TheDirtyWord
Footballguy
So I do think we'll see a sea change of sorts with regard to what constitutes a HOF QB over the next 10-15 years.
If you consider the rules changes that have benefitted QB's (can't hit defenseless receivers, no head shots/below the knee shots to QB's/no body weight on QB, etc...), this benefits the QB's production on a game-to-game basis, but also their longevity.
Take a guy like Mahomes. he's 23 now. Just threw for 5,000 yards. Given the trajectory of passing stats in the NFL...it's not beyond the realm of reason to think that by the time he's 35, he'll have 70,000 career passing yards.
And with QB's playing into their 40's now (Brady, Brees have already made it and you hear guys like Rivers, Big Ben, Ryan talking about it)...the historical statistical comparison of bygone eras will become moot.
On a pacing perspective, on average...the HOF seems to induct a QB every 3 years. Given that each class has a ceiling, I don't think you'll see the committee start to increase that pace. So the bar of the 'best of the best' is sure to rise.
For me...while I think Rivers/Ryan are carbon copies of one another when you look at their respective careers...I also wonder if either gets in because appearing in the Top 5 of NFL career passing categories will not hold the same weight it has.
If you consider the rules changes that have benefitted QB's (can't hit defenseless receivers, no head shots/below the knee shots to QB's/no body weight on QB, etc...), this benefits the QB's production on a game-to-game basis, but also their longevity.
Take a guy like Mahomes. he's 23 now. Just threw for 5,000 yards. Given the trajectory of passing stats in the NFL...it's not beyond the realm of reason to think that by the time he's 35, he'll have 70,000 career passing yards.
And with QB's playing into their 40's now (Brady, Brees have already made it and you hear guys like Rivers, Big Ben, Ryan talking about it)...the historical statistical comparison of bygone eras will become moot.
On a pacing perspective, on average...the HOF seems to induct a QB every 3 years. Given that each class has a ceiling, I don't think you'll see the committee start to increase that pace. So the bar of the 'best of the best' is sure to rise.
For me...while I think Rivers/Ryan are carbon copies of one another when you look at their respective careers...I also wonder if either gets in because appearing in the Top 5 of NFL career passing categories will not hold the same weight it has.
