Red, no worries at all. I thank the stars that you didn't accept actually. I didn't think I would have the chance for my guy, but he came through for me...Britney, sorry I didn't see the trade offer until I had already picked.
My MIP's (Most interesting picks) at this point. Of course my opinion.Steals/Good value:Barber and Shipp in the third round are steals.
I was wondering why I wasn't getting any emails! Sorry about that. You wanna collaborate on my next pick!?Subject: XL: You're on the clock Date: Wed, 7 Apr 2004 13:02:39 -0400 From: "Xpert Leagues" <support@xpertleagues.com> Add to Address Book This is a message to alert you that Britneys Basher is on the clock for pick 2.11 in the Offseason Sucks draft.Please visit the site and make your selection as soon as possible! Xpert Leagues Now I'm getting emails that my replacement is on the clock. Gotta rub in the salt, eh?
He's in this draft. And in this thread...lol....probably should email the site admin there, bug found.
I'd add C Dillon at 2.9 as a reach also.Soliciting advice from the gallery is a two stroke penalty!Here's my thoughts:Steals:1.9 Williams2.8 Henry2.14 Suggs3.4 Barber3.5 ShippReaches:1.3 Deuce1.8 Edge2.4 Jackson2.5 Staley2.7 Holt3.3 McNabbRemains to be seen:2.1 DD2.6 Westbrook3.1 C Johnson
I put him on my list as a question. If this draft was not so early, things would be different, but if he's a starting RB with little competition on a team like the Raiders he could be listed as a steal. If he retires, well...I'd add C Dillon at 2.9 as a reach also.
I sort of agree.Tiki at 3.4? You've got to be kidding me?! Who are you guys afraid of ...Ron freaking Dayne?I can't believe some of the backs taken before Tiki.
If the Giants draft Gallery, that would bump Tiki a bit more.I sort of agree.
But Travis Henry probably should have been - as he should have been for the previous several picks. Shocked with you guys that Henry slipped past all these guys,YEAH Staley over Hearst. Hearst is 33 - way past the RB break point of 30Staley is only 29Heart was signed as vet insurance by the BroncosStaley was signed as the probable new Steeler starterNobody left at RB come without some risk. You could throw out a few other names as viable RB2 pick at 2.05, but HEARST was not even a consideration here for me.
I may be one of the biggest Eagles homers here, maybe that is why I dont feel comfrotable drafting him ... I dont want to jinx himPeople seem to think McNabb was a reach in the early third.... Take a look at his FPs in the last half of 2003 .... Once he started to get healthier, his numbers drastically improved. I think he would have been a top 5 QB this year without Owens. Owens is gravy.
.I think it was a good pick, but I think there is comprobably QB value on the board. However, if DMac lives up to my projections, you will be money 
If I would have thought there was any way there would be that value at running back that late I would have looked to trade down for sure.I think the biggest steals at this point have been 2.8 Henry and 3.4 Barber
That's a strange one, I'll take a look at it later...Now I'm getting emails that my replacement is on the clock. Gotta rub in the salt, eh?
While I understand being DOWN on certain players, calling Edge and Deuce reaches is really silly - also taking the third best receiver - Holt - in the mid-second round in a 14 team draft while the RBs are fading away is also not a reach. A "reach" is picking someone well above their perceived vale - not picking them well above where you *subjectively* think they will end up. be clear on what you mean by reach.Same thing applies to your "remains to be seen" category - there is really no "remains to be seen" in the first three rounds of drafting - the players' perceived value at this point is likely their perceived value going forward - I think all three of the players you have listed there are picked at "zero value" - they must perform as expected by their drafters or they retain no value - similar to any first round selections.That said, the same thing re: perceived value applies to your "steals" of Ricky Williams and Suggs. Ricky went exactly where he "should" go - just under the top backs. He did not have an elite year in 2003, and he will be running behind a completely rebuilt OL. He must be considered below the backs who will have consistency in front of them and a good season behind them. I don't know how Suggs is a "steal" when in reality, based on the objective factors about him, he's a "reach" in the second when he has played only two pro games, and isn't 100% assured of the feature role - and where other feature backs remained on the board. How much higher SHOULD he have been picked that would make the pick of Suggs in the late 2nd a "steal?"Finally, 100% agreement on THenry as the steal of the draft - in a 14-team draft, for THenry, a top-12 back last year on only 15 games, to last until the 22nd overall pick is a shocker. BEHIND Westbrook, a rookie, and Staley - inexcusable, guys.I also agree with T Barber as a steal - he was three or four TDs away from being as good a RB as Stephen Davis last year in overall FF points scored - he had ~1700 total yards from scrimmage - and he was available in the third round of a 14-team draft. And now he has an invigoration of renewed energy with Coughlin. He will make an excellent sleeper RB2 if he falls to near the 32nd overall spot in most leagues - that's late third round in a 12-team draft.Soliciting advice from the gallery is a two stroke penalty!Here's my thoughts:Steals:1.9 Williams2.8 Henry2.14 Suggs3.4 Barber3.5 ShippReaches:1.3 Deuce1.8 Edge2.4 Jackson2.5 Staley2.7 Holt3.3 McNabbRemains to be seen:2.1 DD2.6 Westbrook3.1 C Johnson
You gonna give us a review of the teams? Somebody should. Maybe after the first 3 rounds (premiere reounds) are done?But Travis Henry probably should have been - as he should have been for the previous several picks. Shocked with you guys that Henry slipped past all these guys,
I put him on my list as a question. If this draft was not so early, things would be different, but if he's a starting RB with little competition on a team like the Raiders he could be listed as a steal. If he retires, well...
Only because each of them will probably miss games this year and Barlow has a better chance to play all 16 games since now the 9ers MUST have him on the field to win games.If I had any confidence in Marshal playing even 14 games or SDavis finishing the year healthy, they'd be above Barlow on all my boards. As it stands they are in the same bucket - happy with any of the three as my RB2, very unhappy if I'm forced to pick one (and only one) as my RB1.Of that "next tier" bucket of Henry, Barlow, DDavis, SDavis, MFaulk, Rudi, I would not feel confident in anyone of them to match a Deuce, LT, or Priest at the RB position, but any two of them could, on a given week, counter Priest plus a lower echelon RB2. IMO, that should be the thought pattern regarding your backs when you are faced with "non-elite" level RBs in the first.I almost put Barlow in my Steals list. I really think he will put up better numbers than Faulk, and possibly even Stephen Davis.
20 dollars says Stephen Jackson outproduces Henry in Fantasy points this year, regardless of where he is drafted.Bet?Finally, 100% agreement on THenry as the steal of the draft - in a 14-team draft, for THenry, a top-12 back last year on only 15 games, to last until the 22nd overall pick is a shocker. BEHIND Westbrook, a rookie, and Staley - inexcusable, guys.
I'm working my way backwards up to it.Slevin, you should have read my steals/reaches thing. It was better. Wink.
As I mentioned at the start of this thread, I don't really have time to concentrate on making selections in a mock draft right now, but tearing apart your choices is a hobby I have time for. Ha!!I just feel, that since he is the only show in town, and put up VERY good numbers last season in that role, he has the best chance of any of those listed backs to be an elite back (and it would certainly take the stars alignment). Couple that with the fact that he was picked AFTER Faulk and Davis, who I think have already peaked, I think you have a pretty good value pick. Not as good as the Henry @ 2.8, but still pretty good I thought.Only because each of them will probably miss games this year and Barlow has a better chance to play all 16 games since now the 9ers MUST have him on the field to win games.If I had any confidence in Marshal playing even 14 games or SDavis finishing the year healthy, they'd be above Barlow on all my boards. As it stands they are in the same bucket - happy with any of the three as my RB2, very unhappy if I'm forced to pick one (and only one) as my RB1.Of that "next tier" bucket of Henry, Barlow, DDavis, SDavis, MFaulk, Rudi, I would not feel confident in anyone of them to match a Deuce, LT, or Priest at the RB position, but any two of them could, on a given week, counter Priest plus a lower echelon RB2. IMO, that should be the thought pattern regarding your backs when you are faced with "non-elite" level RBs in the first.
Yes - definitely. Especially if you are talking overall points versus points per game.I think Jackson may evolve by mid-year into a feature back, but he won't start there, and Henry will be running away from McGahee.No injury outs, correct?20 dollars says Stephen Jackson outproduces Henry in Fantasy points this year, regardless of where he is drafted.Bet?HERD
Edited Because: Im sorry, that was snarky. Forget I said anything.Only because each of them will probably miss games this year and Barlow has a better chance to play all 16 games since now the 9ers MUST have him on the field to win games
I sorta agree. But when the draft is moving a little slow, and you want to do some analysis on a total of about 2 and a half rounds, we are bound to split a few hairs.Getting a player with an ADP of 1.6 at 9 is hardly a steal. Good value maybe, but Steal implies he went WAY late - not just a few picks.Henry is the only real player to drop so far - and he has to answer questions and hold off a job challenge to make him a steal at that.
done. Let's do Barber and Henry. If Jackson outproduces either you win.20 dollars says Stephen Jackson outproduces Henry in Fantasy points this year, regardless of where he is drafted.Bet?HERD
That was pretty much my thinking in taking him. Yes, there is certainly the risk that he could end up being worthless but that can be mitigated by drafting another RB later to cover for that possibility. The upside if he gets a starting gig is huge, especially if he ended up in Oakland under Norv Turner who loves to feed the ball to a RB. Dillon is really too good not to have a job somewhere, in spite of his attitude.Of course I was hoping to see Henry drop all the way down to me but alas, that plan was foiled.The only other player I really considered was Tiki, but I really have doubts about him being a fantasy stud this year. Sure, it's true that Ron Dayne is a fat slug, but look what Coughlin did for Stacy Mack a few years back. There's a good chance he will not get the goal line touches he did last year, and if he doesn't stop fumbling the ball then Coughlin will reduce all his touches.Agree on Dillon - if he becomes the Raiders' feature back, or somehow goes to the Cowboys or Patriots, he is instantly a starting RB who will probably have a top-20, could have a top-15, and an outside chance of a top-12 finish.
I believe that is the FP per game from last season (and it takes into account the games that were actually played).When we pick a player, and they are on our roster, it says FP for the final column. Assuming that is fantasy points, when is that from? Last season? Projected?
Thanks! Good to know...I believe that is the FP per game from last season (and it takes into account the games that were actually played).