King of the Jungle
Footballguy
One of the most polarizing eval’s of skill players in the draft for me. Just not confident enough to take him in the top ten in a rookie draft.
Nick Penticoff
Every Kaleb Johnson rush, route, target, and pass blocking rep from his 2025 NFL Preseason debut.
The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size.
The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game. Now, if a rb comes out and gets two carries and fumbled both, thats different to me. His first ever NFL game he didn't look anything near to what I saw from him from college. I'm still not moving his needle much. He started. Had a good stiff arm. Left the game healthy. Welcome to the league kid
This is what we say when a guy does poorly. "Its just pre season". When he does awesomely, we take it seriously.The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game.
Even if he is it won’t matter. Johnson should easily pass him on the depth chart in short order.Are owners 100% sure he's not behind Gainwell?
It's a sick game huh. Ha haThis is what we say when a guy does poorly. "Its just pre season". When he does awesomely, we take it seriously.The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game.
Good post.The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game. Now, if a rb comes out and gets two carries and fumbled both, thats different to me. His first ever NFL game he didn't look anything near to what I saw from him from college. I'm still not moving his needle much. He started. Had a good stiff arm. Left the game healthy. Welcome to the league kid
No idea what the Steelers depth chart shows but I bet he's ahead of Gainwell in week 1, or shortly thereafter. I don't believe RJ Harvey is RB5 in Denver either based on their depth chart.Are owners 100% sure he's not behind Gainwell?
It's what us sharks do buddy. We prey on chum. It why I bumped the Garrett Wilson thread. This time of year I look at players people aren't talking about as the next shiny thing and try to take them. Ha haI agree with FarfromHome, but would like to add now is the time to take advantage.
Owners need to be vigilant about sourcing their hype. There IS actionable news in the summer. But man, some people will listen to anyone. There's a guy on Twitter https://x.com/jagibbs_23Amen. We see this every year. Preseason darlings suck in the regular season. Preseason drubs blow up in the regular season. I can't imagine there is any correlation between preseason hype (in either direction) and actual results.
Easy smash accept; congrats!I agree with FarfromHome, but would like to add now is the time to take advantage.
I just had an offer of my 2026 2nd and Justice Hill for Kaleb and thought I was going to break my keyboard accepting. I am rebuilding, so my 2nd should be early, but this was a no doubter.
I just had an offer of my 2026 2nd and Justice Hill for Kaleb and thought I was going to break my keyboard accepting. I am rebuilding, so my 2nd should be early, but this was a no doubter.
I just had an offer of my 2026 2nd and Justice Hill for Kaleb and thought I was going to break my keyboard accepting. I am rebuilding, so my 2nd should be early, but this was a no doubter.
Is Justice Hill that valuable?
I remember I liked how Guerendo looked in preseason last year. Guerendo showed burst despite the lack of production. The knocks on Johnson were lack of speed and lack of creativity, and he didn't do anything to prove the naysayers wrong.Good post.The problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size. A decade ago I convinced myself not to move the value needle to much on one preseason game. Now, if a rb comes out and gets two carries and fumbled both, thats different to me. His first ever NFL game he didn't look anything near to what I saw from him from college. I'm still not moving his needle much. He started. Had a good stiff arm. Left the game healthy. Welcome to the league kid
I remember Isaac Guerendo last year being under 3 YPC in preseason and he was just fine when he started for CMC. Breece Hall was 14 carries for 29 yards as a rookie in the preseason.
Graham Barfield
Rewatched Kaleb Johnson vs. Jags tonight. Not great. Missed two wide open holes and bounced those runs outside. Burst was non-existent. Would bet on Jaylen Warren having a huge role early in the season.
This right hereThe problem with us fantasy nerds is we put too much value on too little sample size
Andrew Fillipponi
Excellent Steelers insider @rayfitt1 on @937theFan: "There's no way the Steelers are going to trust Kaleb Johnson to pass protect or catch the ball out of the backfield."
Fittipaldo does NOT see much of a role for Kaleb Johnson to start the season.
Holy cow--awesome post/find. Jacob Gibbs is doing the lord's work here. I love resources like this. Thanks! (and I don't even have shares of this player, but compilations like this are fun to watch)
Every rush and target from him yesterday
Maybe one day he is a RB2... possibly even next season with Warren a FA. But I wouldn't bet on that THIS season.Man, I traded up in a dynasty start-up draft to make this dude my RB2. Happy to see improvements but this is not exactly the early reporting I was hoping for.![]()
Start up pick 7.10 in a SF.Anyone drafting him so far? What round?
Just took him at 7.7 in an FFPC league. I still think he will have the biggest share of the backfield by the 2nd half of the year.Anyone drafting him so far? What round?
Warren has looked worse though.Steelers RB draft picks rarely seem to bust but I haven't seen much from Kaleb Johnson in preseason to move me off my initial impression that he's a player to avoid. If the OL opens up a big lane, he can run through it with some speed and elusiveness, but too often he looks tentative, a little ovewhelmed, and goes down on first contact. He's a rookie - maybe he'll figure it out - but for now it feels like Jaylen Warren is undervalued, perhaps Kenneth Gainwell too.
He's only carried the ball twice with two receptions. Granted he fumbled on one of those but it hardly seems like much of a body of evidence to base this kind of comment on.Warren has looked worse though.
Not to mention we have seen enough of Warren that a little preseason action shouldn't move the needle.He's only carried the ball twice with two receptions. Granted he fumbled on one of those but it hardly seems like much of a body of evidence to base this kind of comment on.Warren has looked worse though.
Enough of a sample size that their own beat writer put out and entire article saying Warren might get benched.He's only carried the ball twice with two receptions. Granted he fumbled on one of those but it hardly seems like much of a body of evidence to base this kind of comment on.Warren has looked worse though.
Nothing in that article says he's looked worse or bad. It just says he fumbled and if he keeps fumbling again it could open up the crack that Kaleb needs to get on the field and run away with the job.Enough of a sample size that their own beat writer put out and entire article saying Warren might get benched.He's only carried the ball twice with two receptions. Granted he fumbled on one of those but it hardly seems like much of a body of evidence to base this kind of comment on.Warren has looked worse though.
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'I Could See Him Getting Benched:' Beat Writer Offers Warning Over Jaylen Warren's Fumbles
Pittsburgh Steelers RB Jaylen Warren has a big opportunity in 2025. His former backfield mate, RB Najee Harris, left in free agency. The Steelers drafted RB Kaleb Johnson in the third round, but Warren is the most experienced running back in Pittsburgh. For the most part, the Steelers treated...steelersdepot.com
#clickbaitEnough of a sample size that their own beat writer put out and entire article saying Warren might get benched.He's only carried the ball twice with two receptions. Granted he fumbled on one of those but it hardly seems like much of a body of evidence to base this kind of comment on.Warren has looked worse though.
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'I Could See Him Getting Benched:' Beat Writer Offers Warning Over Jaylen Warren's Fumbles
Pittsburgh Steelers RB Jaylen Warren has a big opportunity in 2025. His former backfield mate, RB Najee Harris, left in free agency. The Steelers drafted RB Kaleb Johnson in the third round, but Warren is the most experienced running back in Pittsburgh. For the most part, the Steelers treated...steelersdepot.com
By their beat writer?#clickbaitEnough of a sample size that their own beat writer put out and entire article saying Warren might get benched.He's only carried the ball twice with two receptions. Granted he fumbled on one of those but it hardly seems like much of a body of evidence to base this kind of comment on.Warren has looked worse though.
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'I Could See Him Getting Benched:' Beat Writer Offers Warning Over Jaylen Warren's Fumbles
Pittsburgh Steelers RB Jaylen Warren has a big opportunity in 2025. His former backfield mate, RB Najee Harris, left in free agency. The Steelers drafted RB Kaleb Johnson in the third round, but Warren is the most experienced running back in Pittsburgh. For the most part, the Steelers treated...steelersdepot.com
He made it after their last preseason game.I'm also pretty sure he made that comment weeks and weeks ago, just generally speaking when asked question about Warren's historical fumbling issues.
Local knowledge man... there is no expiration date on it.Kaboly?He managed to stay awake for pressers lately?
That guy...let's just say when it comes to football he's the best guy you'll find for info on the WWE.
He has relationships with a couple vet players on the team, so when it comes to "locker room gossip" Kaboly's yer guy. When it comes to ball? He doesnt know it.
I'm also pretty sure he made that comment weeks and weeks ago, just generally speaking when asked question about Warren's historical fumbling issues.
Depot guy there is just quoting it like it was a response specific to that preseason game when he fumbled. It wasnt.
He made it after their last preseason game.I'm also pretty sure he made that comment weeks and weeks ago, just generally speaking when asked question about Warren's historical fumbling issues.