Tomlin is only 49 and definitely still has the drive. If the Steelers are able to get a franchise QB in the next 2-3 years, I would not be shocked if he sticks around as long as that QB.
Tomlin hasn't had a playoff win since 2016. The last five seasons, three playoff appearances and One Game And Done each time. I also find the "Name On The Back Of The Helmet" issue unsettling. Clearly all his players were not on board and he didn't care and it had nothing to do with winning football games.
The reality of the situation is the Rooney Rule is named after the owners of the Steelers. If there is only one black Super Bowl winning coach in the NFL right now and he's fired, what does that say when all that's left is Lovie Smith in his 60s and as a stop gap and Mike McDaniel whom many people won't consider as "really black"
Can Tomlin get this team to another Super Bowl? That's a looming question that is clouded by things other actually winning football games. The trend is clear
- Former non elite back up QB
- Former high level offensive coordinator/QB coach with top 5 offensive production and deep playoff runs
- Late 30s to early 40s in age range
- From a "hot" coaching tree. We've seen a massive number of coaches spawn from the Walsh and Belichick tree, and you could argue the Reid and Billick and Shanahan tree pushed out a good number of coaches as well. Right now the hottest coaching tree is McVay. That means the new hot young coaching candidate might be Zac Robinson of the Rams.
If it's not Tomlin, as of today, then it should be Ken Dorsey. Checks off all the boxes to help groom a QBOTF, which is the most critical issue in winning in the current trends of the game.
I don't see Tomlin without Big Ben making it. He's just wildly arrogant and without a HOF level QB1, that's just not going to work when losses mount. It's going to be one of those Bobby Bacala with his quotations book type situations. Tomlin's staged one liners seem interesting to fans when the team is winning, but if the team collapses, it will start to look like when Dave Stewart was too far removed from being a Cy Young winner and was still doing his death glare while being shelled game after game at the last couple of years of his career.
Core Walsh methodology is an absolute in the NFL - Better to get rid of someone a year too early than a year too late.
Steelers don't want to wait for the next wave of QBs coaches to turn into high level offensive coordinators. So many have been swept up in the last few offseason coaching cycles that if they don't move on Dorsey now, he might be gone by the time they realize it's time to move past Tomlin.
It's like Carmella Soprano arguing with her mother. She had to pay for every bit of the lifestyle Tony gave her, but her mother and especially her father's construction business got to ride for free. In this scenario, Big Ben is Carmella ( kind of fitting with the high maintenance diva routine) and Tomlin are the geriatric hanger ons.
This game is ruthless. You can't hang onto what someone did for you last year. Or hasn't done since 2016. If that's the case here, offer Tomlin something in the front office.