Mr Non Sequitur
Footballguy
Just an inventory and working list with some quick thoughts.
Arizona: Feels like Mendenhall is going to be the starter there and maybe Ryan Williams will be worked in if he can stay healthy. I would say Williams has a lot of speculation or speculative attributes but until he can actually stay on the field there is very little to get excited about. Add in a questionable OL and there is not huge reason to roster this guy in redrafts except that Mendenhall is not likely to get all the touches so we go back to square one.
Atlanta: I like Quizz a lot in 2013. He has a solid RB1 beside him, look for Rodgers to maintain his 3rd down role, something he did very well with last season. Lack of a solid WR3 is going to keep Rodgers on the field. Jackson can't carry the ball much more than 18-20 times a game and I don't believe they will load him up with 300 carries. Quizz should see 10-12 touches a game, he already had about 50 receptions last season so he has a role on this team. I think he makes a solid RB3 in most PPR leagues, will be a flex option on those dreaded bye weeks in the middle of our season. He is being drafted pretty late and I think he has top 25-30 potential in PPR leagues. This is a spare part I want in my toolbox on Sundays.
Baltimore: Bernard Pierce sure looks the part. How long can they keep him to just a handful of touches per game? You likely could never start him even 1 time during the season as long as Ray Rice is healthy. Could Pierce make enough waves to crack the top 30 in a reserve roll? 600 yds, 4 TD on only 125 carries.
Buffalo: Fred Jackson will be 32.5 years old when the season starts. While he doesn't have the wear and tear of many, he seems likely to continue getting hurt as many do when they age at RB. Heart of a lion, love his passion but the wheels have to come off at some time. I'm down on the Bills OL right now as well. Someone will take him and pound their chest in redraft leagues but it won't be me.
Carolina: DeAngelo Williams is 30 years old, looked like he lost a step last season, owners never have any idea what he might do although it usually is a lot of air dip and wind pudding as of late. It's always nice to open this romantic tale at some point in the draft and remember the good times in 2008 but his best days are behind him and the panthers know it too, pay cut was handed down.
Chicago: Michael Bush(29) is always interesting but the new coaching staff scares me some. Bush was 46th last season but mostly he was useless. Owners envisioned a 2 back attack but that did not materialize. Outside of the Matt Forte owners there isn't a lot of to entice most here.
Cincinnati: Depends on what you believe. If we want to say Bernard is the RB2 here to start the season then I say he is one of the juiciest spare parts on the whole list. I expect Bernard to settle into a 12-18 touch weekly effort depending on the match up and how the game is going. If we speak of BJGE as the RB2, I am less interested. If Bernard is your RB3 in the 7th/8th round in a PPR, you just committed grand larceny.
Cleveland Browns: Montario Hardesty is about as big a gap in talent from the RB1 to the RB2 as we have seen so far. He has been admirable in service and spot play but I have no interest in him unless maybe last round and I owned Trent Richardson, even then maybe not.
Dallas: Joseph Randle? Not sure of the pecking order here just yet and the OL continues to underwhelm most of us.
Denver: Check back when we actually have the correct order and also who is actually on the team. Montee Ball starting to look like a clear path to the starting role. Maybe Elway can convince Fox of the need for an every down back who is the bonafide RB1.
Detroit: Reggie Bush is starting. LeShoure or Bell? I am interested because of Bush missing some time here and there. high powered offense, always good to have a spare part from a team that actually can score a lot. Anyone with insight into this please post below.
Green Bay: Franklin is the back up here right? We might need to settle that but I am definitely interested in Franklin if he initially is the RB2 here. I would also have an interest in Lacy if he were not the RB1 but I believe initially they are going to wheel them out in those roles. Starks and Green are not int he picture any more, would look for them to land on other teams.
Houston: Ben Tate is always a hot commodity. In 2011 he had almost 1,000 yards backing up Foster. He is going to leave the Texans I would imagine but that is not going to be in 2013.
Indianapolis: Have we given the starting job to Ballard too soon? Could Donald Brown get int he mix there before it is all said and done? Even if he did manage to become the starter there seems to be little upside to him.
Jacksonville: Justin Forsett will not see the field very often. I actually like Denard Robinson to become some sort of hybrid RB2/Slot WR although the pay off won't be all that much.
Kansas City: Shaun Draughn is battling injuries right now, I am high on Knile Davis and I think he will become the COP back here. I also have never seen Reid really support a 2 back system but if Charles went down we could see one of these guys become an instant pick up. You should at least familiarize yourself with these guys.
Miami Dolphins: This one is interesting. Has Lamar Miller actually been named the starter yet? Daniel Thomas? I don't see much with Thomas so I actually will mention Mike Gillislee as someone you want to follow in camps and just keep an eye on. Doubt highly he would be the starter but one of the other guys goes down and he will see some time pretty quick. He also is a solid pass protector and has good hands which should earn him 3rd down duties quickly/immediately.
Minnesota: What happened to all those touches Toby Gerhart was going to get last season?
New England: Shane Vereen garners a lot of talk. Danny Woodhead is gone, he was a spare part that actually had a role at times on this team.
New Orleans: Mark Ingram is getting a lot of buzz but has he beat out Pierre Thomas yet? Ivory is gone, Ingram is going around RB32 off the board. Thomas catches the ball pretty well and that's why he starts ahead of Ingram IMO, how does that change in 2013?
New York Jets: Mike Goodson will likely settle into the RB2 role here. He was a solid guy in Carolina and many thought he might become a feature back on another team. He struck out in Oakland largely on injury but I expect him to see a significantly bigger role here in New York. I like Ivory to win the job but whoever is the RB2 will likely see some action with an inexperienced RB1 starting.
New York Giants: Andre Brown might come in handy with a lot of folks still skeptical of David Wilson as the full time back. Brown is a decent spare part to have around and if Wilson fumbles a couple times you could see a lot of Brown especially at the goal line where he could easily rack up 8-10 TD but then again he showed us he could do that last year. In TD heavy leagues he is worth a lot more.
Oakland: When does McFadden ever finish an entire season? Rashad Jennings will see the field and even though he was a disappointment last year in Jax I am thinking he might see some significant playing time in Oakland and in the end isn't that one of the things we are looking for in the spare parts section?
Philadelphia: Bryce Brown has the attention of many. I look for the Eagles to run a lot out of the spread. Oregon ran the ball a lot, plenty of touches to go around here. McCoy is the clear starter and winner but Brown is a guy you want to keep away from the McCoy owner if you can. He could see 150-200 touches including receptions where I see something in the neighborhood of 30-40.
Pittsburgh: Dwyer? The running game in Pittsburgh ain't what it used to be.
St Louis: We need a pecking order here but let's assume it comes down to Richardson and Stacy for the RB1 and Pead as the RB2. If it rolls out as Pead in the CoP role then I like him a lot as a possible RB3/RB4 for owners. I see 1 back getting 15+ carries at some point and then a CoP back to bridge the gap and also be there for 3rd down and passing situations. Pead could be a very nice spare part if he advances his game in 2013.
San Diego: Don't forget about Danny Woodhead here. he will be the 3rd down back and see some action in the running game at times as well. Definitely a spare part you can grab and possible plug in for bye weeks. Very little investment needed here.
San Francisco: I am high on LaMichael James. I know Gore is the RB1 but there is room here for a breakout CoP type for 3rd downs and also to get a few carries a game to try and exploit the speed here. I would be interested in James at his ADp of mid teen rounds, I'l be happy to spend an 11th or 12th round pick on him as my RB4 with bigger ideas planned. I think his stock will move up. We can discuss Kendall Hunter and he might still take the Gore role at some point but I see James carving out a role that owners can live with.
Seattle: Love Turbin and Christine but they are not going to see the field much.
Tampa Bay: Mike James? This is what makes Martin so good of a pick, he literally has nothing to steal from him.
Tennessee: Shonn Greene has to be someone you at least take a look at with the improvements they have on the OL. Not likely he beats out Chris Johnson but he could see a few TDs around the goal line if Tennessee ever makes it into the red zone.
Washington: No one is even drafting a back up in Washington, I find that funny on a Mike Shanahan team. I am not a big Alfred Morris fan so I will be keeping an eye on how Roy Helu looks coming back form injury.
Arizona: Feels like Mendenhall is going to be the starter there and maybe Ryan Williams will be worked in if he can stay healthy. I would say Williams has a lot of speculation or speculative attributes but until he can actually stay on the field there is very little to get excited about. Add in a questionable OL and there is not huge reason to roster this guy in redrafts except that Mendenhall is not likely to get all the touches so we go back to square one.
Atlanta: I like Quizz a lot in 2013. He has a solid RB1 beside him, look for Rodgers to maintain his 3rd down role, something he did very well with last season. Lack of a solid WR3 is going to keep Rodgers on the field. Jackson can't carry the ball much more than 18-20 times a game and I don't believe they will load him up with 300 carries. Quizz should see 10-12 touches a game, he already had about 50 receptions last season so he has a role on this team. I think he makes a solid RB3 in most PPR leagues, will be a flex option on those dreaded bye weeks in the middle of our season. He is being drafted pretty late and I think he has top 25-30 potential in PPR leagues. This is a spare part I want in my toolbox on Sundays.
Baltimore: Bernard Pierce sure looks the part. How long can they keep him to just a handful of touches per game? You likely could never start him even 1 time during the season as long as Ray Rice is healthy. Could Pierce make enough waves to crack the top 30 in a reserve roll? 600 yds, 4 TD on only 125 carries.
Buffalo: Fred Jackson will be 32.5 years old when the season starts. While he doesn't have the wear and tear of many, he seems likely to continue getting hurt as many do when they age at RB. Heart of a lion, love his passion but the wheels have to come off at some time. I'm down on the Bills OL right now as well. Someone will take him and pound their chest in redraft leagues but it won't be me.
Carolina: DeAngelo Williams is 30 years old, looked like he lost a step last season, owners never have any idea what he might do although it usually is a lot of air dip and wind pudding as of late. It's always nice to open this romantic tale at some point in the draft and remember the good times in 2008 but his best days are behind him and the panthers know it too, pay cut was handed down.
Chicago: Michael Bush(29) is always interesting but the new coaching staff scares me some. Bush was 46th last season but mostly he was useless. Owners envisioned a 2 back attack but that did not materialize. Outside of the Matt Forte owners there isn't a lot of to entice most here.
Cincinnati: Depends on what you believe. If we want to say Bernard is the RB2 here to start the season then I say he is one of the juiciest spare parts on the whole list. I expect Bernard to settle into a 12-18 touch weekly effort depending on the match up and how the game is going. If we speak of BJGE as the RB2, I am less interested. If Bernard is your RB3 in the 7th/8th round in a PPR, you just committed grand larceny.
Cleveland Browns: Montario Hardesty is about as big a gap in talent from the RB1 to the RB2 as we have seen so far. He has been admirable in service and spot play but I have no interest in him unless maybe last round and I owned Trent Richardson, even then maybe not.
Dallas: Joseph Randle? Not sure of the pecking order here just yet and the OL continues to underwhelm most of us.
Denver: Check back when we actually have the correct order and also who is actually on the team. Montee Ball starting to look like a clear path to the starting role. Maybe Elway can convince Fox of the need for an every down back who is the bonafide RB1.
Detroit: Reggie Bush is starting. LeShoure or Bell? I am interested because of Bush missing some time here and there. high powered offense, always good to have a spare part from a team that actually can score a lot. Anyone with insight into this please post below.
Green Bay: Franklin is the back up here right? We might need to settle that but I am definitely interested in Franklin if he initially is the RB2 here. I would also have an interest in Lacy if he were not the RB1 but I believe initially they are going to wheel them out in those roles. Starks and Green are not int he picture any more, would look for them to land on other teams.
Houston: Ben Tate is always a hot commodity. In 2011 he had almost 1,000 yards backing up Foster. He is going to leave the Texans I would imagine but that is not going to be in 2013.
Indianapolis: Have we given the starting job to Ballard too soon? Could Donald Brown get int he mix there before it is all said and done? Even if he did manage to become the starter there seems to be little upside to him.
Jacksonville: Justin Forsett will not see the field very often. I actually like Denard Robinson to become some sort of hybrid RB2/Slot WR although the pay off won't be all that much.
Kansas City: Shaun Draughn is battling injuries right now, I am high on Knile Davis and I think he will become the COP back here. I also have never seen Reid really support a 2 back system but if Charles went down we could see one of these guys become an instant pick up. You should at least familiarize yourself with these guys.
Miami Dolphins: This one is interesting. Has Lamar Miller actually been named the starter yet? Daniel Thomas? I don't see much with Thomas so I actually will mention Mike Gillislee as someone you want to follow in camps and just keep an eye on. Doubt highly he would be the starter but one of the other guys goes down and he will see some time pretty quick. He also is a solid pass protector and has good hands which should earn him 3rd down duties quickly/immediately.
Minnesota: What happened to all those touches Toby Gerhart was going to get last season?
New England: Shane Vereen garners a lot of talk. Danny Woodhead is gone, he was a spare part that actually had a role at times on this team.
New Orleans: Mark Ingram is getting a lot of buzz but has he beat out Pierre Thomas yet? Ivory is gone, Ingram is going around RB32 off the board. Thomas catches the ball pretty well and that's why he starts ahead of Ingram IMO, how does that change in 2013?
New York Jets: Mike Goodson will likely settle into the RB2 role here. He was a solid guy in Carolina and many thought he might become a feature back on another team. He struck out in Oakland largely on injury but I expect him to see a significantly bigger role here in New York. I like Ivory to win the job but whoever is the RB2 will likely see some action with an inexperienced RB1 starting.
New York Giants: Andre Brown might come in handy with a lot of folks still skeptical of David Wilson as the full time back. Brown is a decent spare part to have around and if Wilson fumbles a couple times you could see a lot of Brown especially at the goal line where he could easily rack up 8-10 TD but then again he showed us he could do that last year. In TD heavy leagues he is worth a lot more.
Oakland: When does McFadden ever finish an entire season? Rashad Jennings will see the field and even though he was a disappointment last year in Jax I am thinking he might see some significant playing time in Oakland and in the end isn't that one of the things we are looking for in the spare parts section?
Philadelphia: Bryce Brown has the attention of many. I look for the Eagles to run a lot out of the spread. Oregon ran the ball a lot, plenty of touches to go around here. McCoy is the clear starter and winner but Brown is a guy you want to keep away from the McCoy owner if you can. He could see 150-200 touches including receptions where I see something in the neighborhood of 30-40.
Pittsburgh: Dwyer? The running game in Pittsburgh ain't what it used to be.
St Louis: We need a pecking order here but let's assume it comes down to Richardson and Stacy for the RB1 and Pead as the RB2. If it rolls out as Pead in the CoP role then I like him a lot as a possible RB3/RB4 for owners. I see 1 back getting 15+ carries at some point and then a CoP back to bridge the gap and also be there for 3rd down and passing situations. Pead could be a very nice spare part if he advances his game in 2013.
San Diego: Don't forget about Danny Woodhead here. he will be the 3rd down back and see some action in the running game at times as well. Definitely a spare part you can grab and possible plug in for bye weeks. Very little investment needed here.
San Francisco: I am high on LaMichael James. I know Gore is the RB1 but there is room here for a breakout CoP type for 3rd downs and also to get a few carries a game to try and exploit the speed here. I would be interested in James at his ADp of mid teen rounds, I'l be happy to spend an 11th or 12th round pick on him as my RB4 with bigger ideas planned. I think his stock will move up. We can discuss Kendall Hunter and he might still take the Gore role at some point but I see James carving out a role that owners can live with.
Seattle: Love Turbin and Christine but they are not going to see the field much.
Tampa Bay: Mike James? This is what makes Martin so good of a pick, he literally has nothing to steal from him.
Tennessee: Shonn Greene has to be someone you at least take a look at with the improvements they have on the OL. Not likely he beats out Chris Johnson but he could see a few TDs around the goal line if Tennessee ever makes it into the red zone.
Washington: No one is even drafting a back up in Washington, I find that funny on a Mike Shanahan team. I am not a big Alfred Morris fan so I will be keeping an eye on how Roy Helu looks coming back form injury.
