Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Chubb - $20M cap reliefI think Chubb and Brooks (both of whom were highly questionable moves at the time) are easy guys to dump. I don't see any chance of a hard reset, especially as its very arguable that if Tua doesn't get hurt (I know, I know) that Miami makes the playoffs this season. Other than SF and Dallas, I'm not sure any other team had worse injury luck than Miami.Tua Tags $39M Cap hit and there isn't much the Phins or Tua can do about it.
You can spread a little bit around other years but it's probably best not to.
Bradley Chubb $26M Cap hit, Phins could eat about $9M in dead cap money but save almost $20M with a post June 1st cut date...zero guaranteed money so he could be restructured
-Take a moment to see that Miami has $65M+ locked up in 2 players that were not on the field the last several games of the season, Chubb missed ALL of '24
Can anyone see a problem here?
Tyreek Hill $27M cap hit and rumors are running rampant the Patriots want to trade for him, Miami needs to get him off the books so i can see it happening.
A Post June 1st-trade which this clearly would not be but something like that would save Miami over $12M and that's about what they are over the cap right now
Terron Armstead $23M cap hit and no guaranteed money, look for a restructure
And that's if Miami doesn't decide to trade Armstead and get something for him while he still has 2 years left on his deal
He also is a very good Left Tackle that still rates pretty high and did manage to start a lot of games for Miami last season
-Here is another $50M in cap hits, $115M total tied up in 4 players, would seem likely that Hill trade offers will be considered and Chubb/Armstead need restructured to stay or else Miami needs to find a potential trade partner, not sure what Chubb would even bring on the market right now.
Jalen Ramsey $16M cap hit, lot of guuranteed money, I doubt Miami starting Corners are gonna go anywhere
AJax and Jaelen Phillips are both likely to remain on their current deals, Jackson could be cut Post June 1st and save Miami $8M+ but again I don't see him going anywhere in '25.
Sieler and Fuller have no guaranteed money left and about $20M total in cap hits, I could see them being extended or possibly restructured but their contracts are more than fair for what they produce on the field. Fuller was terrific prior to him missing time 2nd Half of the season, I would keep him as is.
Next are some softer targets for Miami to try and find some cap relief.
Jordyn Brooks $11M cap hit and Miami can save almost $9.5M with a June 1st cut date, I think he's as good as gone,
Durham Smythe, Jason Sanders and Raheem Mostert are all fairly cheap to cut and add up to another $6m-$7m in cap relief.
Miami is like $12M OTC right now but Chubb alone can bring them down under. Hill trade and Miami is likely $20M UTC and then Armstead will be dealt with, I see an easy $30M under they can comfortably get to and maybe that means a franchise tag on Holland and then hammer out an extension.
I'll discuss more about what this means in the Draft in my next posts. This is just a brief outline of what I expect the game plan to be in the coming weeks.
I don't see Miami being a big player in free agency
Armstead is tough, but he's still probably one of the top-10 OTs in the NFL, when he's healthy. I think they'd like to keep Sanders as he's a solid kicker. Mostert is still pretty solid, but expendable.
I'm still a Tua supporter. He just needs more protection and better playcalling. Put him in Detroit and I truly think he'd be as good or better than Goff. Tua is like a B- level QB, not gonna carry you, but certainly capable of keeping the offense humming better than most.
I think they'd be nuts to deal Tyreek. I agree, you'd wanna keep Ramsey and Fuller at CB, you'd just be creating a huge hole, that would VERY hard to replace. Same with Sieler.
I never understood the Jackson extension in the 1st place. In my eyes, they doubled down on re-signing a bad draft pick. I honestly thought Kendall Lamb was a better player.
The Phillips stuff sucks, he was ascending to one of the better EDGE players in the NFL, and now, its tough to know if he'll even contribute. An Achilles followed by an ACL makes it hard to trust he'll be anywhere near as explosive as he was back in 2022. That said, I think they will (and should) hang onto him and be hopeful he's young enough to recover.
How much cap space is cleared if they dump Chubb, Brooks, Jackson, Smythe, and Mostert?
Brooks - $9.5M
Jackson - $8M but we are talking Tua's blind side, the Draft has some nice talent on the OL and also IDL has some options this year. Miami needs BOTH
Smythe - $4M
Mostert - $3M+
$44M+ here and they are $12M OTC right now, would loosen things up for them.
Miami has skill players in spades when they're all healthy. They need an OL that opens holes and can protect Tua for 2.5-3 seconds, it's not that complicated and yet it is.
And the play calling stunk this past season. I'm gonna scream if I keep watching passes designed to be caught behind the LOS...like 5 yards, infuriating
What happened to throwing the ball down field?
-Miami would also be very wise if they thought about a QB in the 2nd-3rd tier of arms that could available in the 2nd-3rd-4th rounds. Miami needs a Plan B