combining for 40% in a neighboring state isn’t great.Moderates like Amy, Mayor Pete, Biden and Bloomberg will continue to split that vote. Bernie's more progressive opponent Warren is having a very bad night.
I'd absolutely find him a role in my admin.There goes Yang and my grand a month.
I do hope the guy sticks in the game and advocates for something. He’ll more likely go make a boatload of money somewhere doing smart stuff.
This was the error establishment Republicans made about the "anti-Trump" vote in the 2016 primaries.This kind of thing is why you really can't just add up the "progressive" numbers and the "moderate" voters and compare them when there are so many people. Too hard to predict how things change as the choices disappear.
Most of those people also listed him as their first choice.According to today's Morning Consult national poll, a plurality of Biden supporters list Bernie as their second choice.
SANDERS SUPPORTERS
Warren 29%
Biden 23%
Yang 12%
BIDEN SUPPORTERS
Sanders 28%
Bloomberg 23%
Warren 16%
BLOOMBERG SUPPORTERS
Biden 30%
Sanders 17%
Buttigieg 17%
Warren 12%
BUTTIGIEG SUPPORTERS
Bloomberg 20%
Biden 19%
Sanders 17%
Warren 17%
WARREN SUPPORTERS
Sanders 35%
Biden 17%
Buttigieg 14%
I think that's why there were folks who wanted to vote for Bernie but then voted for Trump. They just showed the non-college degree white voting and it went heavily for Bernie - I think Bernie and Trump appeal to similar people - ones who hate politicians and see them all as weasels. They just want something different.This was the error establishment Republicans made about the "anti-Trump" vote in the 2016 primaries.
Kornacki just showed exit poll data stating 51% of those who said they were undecided last week went Pete or Amy. Bernie only got 16. The undecided pool reportedly represented half of the vote.The thing Bernie should be concerned about is that Warren’s bad night isn’t resulting in a bigger lead for him. Them only combining for 40% in a neighboring state isn’t great.
Oh, he is, he just doesn't know it yet.Biden to speak from SC
He's not dropping out
Makes sense. Sanders is a pretty known quantity at this point, the other two have been relatively obscure. Someone undecided at this point had already figured out Bernie wasn't their first choice, but not necessarily who their first choice was.Kornacki just showed exit poll data stating 51% of those who said they were undecided last week went Pete or Amy. Bernie only got 16. The undecided pool reportedly represented half of the vote.
And that's also why I think it may be a mistake for the GOP to push Bernie - I could see folks being just as surprised about President Sanders as folks were about waking up to a President Trump.I think that's why there were folks who wanted to vote for Bernie but then voted for Trump. They just showed the non-college degree white voting and it went heavily for Bernie - I think Bernie and Trump appeal to similar people - ones who hate politicians and see them all as weasels. They just want something different.
Why now, he was was supposed to be doing good in SCSteyer is suspending his campaign as well. Dropping like flies now.
He ran out of argyle ties.Why now, he was was supposed to be doing good in SC
Bloomberg lurks. Warren should drop out now for the good of the party. Peter can quit after the next couple states.Looks like a three horse race.
I’m seeing this isn’t true and the campaign is denying it.Steyer is suspending his campaign as well. Dropping like flies now.
Some polls had him in 2ndWhy now, he was was supposed to be doing good in SC
Thanks - unfollowing the person who tweeted that.I’m seeing this isn’t true and the campaign is denying it.
From Mayor Pete:Going WAY out on a limb here and predicting the other candidates will be singing Yangs praises tonight.
For NH its only Bernie,Pete and Amy. And we probably all could pick the trifecta.Bloomberg lurks. Warren should drop out now for the good of the party. Peter can quit after the next couple states.
Begging for an endorsement.From Mayor Pete:
.
@AndrewYang started out unknown, but went on to make a big impact with his campaign built on preparing for America’s future. Andrew, we’ll miss you and the #YangGang on the trail, but I can’t wait to work together to help prepare America for the challenges ahead.