One other thing about the Pats...their schedule is much more favorable than last years.
1 Sun, Sep 10 Buffalo
2 Sun, Sep 17 at NY Jets
3 Sun, Sep 24 Denver
4 Sun, Oct 1 at Cincinnati
5 Sun, Oct 8 Miami
6 BYE WEEK
7 Sun, Oct 22 at Buffalo
8 Mon, Oct 30 at Minnesota
9 Sun, Nov 5 Indianapolis
10 Sun, Nov 12 NY Jets
11 Sun, Nov 19 at Green Bay
12 Sun, Nov 26 Chicago
13 Sun, Dec 3 Detroit
14 Sun, Dec 10 at Miami
15 Sun, Dec 17 Houston
16 Sun, Dec 24 at Jacksonville
17 Sun, Dec 31 at Tennessee
Last year the Pats got hit with the perfect storm early. They got devastated by injuries during the hardest part of their schedule which made them incredibly vulnerable. One other thing which many non-Patriot fans probably don't realize is the bullseye on the Pats early last year was as big as it got. Since they were the two time champ their opponents were treating games against them like they were playoff games. The intensity was definetly a notch higher than typical regular season games. It was a very tough situation which most teams would have folded. The fact the Pats were able to regroup, win double digit games as well as a playoff games really is underappreciated.
I don't think it would be too tough to make the case that outside of Pittsburgh, New England beat every team it was better than and lost to every team it was worse than.NE was clearly better than Mia, NYJ(2x), Buf(2x), NO, Oak, TB, Atl
NE wasn't as good as Ind, @Car, @Den, @KC or Miami without Brady.
New England lost to a very good San Diego team at home, and beat a very good Pittsburgh team on the road. Outside of that they really played to their schedule. Overall I was most impressed with Brady and the offense. I've always been a big Weis fan, and obviously his tremendous ability was reaffirmed in ND this year. But NE somehow managed to move on without a hitch, which wasn't what I'd expect. (They were worse on offense than in 2004, but that was exclusively due to Dillon's steep decline.)
Let's be honest, any offense is going to struggle when you grab Heath Evans to run the ball in the 4th game of the year, because the top 3 backs are out. The 4 of the starting 5 linemen miss signifigant time, with two missing over half of the season, and two rookies playing almost all of the season. Weis was a huge loss, and a contributing factor, but there were many reasons NE struggled on O last year. With Weis' magic they maybe overcomve the injuries. Without it, they almost did. Brady has the worst playoff game of his career, and they still had a chance to beat Denver in Denver. As to the division. Any team that hires #### Jauron to be a head coach has no direction. They reaffirmed this at the draft. Buffalo os drifting, and will wallow with Detroit at the bottom, until they make changes. Maybe they can pull off a Jauron for Millen trade this season?
The Jets had a great draft. Depending on how well take to the system, and how well the new chandalleir in the league, Pennington, comes back, they could win from 4-8 games. They are not devoid of talent, but they were devoid of direction. Some weeks they looked real good, and others, like they had other things to do. I'm not a be Herm guy. I've seen too much inconsistency out of his players. It's him. I expect the same in KC. There's adequate talent in NY to compete, but not win the division.
Miami has a great coach. I disagree about Harrington. Buffalo hired Jauron from Detroit. Enough said about the coaching ability he was getting there (I know he was on the D-side, but he was the best fill in for the interim job). He cannot beat out Pepper, but he's a servicable fill in until Pepper gets back, and an upgrade over anybody they had last year. Miami's D is againg, quickly, but they're still solid. I se them around 10 wins.
The Pats. I see 12-13 wins. Beisel will be much improved in the middle, giving more flexibility with Vrabel back on the outside. Colvin is also back to 100%.. Our front 3 is as good as anybody in the league with Seymour , Wilfork and Warren. Depth is an issue, as it is on all teams, and there are some fliers. The secondary was much improved in the second half. Injuries were simply devestating. Oh yeah, and Bruschi is back 100%, though a little longer in the tooth. Brady wll be Brady, and the picks will be back down as he can be much less aggressive with better RB depth, and and year experience for Kaczur and Mankins. Koppen is back. Take the starting RB (he was never healthy) nor were Faulk or Pass, C, OT, G, both safeties and both CB's off of any team in the league, and see if they can win their division, and a playoff game. The pats did, and people want to say they they were lucky to win their division? They showed why they have 3 of the last 5 Lombardis. They just kept coming. They'd get blown out, and bounce back and win. It was a tough, but impressive, season. I expect a much better campaign this time around.