King of the Jungle
Footballguy
One of the most polarizing eval’s of skill players in the draft for me. Just not confident enough to take him in the top ten in a rookie draft.
Nick Penticoff
Every Kaleb Johnson rush, route, target, and pass blocking rep from his 2025 NFL Preseason debut.
The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size.
The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game. Now, if a rb comes out and gets two carries and fumbled both, thats different to me. His first ever NFL game he didn't look anything near to what I saw from him from college. I'm still not moving his needle much. He started. Had a good stiff arm. Left the game healthy. Welcome to the league kid
This is what we say when a guy does poorly. "Its just pre season". When he does awesomely, we take it seriously.The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game.
Even if he is it won’t matter. Johnson should easily pass him on the depth chart in short order.Are owners 100% sure he's not behind Gainwell?
It's a sick game huh. Ha haThis is what we say when a guy does poorly. "Its just pre season". When he does awesomely, we take it seriously.The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game.
Good post.The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game. Now, if a rb comes out and gets two carries and fumbled both, thats different to me. His first ever NFL game he didn't look anything near to what I saw from him from college. I'm still not moving his needle much. He started. Had a good stiff arm. Left the game healthy. Welcome to the league kid
No idea what the Steelers depth chart shows but I bet he's ahead of Gainwell in week 1, or shortly thereafter. I don't believe RJ Harvey is RB5 in Denver either based on their depth chart.Are owners 100% sure he's not behind Gainwell?
It's what us sharks do buddy. We prey on chum. It why I bumped the Garrett Wilson thread. This time of year I look at players people aren't talking about as the next shiny thing and try to take them. Ha haI agree with FarfromHome, but would like to add now is the time to take advantage.
Owners need to be vigilant about sourcing their hype. There IS actionable news in the summer. But man, some people will listen to anyone. There's a guy on Twitter https://x.com/jagibbs_23Amen. We see this every year. Preseason darlings suck in the regular season. Preseason drubs blow up in the regular season. I can't imagine there is any correlation between preseason hype (in either direction) and actual results.
Easy smash accept; congrats!I agree with FarfromHome, but would like to add now is the time to take advantage.
I just had an offer of my 2026 2nd and Justice Hill for Kaleb and thought I was going to break my keyboard accepting. I am rebuilding, so my 2nd should be early, but this was a no doubter.
I just had an offer of my 2026 2nd and Justice Hill for Kaleb and thought I was going to break my keyboard accepting. I am rebuilding, so my 2nd should be early, but this was a no doubter.
I just had an offer of my 2026 2nd and Justice Hill for Kaleb and thought I was going to break my keyboard accepting. I am rebuilding, so my 2nd should be early, but this was a no doubter.
Is Justice Hill that valuable?
I remember I liked how Guerendo looked in preseason last year. Guerendo showed burst despite the lack of production. The knocks on Johnson were lack of speed and lack of creativity, and he didn't do anything to prove the naysayers wrong.Good post.The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game. Now, if a rb comes out and gets two carries and fumbled both, thats different to me. His first ever NFL game he didn't look anything near to what I saw from him from college. I'm still not moving his needle much. He started. Had a good stiff arm. Left the game healthy. Welcome to the league kid
I remember Isaac Guerendo last year being under 3 YPC in preseason and he was just fine when he started for CMC. Breece Hall was 14 carries for 29 yards as a rookie in the preseason.
Graham Barfield
Rewatched Kaleb Johnson vs. Jags tonight. Not great. Missed two wide open holes and bounced those runs outside. Burst was non-existent. Would bet on Jaylen Warren having a huge role early in the season.
This right hereThe problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size