Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
For 8 weeks straight he threw a minimum of 3 TDs every single game and avg over 300 yds passing
All I want for my birthday is for Burrow to have that stat line for 17 games.

For 8 weeks straight he threw a minimum of 3 TDs every single game and avg over 300 yds passing
I think I was clear and specific about his "passing" numbersBurrow is QB5 off the board most of the time
4,900/43 TD
4.475/35TD
4,611/34TD
3 of his last 4 seasons, 1 was cut short by injury
He mentioned Burrow vs. Jalen Hurts in 4 per TD leagues. That comp over the last four seasons may be closer than you think. This coming from a Burrow truther in the SP Home Leagues format.![]()
Marino couldn't run at all either and yet he's one of the most gifted pocket passers partly due to his ability to buy time "IN" the pocket
Most of these mobile QBs abandon the pocket the second they see a different colored jersey approaching
Maybe Hurts is close in points but Burrow had some games last year that distanced him from the field
Go look at the game logs for Burrow from Week 9 thru Week 16 last season, you won't find a single QB that came close to his passing numbers
For 8 weeks straight he threw a minimum of 3 TDs every single game and avg over 300 yds passing
Burrow is QB5 off the board most of the timeKyren - no passing game upside. He has volume but the amount of volume he had last year will be hard to repeat. His rushing efficiency declined a lot last year.
Burrow - Give me Jalen and his rushing upside around the same ADP.
Garrett Wilson - The Jets will probably be bad and if they arent it will be because they are successful at rushing the ball. Just hard to see the upside here.
DJ Moore - Career low YPRR last year. New coaching staff went out and drafted 2 young pass catchers. His ADP is too high for this ambiguity.
Sutton - In 7 seasons, this guy has not finished higher than WR24 in PPG. He's ranked higher or equally with guys like Jameson Williams, Tet, Devonta Smith who have a lot more upside. This is the kind of boring safe mid-round pick that gets you 7th place in your league.
4,900/43 TD
4.475/35TD
4,611/34TD
3 of his last 4 seasons, 1 was cut short by injury
What other QB has those type of passing numbers?
They're Dan Marino level, pass on Burrow at your own risk
It's only a fade at ADP. Burrow had a career high TD rate last year which will be tough to repeat. High TD rates historically regress the year after. It's lamost automatic. There will likely be regression here because last year's passing volume will be hard to repeat. And he does not have the rushing volume to make it up. Jalen Hurts with his toosh push and rushing upside arguably has more of chance of finishing higher than Burrow.
In fairness to MOP, I think there are plenty better fades than Burrow. Even in 4 pt TD, 16 games of healthy Burrow is gonna come somewhat close to Hurts at least, and plenty close to those immediately after. And don't disrespect Burrow's rushing too much. Jaylen Hurts he is clearly not, but Joey B has way better wheels than your avg pocket passer and gets a meaningful amount of rushing stats every year.
Yeah there are probably worse players to fade but he's so close to Hurts' ADP, and the Konami code QB cheat is for real.
Burrow is QB5 off the board most of the timeKyren - no passing game upside. He has volume but the amount of volume he had last year will be hard to repeat. His rushing efficiency declined a lot last year.
Burrow - Give me Jalen and his rushing upside around the same ADP.
Garrett Wilson - The Jets will probably be bad and if they arent it will be because they are successful at rushing the ball. Just hard to see the upside here.
DJ Moore - Career low YPRR last year. New coaching staff went out and drafted 2 young pass catchers. His ADP is too high for this ambiguity.
Sutton - In 7 seasons, this guy has not finished higher than WR24 in PPG. He's ranked higher or equally with guys like Jameson Williams, Tet, Devonta Smith who have a lot more upside. This is the kind of boring safe mid-round pick that gets you 7th place in your league.
4,900/43 TD
4.475/35TD
4,611/34TD
3 of his last 4 seasons, 1 was cut short by injury
What other QB has those type of passing numbers?
They're Dan Marino level, pass on Burrow at your own risk
It's only a fade at ADP. Burrow had a career high TD rate last year which will be tough to repeat. High TD rates historically regress the year after. It's lamost automatic. There will likely be regression here because last year's passing volume will be hard to repeat. And he does not have the rushing volume to make it up. Jalen Hurts with his toosh push and rushing upside arguably has more of chance of finishing higher than Burrow.
In fairness to MOP, I think there are plenty better fades than Burrow. Even in 4 pt TD, 16 games of healthy Burrow is gonna come somewhat close to Hurts at least, and plenty close to those immediately after. And don't disrespect Burrow's rushing too much. Jaylen Hurts he is clearly not, but Joey B has way better wheels than your avg pocket passer and gets a meaningful amount of rushing stats every year.
Yeah there are probably worse players to fade but he's so close to Hurts' ADP, and the Konami code QB cheat is for real.
In 4 pt pass TD leagues w/1 pts per 25 pass yds last season,
Burrow - 373 pts (QB3)
Hurts - 315 pts (QB8)
The cheat code doesn't apply as much when Hurts passes for just 2900/18 - that has to improve bigtime for him to be among the big dawgs this year, whereas Burrow just needs to stay healthy.
One of these dudes is a ridiculous dual threat QB. The other dude is Hurts.Hurts or Lamar
One of these dudes is a ridiculous dual threat QB. The other dude is Hurts.Hurts or Lamar
I see a 2-tier chasm between them. In 6 point PaTD leagues, & have Burrow much closer to LJax than Hurts.
That said, I expect the Eagles to pass more this year.
Burrow is QB5 off the board most of the timeKyren - no passing game upside. He has volume but the amount of volume he had last year will be hard to repeat. His rushing efficiency declined a lot last year.
Burrow - Give me Jalen and his rushing upside around the same ADP.
Garrett Wilson - The Jets will probably be bad and if they arent it will be because they are successful at rushing the ball. Just hard to see the upside here.
DJ Moore - Career low YPRR last year. New coaching staff went out and drafted 2 young pass catchers. His ADP is too high for this ambiguity.
Sutton - In 7 seasons, this guy has not finished higher than WR24 in PPG. He's ranked higher or equally with guys like Jameson Williams, Tet, Devonta Smith who have a lot more upside. This is the kind of boring safe mid-round pick that gets you 7th place in your league.
4,900/43 TD
4.475/35TD
4,611/34TD
3 of his last 4 seasons, 1 was cut short by injury
What other QB has those type of passing numbers?
They're Dan Marino level, pass on Burrow at your own risk
It's only a fade at ADP. Burrow had a career high TD rate last year which will be tough to repeat. High TD rates historically regress the year after. It's lamost automatic. There will likely be regression here because last year's passing volume will be hard to repeat. And he does not have the rushing volume to make it up. Jalen Hurts with his toosh push and rushing upside arguably has more of chance of finishing higher than Burrow.
In fairness to MOP, I think there are plenty better fades than Burrow. Even in 4 pt TD, 16 games of healthy Burrow is gonna come somewhat close to Hurts at least, and plenty close to those immediately after. And don't disrespect Burrow's rushing too much. Jaylen Hurts he is clearly not, but Joey B has way better wheels than your avg pocket passer and gets a meaningful amount of rushing stats every year.
Yeah there are probably worse players to fade but he's so close to Hurts' ADP, and the Konami code QB cheat is for real.
In 4 pt pass TD leagues w/1 pts per 25 pass yds last season,
Burrow - 373 pts (QB3)
Hurts - 315 pts (QB8)
The cheat code doesn't apply as much when Hurts passes for just 2900/18 - that has to improve bigtime for him to be among the big dawgs this year, whereas Burrow just needs to stay healthy.
Burrow needs to stay healthy and Cincy needs to repeat their insanely high passing rate. Doable but most would say it's a regression candidate.
Hurts was QB8 on a Philly team that had a ridiculous amount of favorable game script situations and did not need to pass a lot. Thats telling. His stats per pass attempt were elite. Almost every expert expects regression and for Philly to pass more. But there will still be a ton of tush pushes and QB scrambles.
Every league I’m in has 6 point PaTD. ROC is 6 pt PaTD, all 5 of my dynasty leagues are 6 pt PaTD and my home league is as well. I don’t speak for the masses, so not sure what the default is.Are 6 pt passing leagues the default now? I'm not talking about 6 pt passing leagues. If they are the default then my bad.
Burrow is QB5 off the board most of the timeKyren - no passing game upside. He has volume but the amount of volume he had last year will be hard to repeat. His rushing efficiency declined a lot last year.
Burrow - Give me Jalen and his rushing upside around the same ADP.
Garrett Wilson - The Jets will probably be bad and if they arent it will be because they are successful at rushing the ball. Just hard to see the upside here.
DJ Moore - Career low YPRR last year. New coaching staff went out and drafted 2 young pass catchers. His ADP is too high for this ambiguity.
Sutton - In 7 seasons, this guy has not finished higher than WR24 in PPG. He's ranked higher or equally with guys like Jameson Williams, Tet, Devonta Smith who have a lot more upside. This is the kind of boring safe mid-round pick that gets you 7th place in your league.
4,900/43 TD
4.475/35TD
4,611/34TD
3 of his last 4 seasons, 1 was cut short by injury
What other QB has those type of passing numbers?
They're Dan Marino level, pass on Burrow at your own risk
It's only a fade at ADP. Burrow had a career high TD rate last year which will be tough to repeat. High TD rates historically regress the year after. It's lamost automatic. There will likely be regression here because last year's passing volume will be hard to repeat. And he does not have the rushing volume to make it up. Jalen Hurts with his toosh push and rushing upside arguably has more of chance of finishing higher than Burrow.
In fairness to MOP, I think there are plenty better fades than Burrow. Even in 4 pt TD, 16 games of healthy Burrow is gonna come somewhat close to Hurts at least, and plenty close to those immediately after. And don't disrespect Burrow's rushing too much. Jaylen Hurts he is clearly not, but Joey B has way better wheels than your avg pocket passer and gets a meaningful amount of rushing stats every year.
Yeah there are probably worse players to fade but he's so close to Hurts' ADP, and the Konami code QB cheat is for real.
In 4 pt pass TD leagues w/1 pts per 25 pass yds last season,
Burrow - 373 pts (QB3)
Hurts - 315 pts (QB8)
The cheat code doesn't apply as much when Hurts passes for just 2900/18 - that has to improve bigtime for him to be among the big dawgs this year, whereas Burrow just needs to stay healthy.
Burrow needs to stay healthy and Cincy needs to repeat their insanely high passing rate. Doable but most would say it's a regression candidate.
Hurts was QB8 on a Philly team that had a ridiculous amount of favorable game script situations and did not need to pass a lot. Thats telling. His stats per pass attempt were elite. Almost every expert expects regression and for Philly to pass more. But there will still be a ton of tush pushes and QB scrambles.
Fair, but even if you give Hurts 3500/25 instead of 2900/18 last year w/o touching his gaudy rushing metrics, he'd still have scored less than Burrow (367 pts).
Bottom line, though... In any given year, including this one, I'd rank Hurts (slightly) higher than Burrow in standard formats, so I agree with your initial premise. But it's not by a ton - and for me at least, I discount Burrow just a bit extra for being on a schwag org who will depend on him way too much to make magic - that kind of pressure and usage cuts both ways sometimes.
Puka Nacua—Stafford was the 19th ranked fantasy qb last season—and I think he’s probably going to decline further. Secondly—Davante adams cut into Garrett Wilson’s production last season—and I don’t see how he won’t cut into Puka’s. Lastly—Puka himself seems to have some injury issues.
Tyreek Hill—not going to discount his talent—it’s certainly there. However, at the end of last season—he didn’t seem interested in staying with the dolphins. I also think that if Tua gets hurt—he and waddle are the guys who get impacted the most. If Tua gets hurt—and achane is healthy enough to be on the field—I trust Achane’s role more than I do Hill’s or waddles. I actually think Achane could be a huge value in PPR leagues if his injury concern drops him much. His injury was sustained 3 weeks before week 1. Even if he misses a couple weeks to get fully healthy—I’d take 11 weeks of a healthy achane over all but maybe 4-5 rbs in ppr formats.
Omarion Hampton—i think he’ll start off the season doing well with Najee recovering from his eye injury. However, the Chargers didn’t give Najee Harris a fully guaranteed 5+ million dollar contract for a year to not use him. Harris was the 20th ranked rb last season in 0.5 ppr.
Jayden Daniels—I think he’ll be really good—but I just dont think he’s worth drafting where he’s going. He had more “true” rushing attempts than any other qb last season. Technically Hurts had 2 more rushes—but if you factor in how many of those are tush pushes—Daniels had more real attempts. I just don’t know if they want to expose their franchise quarterback to that much injury risk. Secondly—He’s going before Hurts—and I think Hurts is primed to improve on his performance last season—while I think Jayden could regress a bit. Hurts passing numbers were not great last season. I think there is room for him to improve there—while still doing his thing in regards to rushing tds. I personaly have the qb tiers as: Allen/Lamar as (tier 1), Hurts/Burrow/Daniels-(tier 2)—in the order that I listed them. Being that Daniels is getting drafted as a back end Tier one/top end tier 2–when I have him on the back end of Tier 2–I just don’t think he’ll return much value.
Chubba Hubbard—the dude took advantage of opportunity last season—and ran away with it. Good for him for doing so. I just don’t know if I buy that the same “magic” will happen again this season. Carolina’s offense showed some signs of life towards the end of the season last year—but I don’t know if I trust that. This one is more of a gut instinct thing more than it is data driven.
#33 Breece Hall - worried about offense and RBBC
Without Brooks doesn’t he have the same opportunity this season? And an improved offense, too. Rico having a larger role is all that concerns me. They paid Chuba to be the man.Chubba Hubbard—the dude took advantage of opportunity last season—and ran away with it
I feel like this is a bit of a bad faith argument. Jalen Hurts played 14 games to Burrow's 17. Hurts was the better QB in PPG.Burrow is QB5 off the board most of the timeKyren - no passing game upside. He has volume but the amount of volume he had last year will be hard to repeat. His rushing efficiency declined a lot last year.
Burrow - Give me Jalen and his rushing upside around the same ADP.
Garrett Wilson - The Jets will probably be bad and if they arent it will be because they are successful at rushing the ball. Just hard to see the upside here.
DJ Moore - Career low YPRR last year. New coaching staff went out and drafted 2 young pass catchers. His ADP is too high for this ambiguity.
Sutton - In 7 seasons, this guy has not finished higher than WR24 in PPG. He's ranked higher or equally with guys like Jameson Williams, Tet, Devonta Smith who have a lot more upside. This is the kind of boring safe mid-round pick that gets you 7th place in your league.
4,900/43 TD
4.475/35TD
4,611/34TD
3 of his last 4 seasons, 1 was cut short by injury
What other QB has those type of passing numbers?
They're Dan Marino level, pass on Burrow at your own risk
It's only a fade at ADP. Burrow had a career high TD rate last year which will be tough to repeat. High TD rates historically regress the year after. It's lamost automatic. There will likely be regression here because last year's passing volume will be hard to repeat. And he does not have the rushing volume to make it up. Jalen Hurts with his toosh push and rushing upside arguably has more of chance of finishing higher than Burrow.
In fairness to MOP, I think there are plenty better fades than Burrow. Even in 4 pt TD, 16 games of healthy Burrow is gonna come somewhat close to Hurts at least, and plenty close to those immediately after. And don't disrespect Burrow's rushing too much. Jaylen Hurts he is clearly not, but Joey B has way better wheels than your avg pocket passer and gets a meaningful amount of rushing stats every year.
Yeah there are probably worse players to fade but he's so close to Hurts' ADP, and the Konami code QB cheat is for real.
In 4 pt pass TD leagues w/1 pts per 25 pass yds last season,
Burrow - 373 pts (QB3)
Hurts - 315 pts (QB8)
The cheat code doesn't apply as much when Hurts passes for just 2900/18 - that has to improve bigtime for him to be among the big dawgs this year, whereas Burrow just needs to stay healthy.
I think that dowdle will be a factor—and I also think that defenses are going to focus more in on him. I just don’t really “believe” in Carolina’s offense enough to really want any of their players in the top 50.Without Brooks doesn’t he have the same opportunity this season? And an improved offense, too. Rico having a larger role is all that concerns me. They paid Chuba to be the man.Chubba Hubbard—the dude took advantage of opportunity last season—and ran away with it
I feel like this is a bit of a bad faith argument. Jalen Hurts played 14 games to Burrow's 17. Hurts was the better QB in PPG.Burrow is QB5 off the board most of the timeKyren - no passing game upside. He has volume but the amount of volume he had last year will be hard to repeat. His rushing efficiency declined a lot last year.
Burrow - Give me Jalen and his rushing upside around the same ADP.
Garrett Wilson - The Jets will probably be bad and if they arent it will be because they are successful at rushing the ball. Just hard to see the upside here.
DJ Moore - Career low YPRR last year. New coaching staff went out and drafted 2 young pass catchers. His ADP is too high for this ambiguity.
Sutton - In 7 seasons, this guy has not finished higher than WR24 in PPG. He's ranked higher or equally with guys like Jameson Williams, Tet, Devonta Smith who have a lot more upside. This is the kind of boring safe mid-round pick that gets you 7th place in your league.
4,900/43 TD
4.475/35TD
4,611/34TD
3 of his last 4 seasons, 1 was cut short by injury
What other QB has those type of passing numbers?
They're Dan Marino level, pass on Burrow at your own risk
It's only a fade at ADP. Burrow had a career high TD rate last year which will be tough to repeat. High TD rates historically regress the year after. It's lamost automatic. There will likely be regression here because last year's passing volume will be hard to repeat. And he does not have the rushing volume to make it up. Jalen Hurts with his toosh push and rushing upside arguably has more of chance of finishing higher than Burrow.
In fairness to MOP, I think there are plenty better fades than Burrow. Even in 4 pt TD, 16 games of healthy Burrow is gonna come somewhat close to Hurts at least, and plenty close to those immediately after. And don't disrespect Burrow's rushing too much. Jaylen Hurts he is clearly not, but Joey B has way better wheels than your avg pocket passer and gets a meaningful amount of rushing stats every year.
Yeah there are probably worse players to fade but he's so close to Hurts' ADP, and the Konami code QB cheat is for real.
In 4 pt pass TD leagues w/1 pts per 25 pass yds last season,
Burrow - 373 pts (QB3)
Hurts - 315 pts (QB8)
The cheat code doesn't apply as much when Hurts passes for just 2900/18 - that has to improve bigtime for him to be among the big dawgs this year, whereas Burrow just needs to stay healthy.
Burrow also had the 20th most pass attempts in NFL history, and the Eagles had the most rush attempts of any team since the 1984 Bears. Regression to the mean on both counts is basically a lock.
Well done, sir.One of these dudes is a ridiculous dual threat QB. The other dude is Hurts.Hurts or Lamar
Joe Burrow: He’s going QB4 ahead of Hurts in most ***6-point pass TD*** leagues.
5 guys in the top-50 I want no part of are:
Breece Hall-I think he's vastly overrated as a talent, and I think he's in a 3-man RBBC, where he is possibly losing 3rd downs, and certainly losing GL. He might as well not even be on my board at all, because I'm not looking at him until like round 8, where he'll be LONG gone. I honestly have him closer to Braelon Allen, then to what his current ADP is.
TreVeyon Henderson-I don't hate him, but I think people are being too optimistic, both about how much work he'll get, and how good NE's offense will be. He'll have some spike weeks, sure, but I think he's not a guy I'm targeting, especially after his ADP spike because of this preseason.
Chuba Hubbard-I think the team will put more on Bryce Young's plate, and I think Hubbard will see more competition for work from Dowdle, and Hubbard is a liability in the pass game. I don't hate him, but last year feels like his ceiling.
George Pickens-I think he takes a clear backseat to Lamb, and I do wonder if he's maybe more of another Mike Williams than his supporters want to admit, where he makes some spectacular catches, but that's pretty much all he does. I think he's a WR3 if you prioritize QB or TE early.
Jonathan Taylor-I also think he's an overrated talent, and I also worry about his durability as he's missed a month in 3 straight seasons now. He's also on a team I think is gonna be awful (regardless of QB, though I think they picked the right one) and I think his pass game involvement is little to none. I see him as a middling 3rd rounder, so I'll have zero shares I'm sure.
Joe Burrow: He’s going QB4 ahead of Hurts in most ***6-point pass TD*** leagues.
Someone didn't read upthread before posting.
Adding SP Homeleague *6pt TD*, 1 per 20 pass yds context, 2024 PPG...
Burrow - overall 522 pts (QB2) - 30.7 PPG
Hurts - overall 390 pts (QB10) - 27.5 PPG (regular season), 28.68 PPG across four playoff games
Mind your scoring systems, fellas, when it comes to QBs.
5 guys in the top-50 I want no part of are:
Breece Hall-I think he's vastly overrated as a talent, and I think he's in a 3-man RBBC, where he is possibly losing 3rd downs, and certainly losing GL. He might as well not even be on my board at all, because I'm not looking at him until like round 8, where he'll be LONG gone. I honestly have him closer to Braelon Allen, then to what his current ADP is.
TreVeyon Henderson-I don't hate him, but I think people are being too optimistic, both about how much work he'll get, and how good NE's offense will be. He'll have some spike weeks, sure, but I think he's not a guy I'm targeting, especially after his ADP spike because of this preseason.
Chuba Hubbard-I think the team will put more on Bryce Young's plate, and I think Hubbard will see more competition for work from Dowdle, and Hubbard is a liability in the pass game. I don't hate him, but last year feels like his ceiling.
George Pickens-I think he takes a clear backseat to Lamb, and I do wonder if he's maybe more of another Mike Williams than his supporters want to admit, where he makes some spectacular catches, but that's pretty much all he does. I think he's a WR3 if you prioritize QB or TE early.
Jonathan Taylor-I also think he's an overrated talent, and I also worry about his durability as he's missed a month in 3 straight seasons now. He's also on a team I think is gonna be awful (regardless of QB, though I think they picked the right one) and I think his pass game involvement is little to none. I see him as a middling 3rd rounder, so I'll have zero shares I'm sure.
This does not mean I’d take Hurts over [Burrow] in such a format
Agree to disagree here. He is the alpha WR in CHI for 2025 and FantasyPros has him WR20. Last year he finished WR15 with Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, and a rookie QB. CHI is going to ensure the ball is in his hands a decent amount. Perhaps the younger WR's pass him next year, but not this year.DJ Moore - Career low YPRR last year. New coaching staff went out and drafted 2 young pass catchers. His ADP is too high for this ambiguity.
I agree on Achane and Tyreek.
My contribution to the thread is AJ Brown. I’m worried about the hammy. AJs tough as nails, but I think this injury is maybe more serious/nagging than initially thought. I could easily see him missing more than his usual 2-3 games and this hampering his production all season long. I hate hamstring injuries on WRs.
In every game I have watched, pro and college (with a loaded Georgia team), Bowers has looked like the best player on the field. At any position. I can't say that about Kelce or Gronk, at this point in their careers.15 - Brock Bowers: What have we learned about top-15 TEs by ADP over the past 15 years? Well, we’ve learned that they can be worth the cost if their last name is Kelce or Gronkowski. I suppose it’s possible that Bowers is also a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but I’ll let someone else make that bet.
I guess value is all relative. Seems like maybe with the injury news Baker has fallen back a bit in ADP/QB rankings. Round 10 is pretty palatable though I suppose it does matter to me what other QBs were out there.I happily took the panic discount on Baker today in the 10th - he was fine with McMillan & Otton for a stretch last year. Evans is still beastly, White’s expected to be ok for game 1, and he can still run more than folks expect. And he’s got Egbuka.Baker- Godwin can't even jog yet
I’m with you on the rest of the list, but Baker should be ok. I hope.![]()
I am curious about Penix. He has a great online but I am worried about who he is passing to besides Drake and the RBs. Mooney is hurt. Pitts is hurt. Who else is there?I was high on Penix when they drafted himDrake London 158 targets, 1,271 and jumped from 2 TD in '23 to 9 last year
I'll take the under across the board
I'll respectfully take the under on targets and the over on both yardage and TDs for young Mike Evans.
Penix >>> washed 2024 Cousins
Do you realize how late he is being drafted in FF?
He might go undrafted in some leagues
He is? Do you have a link?Pitts is hurt.
I think a lot of that can be accounted for by them getting rid of Arthur Smith, Desmond Ridder and Taylor Heneicke. The Falcons have a great offensive line, great running game a top 10 drafted QB and 1 healthy competent WR. I think London might lead the league in targets.Drake London 158 targets, 1,271 and jumped from 2 TD in '23 to 9 last year
I'll take the under across the board
There are 3 differences in LaPorta vs Bowers.Brock Bowers- new Sheriff in town and more mouths to feed, a RB that apparently is going to take the NFL by storm
See Sam LaPorta, his rookie season made him the #1 TE in FF, Bowers will easily come in under his stats from a year ago
I heard similar but then I see this Sports Illustrated entry in the last 24 hoursHe is? Do you have a link?Pitts is hurt.
Ok, that is on me. I missed where he returned. He had missed OTAs with a foot injury but looks like he got full clearance late July.I heard similar but then I see this Sports Illustrated entry in the last 24 hoursHe is? Do you have a link?Pitts is hurt.
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2025 Fantasy Football Draft Rankings: Running Backs (PPR, Half-PPR, Standard)
Check out the latest fantasy football rankings (PPR, Half-PPR, and Standard) for running backs entering the 2025 NFL season.www.si.com
-If Pitts really has a serious injury that is slowly coming into the open as the season is about to start, this writer Childs should be fired
Addressed above, my mistake.He is? Do you have a link?Pitts is hurt.
Coach is fighting for his life. Jones is far better in that offense. Taylor is worth the 2nd round draft capital.3 more
Jonathan Taylor-2nd rd? I'm too worried the colts will be a mess since they are tanking for Arch
Travis Kelce-old.I'm not thinking he'll rebound.
J.K. Dobbins-he may be fine, assuming he doesm't get hurt but this will likely be RBBC
And they also let Keenan Allen leave. On a per snap basis, Allen was getting the most targets last year. DJ went early to mid 5th in all 4 recent FBG home league drafts, and I think it's well deserved.DJ Moore - The last 2 years have seen the Bears bring in Odunze, Loveland, Luther.
Not relevant for FF purposes. From weeks 14 thru 18, 4 of the top 6 WR's came from non-playoff teams (including Nabers himself).I just don't think this team is good and won't be playing for much down the stretch
Depends how my draft breaks and what slot I’m drafting from, I’d consider him late 3rd/early 4th instead of an ADP OF 52, though, in general.I agree on Achane and Tyreek.
My contribution to the thread is AJ Brown. I’m worried about the hammy. AJs tough as nails, but I think this injury is maybe more serious/nagging than initially thought. I could easily see him missing more than his usual 2-3 games and this hampering his production all season long. I hate hamstring injuries on WRs.
How high are you drafting DSmith as a result of this analysis? I like actionable info.
Great list. Exception for me is Jonathan Taylor. Offense runs through him and he's a stud RB. One of my favorite 2nd round clicks.5 guys in the top-50 I want no part of are:
Breece Hall-I think he's vastly overrated as a talent, and I think he's in a 3-man RBBC, where he is possibly losing 3rd downs, and certainly losing GL. He might as well not even be on my board at all, because I'm not looking at him until like round 8, where he'll be LONG gone. I honestly have him closer to Braelon Allen, then to what his current ADP is.
TreVeyon Henderson-I don't hate him, but I think people are being too optimistic, both about how much work he'll get, and how good NE's offense will be. He'll have some spike weeks, sure, but I think he's not a guy I'm targeting, especially after his ADP spike because of this preseason.
Chuba Hubbard-I think the team will put more on Bryce Young's plate, and I think Hubbard will see more competition for work from Dowdle, and Hubbard is a liability in the pass game. I don't hate him, but last year feels like his ceiling.
George Pickens-I think he takes a clear backseat to Lamb, and I do wonder if he's maybe more of another Mike Williams than his supporters want to admit, where he makes some spectacular catches, but that's pretty much all he does. I think he's a WR3 if you prioritize QB or TE early.
Jonathan Taylor-I also think he's an overrated talent, and I also worry about his durability as he's missed a month in 3 straight seasons now. He's also on a team I think is gonna be awful (regardless of QB, though I think they picked the right one) and I think his pass game involvement is little to none. I see him as a middling 3rd rounder, so I'll have zero shares I'm sure.
Not only that—while I’m not sure how many games the Giants will win this season—I think they are going to be a lot more competitive than people think. Their defense should be much improved. I personally think that Nabers is priced just about right—especially for ppr leagues. His potential for volume is enormous.Not relevant for FF purposes. From weeks 14 thru 18, 4 of the top 6 WR's came from non-playoff teams (including Nabers himself).I just don't think this team is good and won't be playing for much down the stretch
I think Taylor is pretty safe. As long as he's healthy, he is going to perform well. In that offense, he doesn't have mega upside but he's pretty safe IMO.Great list. Exception for me is Jonathan Taylor. Offense runs through him and he's a stud RB. One of my favorite 2nd round clicks.5 guys in the top-50 I want no part of are:
Breece Hall-I think he's vastly overrated as a talent, and I think he's in a 3-man RBBC, where he is possibly losing 3rd downs, and certainly losing GL. He might as well not even be on my board at all, because I'm not looking at him until like round 8, where he'll be LONG gone. I honestly have him closer to Braelon Allen, then to what his current ADP is.
TreVeyon Henderson-I don't hate him, but I think people are being too optimistic, both about how much work he'll get, and how good NE's offense will be. He'll have some spike weeks, sure, but I think he's not a guy I'm targeting, especially after his ADP spike because of this preseason.
Chuba Hubbard-I think the team will put more on Bryce Young's plate, and I think Hubbard will see more competition for work from Dowdle, and Hubbard is a liability in the pass game. I don't hate him, but last year feels like his ceiling.
George Pickens-I think he takes a clear backseat to Lamb, and I do wonder if he's maybe more of another Mike Williams than his supporters want to admit, where he makes some spectacular catches, but that's pretty much all he does. I think he's a WR3 if you prioritize QB or TE early.
Jonathan Taylor-I also think he's an overrated talent, and I also worry about his durability as he's missed a month in 3 straight seasons now. He's also on a team I think is gonna be awful (regardless of QB, though I think they picked the right one) and I think his pass game involvement is little to none. I see him as a middling 3rd rounder, so I'll have zero shares I'm sure.
I dunno, could be relevant TBH. I don't think people should build their drafts around playoff schedules. But it's a fair concern since going to the 18 week season some playoff teams now are actually throwing in the towel and benching starters the last two games instead of just the last one. Also feels like some teams just kinda give up late in the season, and we saw some offenses that struggled through much of the season finally come alive. Could have been more than just the team on the other side of the field, maybe some of those troubled teams were finally finding a groove. But still noteworthy for sure. Thanks for pointing this out.Not relevant for FF purposes. From weeks 14 thru 18, 4 of the top 6 WR's came from non-playoff teams (including Nabers himself).I just don't think this team is good and won't be playing for much down the stretch
I will remember this when I draft with you on MondayNFFC ROC 12 team 3RR
(Puka & Kyren already mentioned)
26th overall - Tee Higgins. Yeah, I know he got paid, but unless money magically cures his recurring hamstring issues, this is way too high. Especially off last year. No injury discount? Cmon.
38 - Davonte Adams - same reasons I’m concerned about Puka & Kyren, plus age resembling his ADP.
46th - Ridley. I roster him in a dynasty league & hope the hypsters are right, but he’s not an elite WR. He’s been floating on that 1 awesome year of production. TEN isn’t going to be airing it out all Willy nilly and Ridley can still be contained by quality defensive backs. I like him, I just don’t want to pay a 4th round price for him.
52. Alvin Kamara. Saints are a mess, AK is old, and I want no part of that team. This is roughly the same ADP as Jameson Williams & Chuba Hubbard, and depending which way my draft is going I’d much rather have either.