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2021 College football thread - Auburn’s gotta Auburn. (1 Viewer)

Just a gentle reminder we have Tuesday Night MACtion tonight!

Ball State at Akron | 7 p.m. | CBSSN
Miami (Ohio) at Ohio | 7:30 p.m. | ESPNU
Eastern Michigan at Toledo | 7:30 p.m. | ESPN2

 
I thought the Monkey biting the kid would be the most silly thing in CFB this week.  I was wrong.  LoL. Once the Bearcats join the Big 12 the committee will respect them more by going undefeated and ranking them 8th.

 
The #CFBPlayoff committee on why 1 loss Alabama is #2 and AP #2 Cincinnati is #6:

“We like Cincinnati, but Alabama has a quality road loss to an SEC team. Cincinnati doesn’t have any quality losses. Neither does Michigan State or Oklahoma. That’s why we felt Alabama was #2.” 

 
The #CFBPlayoff committee on why 1 loss Alabama is #2 and AP #2 Cincinnati is #6:

“We like Cincinnati, but Alabama has a quality road loss to an SEC team. Cincinnati doesn’t have any quality losses. Neither does Michigan State or Oklahoma. That’s why we felt Alabama was #2.” 
:blink:

 
@BradPowers7

Projected CFB Playoff Semifinal spreads:

#1 Georgia -17.5 #4 Oregon

#2 Alabama -18.5 #3 Michigan St

Fun stuff.

 
UTSA not being ranked is another head-scratcher. Not sure how you can put Miss St in the teens and leave the Roadrunners out entirely. 

 
It certainly ignites expansion talk
I didn’t mean to quote this and can’t get rid of it. 

The #CFBPlayoff committee on why 1 loss Alabama is #2 and AP #2 Cincinnati is #6:

“We like Cincinnati, but Alabama has a quality road loss to an SEC team. Cincinnati doesn’t have any quality losses. Neither does Michigan State or Oklahoma. That’s why we felt Alabama was #2.” 
when we flip to the SEC in a few years, are you going to immediately take the other side of this argument or are you going to give it a few years and ease into it? 

 
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MSU has a tough row to hoe but I think Tuck will have them ready. His PC yesterday was laser focused on the task at hand. 


I am a Ducks fan and have no illusions they'd get anything but trucked against UGA or Bama.  But I thought Ohio State would kill them in September and was thrilled to be wrong.  All of that to say....I am rooting for Sparty to take the B1G and make it to the playoffs with Oregon and Cincy....and SOMEONE to give UGA a game.

[I want UGA to beat Bama by 100 in the SEC championship.]

 
The #CFBPlayoff committee on why 1 loss Alabama is #2 and AP #2 Cincinnati is #6:

“We like Cincinnati, but Alabama has a quality road loss to an SEC team. Cincinnati doesn’t have any quality losses. Neither does Michigan State or Oklahoma. That’s why we felt Alabama was #2.” 
when we flip to the SEC in a few years, are you going to immediately take the other side of this argument or are you going to give it a few years and ease into it? 


"SEC!  SEC!  SEC!"  :puke:

 
I am a Ducks fan and have no illusions they'd get anything but trucked against UGA or Bama.  But I thought Ohio State would kill them in September and was thrilled to be wrong.  All of that to say....I am rooting for Sparty to take the B1G and make it to the playoffs with Oregon and Cincy....and SOMEONE to give UGA a game.

[I want UGA to beat Bama by 100 in the SEC championship.]
Sounds good to me :thumbup:

 
when we flip to the SEC in a few years, are you going to immediately take the other side of this argument or are you going to give it a few years and ease into it? 
It’ll be a 12-team playoff with 3-4 SEC possible slots…so the arguments may be quieter…or louder?

 
To the game, yes.  Early enough to get my "Capella can't make teh juice llo" poster on the air?  You'll have to wait and see.


I'd prefer you holding up a poster-sized picture of GM playing flag football.  No caption at all.
I fail to see why this needs to be an either/or situation.  Get it done shuke!  I'll pony up the first $20 for the kinkos gift card :thumbup:  

 
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Anyone care to hazard a playoff guess?

-Georgia

-OU

-Michigan ( Because someone has to win the Big10)

-Alabama


Georgia

Ohio State

Oregon

Cincinnati


UGA

OU

Penn St

Cincinnati

UGA vs Penn St in the Championship

UGA wins their two games by a combined score of 3497237 - 2


I am surprised people think Cincinnati will make it. I'll be really surprised if that happens.

This is NOT a comment on whether they deserve to make it.


I will but if you think Oregon is playoff worthy, I just don't think you're watching the same team I am.  The team's best RB is done for the year, the defense has been decimated by injuries and the QB play is, well, not very good.  It's certainly not consistent.  Do you think Anthony Brown is a playoff caliber QB?  I sure don't.  Plus, the Pac12 is a horrendous conference, no team from this group of schools has any business being in the playoff discussion.

I'll just echo Stewart Mandel with my prediction since he's paid to do this:

1. Georgia vs 4 Cincy
2. OU vs 3. Michigan State*

*This could be Iowa, Michigan or my bet to come out of this Big10 - Ohio State.  


Oregon has a shot bc of that dominant road win at Ohio. That’s going to be the most impressive win any contender has this year by a substantial amount. They obviously have to win out, doubt they do, but if so I’d suspect they are in. 
Bump for original predictions.  Cincinnati needs help but they still are in a good position.  I think the committee did a great job actually.

 
Yeah, I still don't think Oregon is a playoff caliber team.  Will be happy to be wrong, though I would also rather not watch Georgia kick Oregon's teeth in either.

 
The fivethirtyeight.com predictor is kinda fun to play with but right now it won't let me pick UGA, OU, Cincy, Oregon and OSU to all win out (even though none play each other AFAIK). 

 
Bump for original predictions.  Cincinnati needs help but they still are in a good position.  I think the committee did a great job actually.


Seems like they need a lot to happen. 

They need ORE and the winner of MSU/OSU to lose. And Oklahoma to lose. And maybe the loser of MSU/OSU.

And what if Wake wins out? Could easily see them jumping Cincinnati.

 
The fivethirtyeight.com predictor is kinda fun to play with but right now it won't let me pick UGA, OU, Cincy, Oregon and OSU to all win out (even though none play each other AFAIK). 
I think it has to do with the statistical probability of something happening.

I put in Wake running the table; 538 says they're a 98% shot of making the playoffs.  Cincy could win out and only has a 23% chance.

 
I think it has to do with the statistical probability of something happening.

I put in Wake running the table; 538 says they're a 98% shot of making the playoffs.  Cincy could win out and only has a 23% chance.
Yeah if the combination shakes out to < 0.25% it stops you.

Couple more weeks and multiple win-out scenarios become more likely (assuming they all keep winning of course)

 
Bama with a close loss to UGA (FG or less) is 100% getting in. Why do you think they had them at 2?
I think a 2-loss Bama might be in trouble if you had OU, Oregon, and MSU all unbeaten P5 champs. OSU winning B10 with 1 loss would be a bit closer. 

Of course, one or more of those teams probably gags one up over the next month. 

 
Per Pete Thames:

Sources: Conference USA has invited Liberty, Jacksonville State, New Mexico State and Sam Houston to join the league. The potential of paying a $2 million entrance fee appears to be the last major issue.
 

C-USA goes dumpster diving. 

 
Some interesting lines:

#16 Ole Miss -9.5 v Liberty (and Freeze)

Arky -5 v #17 Miss St

#3 MSU -3 @ Purdue

#14 TAMU -4.5 v #13 Auburn

 
I know I've been bearish in the Ducks most of this season.  I for sure bet heavy on Ohio State to dust them and was delighted to be wrong but they don't have style points in narrow wins over Cal, Fresno or Arizona and that loss to Stanford was just weird. 

But I'll say this - the Ducks are going to pulverize Washington this Sat.  Lay the 7.  Over-his-skis Jimmy Lake flapped his gums earlier about UW having higher recruiting standards than Oregon and compared his obstacle to that of Stanford.  Uh, okay Jimmy. 

1. UW is not in the same solar system as Stanford academically.

2.  Oregon is cleaning your clock in recruiting and it has nothing to do with your rigorous academic standards.  Maybe beat Montana to keep recruits from flipping to Oregon?  Could help, I dunno. 

Lake will be looking for a job before Xmas and likely sooner, especially after Oregon wins this one by 30. 

 
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Well MSU/OSU is already in. So is Oregon. Not sure undefeated OU comes back from 8 to pass them. They are waaaaaaaay back. 
At least two, likely 3 ranked opponents left for OU.  The flip side is TAMU will be top 10 if they win out…Bama’s other loss.   :popcorn:

 

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