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Andrew Luck (1 Viewer)

timschochet

Footballguy
I started the year with Michael Vick as my QB1, and Luck on my bench. After the debacle last week against Arizona, I switched them and Luck became my starter. That paid off yesterday in a big way. Last night, Joe Bryant wrote in his daily email:

Luck has arrived in the QB1 tier. The only question now is how high he can go. Luck has three 300 yard games, and his fantasy points as a runner have gone up every week. He'll draw the Revis-less Jets defense next week.

Pretty exciting stuff. Does the Shark Pool agree? How do you see Luck's future, this year? (I don't care about dynasty.)

 
Jets Brown Titans Dolphins Jaguars Patriots Bills Lions Titans. His next 9 game sure put him in position to be a top 8 qb in that stretch. The rushing yards are a nice bonus too.

 
I'm in a similar situation - I have Vick and Flacco. WE have really shallow benches, so Luck is still on the WW. Starting to consider dropping Flacco for him, but I can't decide.

 
I still can't figure out why he was so underrated going into the fantasy season. His good start isn't really surprising at all.

 
I still can't figure out why he was so underrated going into the fantasy season. His good start isn't really surprising at all.
I agree that he was well worth a late pick. I'm shocked that there isn't more hype about this kid. I guess with the way he was already hyped up that he's just meeting expectations right now. He's also been overshadowed by RG3.
 
Everyone knew of his potential, but we didn't know how quick the learning curve would be, and what sort of a team around him.

 
Same. I have Vick and Luck and will be starting Luck unless Vick has a very nice matchup and Luck a very bad one.

 
Started him in Stafford's bye week and I think it might continue moving forward.

Neat stat: his points per game have gone up by approx. 6 each week. 13, 19, 25, 31 have been his approximate scoring outputs each week in my leagues.

 
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Started him in Stafford's bye week and I think it might continue moving forward.
Same thing to me. My league is VERY QB-heavy (like 1 pt per 10 yards passing, 6 pt TD, 3 pt per 5 completion, and big bonuses at 300, 400, 500 yards passing), so I spent the 8th overall pick on Stafford. I got Luck in like the 8th. Obviously Stafford pick has been a bust, but Luck put up a big week today and I think I'm gonna roll him with going forward.
 
Funny how Luck continues to be overshadowed by the #2 draft pick? I get it, everyone wants a Newton repeat, but not only is Luck better now, he will be the only top 2 draft pick still standing at the end of the year.

He is easily a top 10-12.

 
Funny how Luck continues to be overshadowed by the #2 draft pick? I get it, everyone wants a Newton repeat, but not only is Luck better now, he will be the only top 2 draft pick still standing at the end of the year.He is easily a top 10-12.
:goodposting: . and then some ..Watching him yesterday; looks like he's been in the league for years. Natural. Prototype. How's Cam working out this year?
 
Can we slow down just a bit? He is a rookie and there is not much tape on him.

I would assume the defensive coaches who have been in the league will be able to get some reads on him as soon as there is decent tape.

I love some Luck, but I'm a little more reserved on his results as the season goes on due to how defenses change as the season goes forward.

 
Considering moving Flacco and Steve Smith for him in a 12 team league based off of that electric performance yesterday as well as Bryant's words on the FBG E-mail as well as Bloom's thoughts from the Recap show.

 
I'm in a 2-QB league and have been rolling with Luck and RG3 lately, with Vick on my bench. Really liking Luck just because he's throwing it like 40+ times a game.

Question though, I know "blah blah we don't care about your team", but I'm wondering which of my QBs you would drop for an upgrade at WR. I definitely want to keep Luck, but RG3 and Vick is always a huge risk injury-wise. I know RG3 has been a stud but his schedule gets very tough, while Vick's schedule opens up at least a little bit here soon.

 
Funny how Luck continues to be overshadowed by the #2 draft pick? I get it, everyone wants a Newton repeat, but not only is Luck better now, he will be the only top 2 draft pick still standing at the end of the year.He is easily a top 10-12.
i think its absolutely nuts how nobody is talking about luck. im thinking the upset over green bay will change things
 
Grabbed him the 7th of a 2QB league. Just traded away Cutler who was my QB2 (with Brees my QB1) because I felt I could ride Luck the rest of the way as a starter.

In a single QB league, it'd depend on my starter. 12 team leagues, I think its a definite. 10 team, I'd look at the matchups.

 
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Can we slow down just a bit? He is a rookie and there is not much tape on him.I would assume the defensive coaches who have been in the league will be able to get some reads on him as soon as there is decent tape.I love some Luck, but I'm a little more reserved on his results as the season goes on due to how defenses change as the season goes forward.
It really doesn't/won't matter. When you have a competent QB combined with an offensive philosophy that's pass-heavy, it's a recipe for consistent production. Remember, this isn't revisionist history being written here. A LOT of people who know a lot more than you and me combined have argued that he has the combination of physical tools, football aptitude, and work ethic to succeed at a very high level, immediately. Luck is simply corroborating those arguments made this past spring and early-summer.Bottom line, Luck is only going to get better, not worse.
 
What are guys getting in trades for luck? Or giving up?

I have him and Ryan and need to deal one, I like Ryan more so would prefer moving luck

 
I have him and Big Ben. Given that I'm a Colts fan, I want to roll Luck every week. Ben has been great though. Gotta see if somebody will trade for him.

Doubt it though.

 
'otb_lifer said:
'pizzatyme said:
Funny how Luck continues to be overshadowed by the #2 draft pick? I get it, everyone wants a Newton repeat, but not only is Luck better now, he will be the only top 2 draft pick still standing at the end of the year.He is easily a top 10-12.
:goodposting: . and then some ..Watching him yesterday; looks like he's been in the league for years. Natural. Prototype. How's Cam working out this year?
Oh yeah! Down with Cam and Griffin from week 5 on! It's all Luck all the time now! :yawn:ETA: Assuming a response to this post to say something along the lines of "bitter Cam owner?". The predictable shark pool.
 
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'Phenix said:
Can we slow down just a bit? He is a rookie and there is not much tape on him.
I mean he did play his entire college career in a pro-style offense. They'd be idiots to not base some of their defensive gameplans on that.
 
'Phenix said:
Can we slow down just a bit? He is a rookie and there is not much tape on him.
I mean he did play his entire college career in a pro-style offense. They'd be idiots to not base some of their defensive gameplans on that.
Not to mention that the league has plenty of video on Brees, Brady, Rodgers, and Manning(s), but still have difficulty stopping them. I mean Luck is looking at the game tapes of the defenses to prepare. It goes both ways.
 
I think the great thing about rookies in FF is that most people's initial reaction is "Pfft, it's only one game. We'll see how he does once he sees _(insert menacing sounding defense)___"

Yet they neglect the fact that the arrow can point the other way as well. What if Luck starts running QB draws at the goalline all the time a la Cam Newton due to the pitiful colts running game? What if Luck actually gets BETTER in the 2nd half of the season? What if he starts using that 4.5 speed to run for more yds?

I understand the need to call for regression to the mean, but with such little existing data on this guy, how does anyone even know what the mean is?

 
I think the great thing about rookies in FF is that most people's initial reaction is "Pfft, it's only one game. We'll see how he does once he sees _(insert menacing sounding defense)___"Yet they neglect the fact that the arrow can point the other way as well. What if Luck starts running QB draws at the goalline all the time a la Cam Newton due to the pitiful colts running game? What if Luck actually gets BETTER in the 2nd half of the season? What if he starts using that 4.5 speed to run for more yds?I understand the need to call for regression to the mean, but with such little existing data on this guy, how does anyone even know what the mean is?
Excellent point. He has been touted as the greatest QB prospect since Elway. So far he's living up to the hype. Maybe this is his norm. Sometimes you have to take a chance in FF that what you see is what you're going to get and hope it pays off.
 
He's a QB1. He's a top 5-6 QB in fantasy. Obviously he can play, has decent enough targets, has to pass often most if not every game, gets to play most games in a controlled weather environment and after this weeks game has only games against NE and KC in week 16 where winter weather might impact the game.

In terms of fantasy production he's improved every game. He's a dual threat for fantasy points. He's almost tied with Vick in fantasy PPG via rushing but as of now trails only Vick, Griffin and Cam.

On my biggest team I've got Cam and Luck. I benched Cam last week and while performance of one or the other can alter how I view them at this point I don't anticipate putting Cam back in ahead of him until week 9 against Washington.

 
rest of the season things are looking great but this week at nyj I am not sure he puts up the numbers. jets def has been pretty good against the pass even without revis...

 
My concern is not Luck himself but Reggie Wayne. If (Lord forbid) Wayne should go down then Luck's value would plummet since that team lacks both WR depth and a decent running game. Luck is not like Brady, Brees, Ryan, Rodgers, Eli and others that have multiple weapons at their disposal as part of a well-oiled offensive machine. So in that regard he has higher than normal risk IMO. Edit: spelling.

 
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