kind of a shame that Maddux's season where he challenged Gibby's 1.12 (and Maddux himself) is being somewhat lost in time. Koufax's '64 & '65 were the conquering of a gift no one thought would be harnessed, Gibby's '68 a Triumph of inner fire, Doc's a showcase of prodigy, Pedro's of sass, but Maddux did his crowning achievement as a servant to perfection, the ultimate student of repeatability. And that's the quest - birdie or better on every hole, no matter what one's natural talents, n'est ce pas?
1994-95 was pretty amazing - back to back unanimous CYA.
Top 5 ERA seasons in the expansion era 1961-present:
Bob Gibson 1.12 (1968)
Dwight Gooden 1.53 (1985)
Greg Maddux 1.56 (1994)
Luis Tiant 1.60 (1968)
Greg Maddux 1.63 (1995)
Pedro’s 1.74 ‘00 is 11th, deGrom 1.70 ‘18 is 8th
Fielding Independent Pitching
3 color photos / 21 B&W says a lot - all the dead ball patchers racked them up between 1904-1910
Mathewson & W. Johnson - top 2, 4 of the top 11, super impressive - but how to account for the era? Maybe ERA- since that measures performance relative to league average? IDK
Pedro ‘99 3rd, Doc ‘84 14th, Gibson ‘68 19th Kershaw ‘14 25th
Expansion era FIP (1961-2019)
13. Luis Tiant 2.04 ‘68
12. Steve Carlton 2.01 ‘72
11. Matt Harvey 2.01 ‘13
10. Clayton Kershaw 1.991 ‘15
9. Jacob deGrom 1.985 ‘18
8. Chris Sale 1.98 ‘18 **
7. Tom Seaver 1.931 ‘71
6. Sandy Koufax 1.927 ‘65
5. Sandy Koufax 1.852 ‘63
4. Clayton Kershaw 1.811 ’14
3. Bob Gibson 1.775 ‘68
2. Dwight Gooden 1.685 ‘84
1. Pedro Martinez 1.395 ’99
** injury shortened - DNQ min 162 pitched 158
Maddux led the NL in FIP 4 straight seasons, best were ‘94-‘95 2.39 & 2.26. I also looked at Blue (1.76 ‘71), Guidry (1.74 ‘78), Ryan (1.69 ‘81), all were higher then The Professor.
FIP is similar to ERA, but it focuses solely on the events a pitcher has the most control over -- strikeouts, unintentional walks, hit-by-pitches and home runs. It entirely removes results on balls hit into the field of play. The formula is (13*HR+3*(HBP+BB)-2*K)/IP, plus a constant (usually around 3.2) to put it on the same scale as earned run average.
FIP was developed because BAIP has wild fluctuations for the same pitcher year over year. What it tells us is how a pitcher fared on events that were close to 100 percent in his control. Since we know that factors like luck and defense play into ERA, it’s valuable to know how a pitcher does in terms of events for which he’s solely responsible.
Adjusted ERA+
of the 24 avatars on my phone the majority are from the steroids era
W. Johnson 2 of the top 9
Pedro #2, T9, 18th
Maddux 4th & 5th
The other 3 in front of Gibson ‘68 at 7th are prewar. Pre WWI that is. Gooden 12th. Scumbag Roger checking in at 13 & 16. Expansion era pitchers are 7 of the top 16 and 13 of the top 24.
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ETA: Carlton ‘72 (182) is T97, behind all the aforementioned + 2 from Koufax, 2 from Greinke, 3 from Cheat-code Clemens, 3 from Kershaw, 4 from Maddox, 5 from the Big Unit, 6 from Pedro, Gibson & Tiant ‘68, Blue, Seaver & Wilbur freaking Wood ‘71, Guidry ‘78, Gooden ‘85, Kluber ‘17, deGrom ‘18, Cole ‘19. 45 seasons from the expansion era, 43 after the mound was lowered.
Carlton is King of WAR - his 12.2 is the highest since the dead ball era.
27-10 on a 59 win team is incredible, and 1.97 ERA is great under any circumstances. 310 Ks, 346 IP - very impressive (though not an extreme outlier for power pitching heavy period.)
But In Carlton’s 41 starts the Phillies averaged 3.8 r/g. That was almost League average (3.9) and significantly better than the teams 3.2 for the year. For games he didn’t start, it was 3.0.
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ERA+ adjusts a pitcher's earned run average (ERA) according to the pitcher's ballpark (in case the ballpark favors batters or pitchers) and the ERA of the pitcher's league. ERA+ is similar to ERA- because both are measuring a pitcher in comparison to league average, but ERA+ tells you how much better or worse the rest of the league was. Formula is 100*[lgERA/ERA] Adjusted to the player’s ballpark(s). For example, Pedro’s ‘00 was 291 or 191% better than league average after adjusting for Fenway Park.
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