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Baseball Wagering (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Green94
- Start date
prosopis
Arizona Chupacabra
THE DODGERS WIN THE DODGERS WINSea/Tex O9 -105Parlay LAD -108, SF/LAD U8.5 -120I reccomend you ignore these plays.
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
Would like to thank my GB MP for the 5 units this weekend.I didn't get a chance to do anything as it was my son's 6th birthday and I had a party and housework to do. So I came on to see MP post about the late steam against the Dodgers on Saturday. Threw some units there. And than last night, I see a bandwagon over Tex/Sea, so I'm all on it. Then MP throws the old "I got a great number on the under"....so I know we were good to go over there.I'd rather be on the right side with a so-so number than the wrong side with a great number.I'll be a bit hard pressed to do much research this week as I'm going away this weekend and have an alleged football draft this Thursday, so I'm just going to count on my degenerates to post some leans and let me coattail the hell out of them.
g'luckWould like to thank my GB MP for the 5 units this weekend.I didn't get a chance to do anything as it was my son's 6th birthday and I had a party and housework to do. So I came on to see MP post about the late steam against the Dodgers on Saturday. Threw some units there. And than last night, I see a bandwagon over Tex/Sea, so I'm all on it. Then MP throws the old "I got a great number on the under"....so I know we were good to go over there.
Is the draft in question?
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Fell asleep on this, Rockies have gone over by at least 2 runs the first 3 games @ home after the story broke. I think they quit messing with the baseballs.
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Dodgers, with the sweep. 
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
what the hell...
Arizona D-Backs/Colorado Rockies 14-August-2006 6:05 PM PST Total Points OVER 9.5 for Game +111 C. Vargas must start J. Francis must start
Arizona D-Backs/Colorado Rockies 14-August-2006 6:05 PM PST Total Points OVER 9.5 for Game +111 C. Vargas must start J. Francis must start
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Would like to thank my GB MP for the 5 units this weekend.I didn't get a chance to do anything as it was my son's 6th birthday and I had a party and housework to do. So I came on to see MP post about the late steam against the Dodgers on Saturday. Threw some units there. And than last night, I see a bandwagon over Tex/Sea, so I'm all on it. Then MP throws the old "I got a great number on the under"....so I know we were good to go over there.I'd rather be on the right side with a so-so number than the wrong side with a great number.I'll be a bit hard pressed to do much research this week as I'm going away this weekend and have an alleged football draft this Thursday, so I'm just going to count on my degenerates to post some leans and let me coattail the hell out of them.
Nothing like making money off of me one night then making money being on the opposite of me the next. I did post that I played the Under after you guys, so you didn't exactly fade me, but cashed nonetheless.No fade at all. I wait until football season for that
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
In my defense of the late play I posted. Under 9 +115 was a very good bet. Your Over 9 +100 was also a very good bet. You were on the right side obviously, but with 15 cents extra of vig both bets were about the same. Both bets were very good, but only one can cash - that's baseball.
Can't the same thing be said for just about any other sport you bet on
SEA (56 - 61) 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 6
TEX (61 - 58) 0 3 0 0 3 1 1 2 X 10
It was a good bet, yet it was over 2/3 through? It wasn't a good bet at Under +200.I hate to try and enter the warped mind of MP, but I think he's saying that without point spreads you can't win with either team. But I could be way off considering he's not very lucid.Can't the same thing be said for just about any other sport you bet on
General Malaise
Footballguy
Draft not alleged! Draft Thursday at 6:00pm EST/3:00PM PST
Be there or I will draft for you.
Be there or I will draft for you.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Yes, but it's easier to get two +EV bets in baseball just with the vig. In football it would be like me getting Bengals +136 and getting Washington pk -110 earlier in the week. Both good bets, both won't win.Can't the same thing be said for just about any other sport you bet on
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
How was this not a good bet at +200? You went a little overboard here. I can't predict the outcome. Millwood and Felix could have pitched gems like Maddux and Schmidt last night. You don't know though, you can't predict the outcome. I wish I could look into the future and predict the outcome. I got Under 9 +115. Let's say this was a 50/50 play, even though it likely wasn't. Let's not get complicated though. Under 9 +115 had a 50/50 shot of winning. If you gave me Under 9 +200 you turn my play into a 65% play.SEA (56 - 61) 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 6
TEX (61 - 58) 0 3 0 0 3 1 1 2 X 10
Come on, you know at 65% anyone would kill the books. Even measly Marshallplan would kill books making 65% plays.
We can't predict the outcomes. I get the best numbers I can on the sides I think are right and hope my plays come in. That's all I can do.
Your a very good football capper, where you identify which side is right and pound it.
charvik
Footballguy
Yes, but it's easier to get two +EV bets in baseball just with the vig. In football it would be like me getting Bengals +136 and getting Washington pk -110 earlier in the week. Both good bets, both won't win.Can't the same thing be said for just about any other sport you bet on
so why didn't you scalp it?
prosopis
Arizona Chupacabra
I am guessing its not a good bet because you lost.How was this not a good bet at +200? You went a little overboard here. I can't predict the outcome. Millwood and Felix could have pitched gems like Maddux and Schmidt last night. You don't know though, you can't predict the outcome. I wish I could look into the future and predict the outcome. I got Under 9 +115. Let's say this was a 50/50 play, even though it likely wasn't. Let's not get complicated though. Under 9 +115 had a 50/50 shot of winning. If you gave me Under 9 +200 you turn my play into a 65% play.SEA (56 - 61) 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 6
TEX (61 - 58) 0 3 0 0 3 1 1 2 X 10
Come on, you know at 65% anyone would kill the books. Even measly Marshallplan would kill books making 65% plays.
We can't predict the outcomes. I get the best numbers I can on the sides I think are right and hope my plays come in. That's all I can do.
Your a very good football capper, where you identify which side is right and pound it.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Yes, but it's easier to get two +EV bets in baseball just with the vig. In football it would be like me getting Bengals +136 and getting Washington pk -110 earlier in the week. Both good bets, both won't win.Can't the same thing be said for just about any other sport you bet on
The scalping comment again... I had a very good Bengals number last night. Maybe somebody got +140 (who knows where), but I got +136 at Pinny as they were moving up, then after I played it, it came back down to +130 or so.
charvik
Footballguy
this time I was serious... if the Bengals win you win +136-110=26, otherwise +100-100=0Isn't that the whole point???Yes, but it's easier to get two +EV bets in baseball just with the vig. In football it would be like me getting Bengals +136 and getting Washington pk -110 earlier in the week. Both good bets, both won't win.Can't the same thing be said for just about any other sport you bet on
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Your right, I wasn't fortuante to play Washington pk earlier in the week. Who can actually predict preseason line movements? Especially home favorites going to a home dog. I just faded the steam and played the Bengals.this time I was serious... if the Bengals win you win +136-110=26, otherwise +100-100=0Isn't that the whole point???Yes, but it's easier to get two +EV bets in baseball just with the vig. In football it would be like me getting Bengals +136 and getting Washington pk -110 earlier in the week. Both good bets, both won't win.Can't the same thing be said for just about any other sport you bet on
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Wrong. I be your pardon but it IS a good bet. It doesn't matter whether I win or lose, you see, it's HOW I play the game. That's why someone like you will NEVER kill the books. It's because you don't undestand the bigger picture like I do. This is not to say you don't know, more likely you are just clueless. Let me explain some things to you like I am not 21 years old, but 51...that I bet $1000, not 5...and I will talk to you like you are 12! Okay?!I am guessing its not a good bet because you lost.How was this not a good bet at +200? You went a little overboard here. I can't predict the outcome. Millwood and Felix could have pitched gems like Maddux and Schmidt last night. You don't know though, you can't predict the outcome. I wish I could look into the future and predict the outcome. I got Under 9 +115. Let's say this was a 50/50 play, even though it likely wasn't. Let's not get complicated though. Under 9 +115 had a 50/50 shot of winning. If you gave me Under 9 +200 you turn my play into a 65% play.SEA (56 - 61) 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 6
TEX (61 - 58) 0 3 0 0 3 1 1 2 X 10
Come on, you know at 65% anyone would kill the books. Even measly Marshallplan would kill books making 65% plays.
We can't predict the outcomes. I get the best numbers I can on the sides I think are right and hope my plays come in. That's all I can do.
Your a very good football capper, where you identify which side is right and pound it.
There is no way I could be wrong, remember that, even when I make a bet that is over before it started. I am still right. Got it?First, SCALPING....
charvik
Footballguy
I honestly thought that was the reason I was gambling, to try and predict the outcome better than the book does... I don't care if it's curling, baseball, football or moose tossing...I guess I don't understand the reasoning of playing a side just because you get a good line... sure, if EVERY bet was 50/50, that would make sense, but I have yet to experience a season where every bet is like that...How was this not a good bet at +200? You went a little overboard here. I can't predict the outcome. Millwood and Felix could have pitched gems like Maddux and Schmidt last night. You don't know though, you can't predict the outcome. I wish I could look into the future and predict the outcome. I got Under 9 +115. Let's say this was a 50/50 play, even though it likely wasn't. Let's not get complicated though. Under 9 +115 had a 50/50 shot of winning. If you gave me Under 9 +200 you turn my play into a 65% play.SEA (56 - 61) 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 6
TEX (61 - 58) 0 3 0 0 3 1 1 2 X 10
Come on, you know at 65% anyone would kill the books. Even measly Marshallplan would kill books making 65% plays.
We can't predict the outcomes. I get the best numbers I can on the sides I think are right and hope my plays come in. That's all I can do.
Your a very good football capper, where you identify which side is right and pound it.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
I don't understand your post one bit Sonny. Were you talking to Prosposis or me?
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
I WAS you.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
I'm combining both Charv. Combining my opinion with good numbers (at least trying to). Sometimes moreso one and less of the other. Last night I had Dodgers +102. A good number and an opinion of mine. I thought they were the right side, they were the hot team and their bats cancelled out Schmidt's pitching advantage so I liked the + vig. Tonight it's the Phils RL -135. I could have had better this morning or last night, but I wasn't home. I didn't look at the lines. I like the play and I caught a rogue number at a slow moving book (SIA). It's already scalpableI honestly thought that was the reason I was gambling, to try and predict the outcome better than the book does... I don't care if it's curling, baseball, football or moose tossing...I guess I don't understand the reasoning of playing a side just because you get a good line... sure, if EVERY bet was 50/50, that would make sense, but I have yet to experience a season where every bet is like that...How was this not a good bet at +200? You went a little overboard here. I can't predict the outcome. Millwood and Felix could have pitched gems like Maddux and Schmidt last night. You don't know though, you can't predict the outcome. I wish I could look into the future and predict the outcome. I got Under 9 +115. Let's say this was a 50/50 play, even though it likely wasn't. Let's not get complicated though. Under 9 +115 had a 50/50 shot of winning. If you gave me Under 9 +200 you turn my play into a 65% play.SEA (56 - 61) 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 6
TEX (61 - 58) 0 3 0 0 3 1 1 2 X 10
Come on, you know at 65% anyone would kill the books. Even measly Marshallplan would kill books making 65% plays.
We can't predict the outcomes. I get the best numbers I can on the sides I think are right and hope my plays come in. That's all I can do.
Your a very good football capper, where you identify which side is right and pound it.
I rarely make plays just because I got a good number, maybe 20% of my bets were just on good numbers. And we are talking baseball here, where the market is more volitile (sp) than football. Football is mostly opinions, I'm not going to lie. By you doing your preseason work and putting in time it gives you a distinct advantage over me. I'm already behind the 8-ball, nevermind I don't have Utah +6, Cal/Tenn Under 56.5, etc.I'm not worried about these things, they will come, I'm still young and learning. I have put in ample amounts of time into the baseball market this year. Basically the last month. It's a grind, but it's starting to pay off. I may not be making tons of money, but it's a learning experience.
I was prepping last night outside reading up on college football with a Black and Tan on my back deck.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Now I understand it. I was going to comment on what Prosposis said, but it was just too dumb. I would have went overboard.Back on topic here, saw a few things that interested me, but will wait until later before playing anything. I did however see something I liked enough to play.
RL Monday parlay special
NYM -1.5 (Pedro +135)/Houston -1.5 (Oswalt +160)
Okay, the Mets are playing just about the best baseball in the league right now. I have their ace going, and Petey's been pitching fairly well too. 1 run two starts back in 7 strong, and 2 Mike Piazza homers in his last start. I think he should be able to give me 7 good innings tonight, and hopefully the Mets bats should be able to get some runs. They are going against Cole Hammels tonight. Cole's last three starts have been very good. But, here is a guy that has been throwing a lot of pitches, and he is only a rookie. He should hit the wall sooner or later. If the Mets are patient, and get into the Phils bullpen, I like my chances even that much more. Cole's ERA is still nearly 5, so it's not like he is unhittable. I'll take it.
The Houston bet has a few main reasons. First, last start for Zambano was awful. It must be tough to carry around that 300 or so lb's he's packing. But, the Astros are in their August-September playoff drive and I think they put something together. I get Roy O which is always very nice, and the Astros should be able to do some damage here with Huff/Berkman/Scott. I think this one will be fairly low scoring, so I'm counting on Roy O to keep the Cubs off the board for 6-7 innings. Hopefully that will give me a 3 or 4 run cushion before hitting the always dicey Astros bullpen.
If you look at Zambrano's last 4 starts, he's only gone 7 innings in one of these, and he's let up 5/2/5/4 runs. I think the Cubs are just playing them out here, while the Astros have a real shot of making the playoffs.
g'luck
RL Monday parlay special
NYM -1.5 (Pedro +135)/Houston -1.5 (Oswalt +160)
Okay, the Mets are playing just about the best baseball in the league right now. I have their ace going, and Petey's been pitching fairly well too. 1 run two starts back in 7 strong, and 2 Mike Piazza homers in his last start. I think he should be able to give me 7 good innings tonight, and hopefully the Mets bats should be able to get some runs. They are going against Cole Hammels tonight. Cole's last three starts have been very good. But, here is a guy that has been throwing a lot of pitches, and he is only a rookie. He should hit the wall sooner or later. If the Mets are patient, and get into the Phils bullpen, I like my chances even that much more. Cole's ERA is still nearly 5, so it's not like he is unhittable. I'll take it.
The Houston bet has a few main reasons. First, last start for Zambano was awful. It must be tough to carry around that 300 or so lb's he's packing. But, the Astros are in their August-September playoff drive and I think they put something together. I get Roy O which is always very nice, and the Astros should be able to do some damage here with Huff/Berkman/Scott. I think this one will be fairly low scoring, so I'm counting on Roy O to keep the Cubs off the board for 6-7 innings. Hopefully that will give me a 3 or 4 run cushion before hitting the always dicey Astros bullpen.
If you look at Zambrano's last 4 starts, he's only gone 7 innings in one of these, and he's let up 5/2/5/4 runs. I think the Cubs are just playing them out here, while the Astros have a real shot of making the playoffs.
g'luck
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
tailed GURU risking .5 units;
two other plays: one unit each:
atl/was O 9.5 +105
kc/cws O 10.5 +100
No time for a long writeup of any kind, just suffice it to stay that see yesterday for atl/was and kc has played 4 games in 5 days, and the pen is done - CWS will score boatloads tonight and I see KC able to put up a few of thier own as well
GLTA
two other plays: one unit each:
atl/was O 9.5 +105
kc/cws O 10.5 +100
No time for a long writeup of any kind, just suffice it to stay that see yesterday for atl/was and kc has played 4 games in 5 days, and the pen is done - CWS will score boatloads tonight and I see KC able to put up a few of thier own as well
GLTA
Well this part made sense, except for the whole "your" vs. "you're" thing. Nice job.
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
I just saw Gambino's sig.
Okay, I hafta take Detroit at +144 vs. Beckett. I don't think Beckett, or Boston right now for that matter, should be -154 vs. Detroit.
2.5 units
Okay, I hafta take Detroit at +144 vs. Beckett. I don't think Beckett, or Boston right now for that matter, should be -154 vs. Detroit.
2.5 units
SofaKings
Footballguy
Lead off triple by the Tigers.I just saw Gambino's sig.
Okay, I hafta take Detroit at +144 vs. Beckett. I don't think Beckett, or Boston right now for that matter, should be -154 vs. Detroit.
2.5 units
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Yeah, nice way to start, along with a passed ball. 3 - 0. I get the feeling though, this is gonna be a long one...Lead off triple by the Tigers.I just saw Gambino's sig.
Okay, I hafta take Detroit at +144 vs. Beckett. I don't think Beckett, or Boston right now for that matter, should be -154 vs. Detroit.
2.5 units
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Two nice parlays for tonight:
Cubs +120/Over 8 +115
Zona +150/Over 9.5 +110
Cubs +120/Over 8 +115
Zona +150/Over 9.5 +110
What the ####.I'm assuming there is a brawl or something going on right now considering they haven't updated the score in awhile.
Nevermind, just Pedro giving up 6 earned in the FIRST ####### INNING
Last edited by a moderator:
JerseyToughGuys
Tough Guy
coat tailing the Arizona play and adding another:
SEA +140 - 2 units
ARI O +9.5 - 1 unit
GLTA
SEA +140 - 2 units
ARI O +9.5 - 1 unit
GLTA
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
You mean 15?
Come on David Wright!!!!!!You mean 15?
Figures... Atl over hits with ease, Mets aren't even close.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
If I post something you gonna play or fade it?Anyone have some late action?
Depends.If I post something you gonna play or fade it?Anyone have some late action?
Depends.If I post something you gonna play or fade it?Anyone have some late action?
