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ADP averaged from 3 sites (MFL/Xpert/ESPN) (1 Viewer)

I use APD exclusively at my draft. This exact same format the last few years. A couple of things I have learned is that people are blinded by success and failure in fantasy football. There are some people who will never take Fred Taylor again because he burned them a few years ago. Also some people that will draft Michael Vick too high because they had him during his good year. This pretty much takes all of that out of drafting.Also, if you do an averge cheatsheet of internet rankings, which I have done in the past, you find that you can pretty much get widely varying opinions from "experts" on almost every player. Translation: no one knows what the hell is going to happen. So if I have a rod for Tatum Bell, I can find ten other people who think he is going to suck. And who am I to think that I know anymore about the NFL than internet fantasy football experts? They spend alot more time on it than I do. And they all have differing opinoins as well.Point is, anyone could suck and anyone could have a breakout year. The ADPs give me safe picks that have the best chance at success without knowing the future. Is that the funnest way to do it? No. But at the end of every draft I like my team because I know I didn't take any flyers that could ruin my season.

 
nice post boss hogg. I'd suggest adding a ranking column as to where they are in the FBG top 200 or by position like 50WR for 50th ranked WR. You might notice a trend that way that you didn't before.As for all the tips: This is just a guide, a good thing to know. Don't be the guy after the draft wishing you got soandso because he was picked before his ADP. If you rrrrreally want someone then draft him. Use some tact, don't jump up 5 rounds to draft him but if you gotta jump up a little bit go ahead. I got an email every week from a wishful Priest owner once, every single week. Then I got an "if I had Priest I would have won it all too" email at the end of the year. Priest got hurt and in his place I should have started this guy and then that guy...oh my. Guess whom I'm gonna draft and consider trading to him at an expensive price this year? sorry to ramble on, just draft whomever you want and only use it as a guide

 
nice post boss hogg. I'd suggest adding a ranking column as to where they are in the FBG top 200 or by position like 50WR for 50th ranked WR. You might notice a trend that way that you didn't before.
Yeah, I compare the ADP vs. the VBD rank (for my scoring system). I did not include this column as it does not apply to everyone. I could include the FBG rank, I won't use it for my purposes, but it could prompt some interesting discussion.
 
Here is one I did about a week ago, color coded. The black column is the rank at each position (red 1 is RB1, yellow 1 is QB1, etc.). I also stopped at 150, and put all values above that equal to 151.

ADP 2005

 
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rollie:Great job here!What 3 sites did you use to average these out? I do not show the column headings when I open it up.Robb

 
rollie:

Great job here!

What 3 sites did you use to average these out? I do not show the column headings when I open it up.

Robb
The same three. ant, mfl, xpert.I didn't put the column titles because when i made it it was for me and i didn't care which was which. You should be able to cross reference it with boss hoggs list. sorry

 
I have a question for the bosshogg. When you update yor list, do you use drafts from all the way back at the beginning, or do you do only recent drafts, say the last month or so?

 
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I have a question for the bosshogg. When you update yor list, do you use drafts from all the way back at the beginning, or do you do only recent drafts, say the last month or so?
I like to include only the last month of drafts. My first edition is all drafts just to get started. Next version will be only the last month.
 
Here is one I did about a week ago, color coded. The black column is the rank at each position (red 1 is RB1, yellow 1 is QB1, etc.). I also stopped at 150, and put all values above that equal to 151.

ADP 2005
When I try that link I get:
This domain has expired.

Please contact your domain provider to renew it.
 
I put this together for myself the last couple of years. Not much of a stretch to post it to the web. Just my first hack at it this year. I never really used any other sources other than MFL, Xperts and Antsports cause they are the most easily available. If anyone finds it useful or interesting, I can update the page whenever I recompile the numbers...(every couple of weeks or so)

Average ADP
Great tool, thanks boss hogg! Has anyone developed a spreadsheet that pulls this data, formats it in the DD adp.csv format to import into DD? I've been playing around with creating one but the defensive names are looking to make it a pain

 
The ADP link has been updated. I've added a few changes based on some suggested thoughts. I'm now including

-Position rank.

-FBG rank and the difference from ADP ( I need to remove this once/if the realtime rankings becomes pay material).

-Change in ADP/FBG rank since the last update (6/19).

-Cosmetic cleanup to make it a bit easier on the eyes.

Average ADP

 
The ADP link has been updated. I've added a few changes based on some suggested thoughts. I'm now including

-Position rank.

-FBG rank and the difference from ADP ( I need to remove this once/if the realtime rankings becomes pay material).

-Change in ADP/FBG rank since the last update (6/19).

-Cosmetic cleanup to make it a bit easier on the eyes.

Average ADP
Post of the week. :thumbup: :D :goodposting: :yes: :pickle: :headbang: :clap: :cool: :hifive: :bow:

 
The ADP link has been updated. I've added a few changes based on some suggested thoughts. I'm now including

-Position rank.

-FBG rank and the difference from ADP ( I need to remove this once/if the realtime rankings becomes pay material).

-Change in ADP/FBG rank since the last update (6/19).

-Cosmetic cleanup to make it a bit easier on the eyes.

Average ADP
Latest Update 7/12/05Average ADP

 
Boss-this just goes to show why you are one of the top/best posters on this Board. Thanks much and keep it up right through August 19th (my draft date!)Robb

 
Boss-this just goes to show why you are one of the top/best posters on this Board. Thanks much and keep it up right through August 19th (my draft date!)

Robb
I hardly post here much, rather lurking about, unless I have something to say. Lucky if I'm one of the top 1000 posters here. Lots of great opinions from a great deal of other posters here.
 
oh, and did I forget...humble!I don't post much either. The one thing I do every year is post the Defense By Committee spreadsheet tool for those who like to go that way. It can also "double" as a QBBC.Thanks again.How often will you update your ADP Average?

 
Is FBG rank updated projection rank or staff "expert" avg rankings? thanks
Top 200, but I'm gonna remove that this weekend, as I believe this will be pay material, and I would not want to give away someone else's content. (for my purposes, I'll replace that column with my projected VBD ranking, since this would be specific to my league, I most likely won't be useful to most)

 
oh, and did I forget...humble!

I don't post much either. The one thing I do every year is post the Defense By Committee spreadsheet tool for those who like to go that way. It can also "double" as a QBBC.

Thanks again.

How often will you update your ADP Average?
Most likely, once more before the July is over, then a few times in August.
 
Boss:When you get the ADP from Experts, do you have to use their numbers for a 12 team league? I could never get their rankings for a 10-team league.How would you get the ADP broken down into rounds, i.e. 3.06, 4.11, etc?

 
Boss:

When you get the ADP from Experts, do you have to use their numbers for a 12 team league? I could never get their rankings for a 10-team league.

How would you get the ADP broken down into rounds, i.e. 3.06, 4.11, etc?
I use twelve teams when I have the choice. (antsports).as for breaking out the round/pick here is the formula I've used. I'm sure that someone else might have a less complicated one, but it works, so I've never screwed with it...

=(INT((G9-1)/$H$8)+1)+(G9-($H$8*(INT((G9-1)/$H$8))))/100

Where G9 is the pick number and H8 is the number of teams.

Format the resulting cells with 2 decimal places...

good luck...

 
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How about scoring system? I don't know about the other sites, but at Antsports you can select the scoring system as well as the league size. Things like PPR can really affect ADP.Anyway, thanks for doing this, Boss. Good luck catching those Duke boys.

 
Thanks Boss.My question really is, for Xperts, do they let you set up a 10 Team ADP? I have never been able to do that at Xperts like you can at Antsports.

 
Thanks Boss.

My question really is, for Xperts, do they let you set up a 10 Team ADP? I have never been able to do that at Xperts like you can at Antsports.
Yea, only Antsports let's you customize league parameters. This is too bad, as I play in a 14 team league & that starts 3 WR (rather than the wcoff 2 wr). Even so, the variance's in league scoring and lineups makes it nothing more than a starting point for me. I don't really look at the results as gospel (nor should we) anyway. I'll calculate it out for 14 teams, then move players up and down a bit based on past draft tendencies in my league. Using this method, I did extremely well predicting the first few rounds last year, and was fairly accurate in determining the number of players taken by position each round. Then again, all of us have drafted together for a while now, so that's most important.
 
Any updates for the end of July Mr. Boss?
Getting antsy? I still got another few hours before the end of July. :boxing: I'm a man of my word. Anyway here's the updated ADP.

I added columns to show the round and pick as some have requested.

By the way, FBG has a great ADP list available on the site now that averages 5 sites. They don't say which ones, I'm going to take a close look at it and decide whether to replace mine with theirs. I'll still do two more updates for the first two weeks of August (maybe a third if time permits). Check out FBGs ADP

enjoy...

 

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