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Andre Johnson (1 Viewer)

Would anyone have been surprised last year if Andre finished as a top 3 WR? No. He was being drafted with lofty expectation. The team stunk and he battled injuries.

This year he is playing at a top 3 level. Why should I expect him to stop? The guy has the talent and everyone knows it. Now we are finally seeing an offense take advantage of it. I am loving Andre this year.

 
They guy has the physical tools of TO. Now he has a new head coach that wants to get him the ball, Carr playing better and Moulds opposite him and not much of a running threat with DD out. All big +++'s.

They have to get him the ball to compete. He's the main or only weapon in Houston. Hopefully, that continues to translate into many more targets.

 
I keep waiting for the fire to simmer when it comes to Dre', but he has been remarkably consistent so far. I hope he keeps it up, because he has sat on my dynasty roster for three years waiting to be a stud.

I may not know much, but I know Houston will be passing quite a bit this year.

Go Dre!

 
I keep waiting for the fire to simmer when it comes to Dre', but he has been remarkably consistent so far. I hope he keeps it up, because he has sat on my dynasty roster for three years waiting to be a stud. I may not know much, but I know Houston will be passing quite a bit this year.Go Dre!
Before, Carr used to have D Davis as a first option on almost every pass play.Now his first and second option is usually Andre. He gets many slants as well as the deep ball.I just dont see him getting less than 10-12 targets per game going forward.
 
I've sat on him for the last 3 years in our dynasty league. He's finally paying off.

As many have said, he's always had the tools, now he's finally got a coach that understands the offensive side of the ball. Barring injury, I see no reason why he can't be a top 3-5 WR at the end of the year.

He's currently the #1 WR in our league. .5ppr, 1/20 receiving, 4/TD

 
AJ has caught 79% of passes thrown his way so far this year. That will probably come down to around 55-60% by years end. Still a very good year, but he can't keep this pace up. I'd say 1250 and 6 or 7 TDs based on his YPC.

 
he is as big & strong as TO but a lot faster (big east 60 m indoor & outdoor 100 m sprint champ)... TO was i think more like 4.5-4.6 coming out...

between kubiak & new staff coaching up OL & eric moulds presenting a viable WR2 defenses must account for, those who predicted a break out for dre seem to have been spot on...

* the subject of last weeks strategist article (subscriber content) by jason wood involved generalizing some metrics from baseball... based on which dre's catch/target ratio did appear abnormally high (i believe this was gist), & he predicted a correction as season wore on...

 
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AJ has caught 79% of passes thrown his way so far this year. That will probably come down to around 55-60% by years end. Still a very good year, but he can't keep this pace up. I'd say 1250 and 6 or 7 TDs based on his YPC.
:goodposting: I was just coming in to insert some similar #'s. No way he can keep up the Reception % that he's been posting this year, but he should still be able to post very strong numbers with the amount of targets he's seeing this year.Top 3... doubtful, I'd expect him to end up around #10.
 
What percent of his catches are short slants and other such routes that have a high catch percentage? If he's getting most of his love on these routes won't the absurd ratio continue?

So what has anyone seen that would indicate he'll start dropping more passes? I expect him to start catching fewer balls but I don't think simply because he's done so well he HAS to taper off. Will Ward start catching twice the number of passes thrown his way just because?

 
What percent of his catches are short slants and other such routes that have a high catch percentage? If he's getting most of his love on these routes won't the absurd ratio continue?So what has anyone seen that would indicate he'll start dropping more passes? I expect him to start catching fewer balls but I don't think simply because he's done so well he HAS to taper off. Will Ward start catching twice the number of passes thrown his way just because?
The laws of statistics would indicate yes. :ph34r:
 
What percent of his catches are short slants and other such routes that have a high catch percentage? If he's getting most of his love on these routes won't the absurd ratio continue?So what has anyone seen that would indicate he'll start dropping more passes? I expect him to start catching fewer balls but I don't think simply because he's done so well he HAS to taper off. Will Ward start catching twice the number of passes thrown his way just because?
The laws of statistics would indicate yes. :ph34r:
I know that's what they would indicate but I'm still not pushing hard to get Ward.What percentage of his catches are short little dumpoffs and slants? Those always have a much higher catch percentage than bombs down the field.
 
What percent of his catches are short slants and other such routes that have a high catch percentage? If he's getting most of his love on these routes won't the absurd ratio continue?So what has anyone seen that would indicate he'll start dropping more passes? I expect him to start catching fewer balls but I don't think simply because he's done so well he HAS to taper off. Will Ward start catching twice the number of passes thrown his way just because?
He will start dropping more passes because he's been getting thrown those same short slants the last 2+ years or so as well. Last year almost every pass his way was a short slant, and his catch rate was 58% IIRC.Edited to add - Of course, there are no absolutes. He could, in theory, catch every single pass for the rest of his life. The odds of this, and the odds of him keeping up a 78% catch rate this year, are slim.
 
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What percent of his catches are short slants and other such routes that have a high catch percentage? If he's getting most of his love on these routes won't the absurd ratio continue?So what has anyone seen that would indicate he'll start dropping more passes? I expect him to start catching fewer balls but I don't think simply because he's done so well he HAS to taper off. Will Ward start catching twice the number of passes thrown his way just because?
The laws of statistics would indicate yes. :ph34r:
I know that's what they would indicate but I'm still not pushing hard to get Ward.What percentage of his catches are short little dumpoffs and slants? Those always have a much higher catch percentage than bombs down the field.
I'm actually advocating pushing to get Ward as well as Joey Galloway because of this reason. I was able to get Galloway on the cheap today for Morency from the Ahman Green owner, and I'm not even a big Galloway fan. I just think that with the number of targets he's receiving, he's a good buy low guy at this time. Also factor in that rookie QBs tend to like established veterans handy to be their safety valve, I expect Joey's targets to increase.As far as Ward, his low percentage is primarily due to the fact that he and Roethlesberger have had very little time on the field together in pre-season and the regular season. With both healthy during the bye, I would expect Wards #'s to start picking up very quickly. This week is the week to target him and get him for cheap from a disgruntled owner.
 
What percent of his catches are short slants and other such routes that have a high catch percentage? If he's getting most of his love on these routes won't the absurd ratio continue?So what has anyone seen that would indicate he'll start dropping more passes? I expect him to start catching fewer balls but I don't think simply because he's done so well he HAS to taper off. Will Ward start catching twice the number of passes thrown his way just because?
He will start dropping more passes because he's been getting thrown those same short slants the last 2+ years or so as well. Last year almost every pass his way was a short slant, and his catch rate was 58% IIRC.
It's a lot easier to catch them when A) you arent getting double covered every time, and B) your QB isnt falling onto his back as he is throwing them.Also, in years past, AJ has dropped a lot of easy ones. He looks to be catching them this year. ( I can only recall one bad drop so far)
 

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