Bold Predictions for 2022 (1 Viewer)

[Ilov80s]

This isn't a bold prediction, but wanted to post it somewhere...
TEN HC Mike Vrabel played LB for 14 seasons. During that time, he caught 10 passes for 14 yards - and all were TD's!

Wow that is a very crazy stat but also an odd thread to place it in. Glad I came across it though. 14 career targets too for the sake of the numerical symmetry.

 

[Deamon]

1. Jags will win their division and one playoff game

2. Patriots will finish last in their division

4. The Eagles will be in the Super Bowl

9. The Cowboys will lose 11 games

10. Russell Wilson and Deshaun Watson will both lose to their former teams

These are really impressive

 

[Deamon]

CD Lamb is not a top 15 WR.
Hurts is a Top 5 QB
McCaffery is a bust
Brady not a top 10 QB this year
D. Hopkins ends up on a lot FF championship teams.
Waller # 1 TE this year
Tony Pollard outs scores Zeke

Wow, also impressive.

 

[Deamon]

Let's see your Top 10 Bold Predictions (weak consensus takes need not apply)

1. Patrick Mahomes doesn't skip a beat without Tyreke Hill, but Hill fails to crack the Top 20 WRs in Miami
2. Breece Hall - offensive rookie of the year, making the Michael Carter as RB1 talk look silly
3. Baltimore Ravens get the top seed in a stacked AFC, while Super Bowl runner-up Cincinnati does not make the playoffs
4. Geno Smith far exceeds expectations and flirts with QB1 (top 12) status as the Seahawks play from behind most of the season.
5. Kenneth Gainwell nearly doubles Miles Sanders in fantasy points.
6. JuJu Smith-Shuster leads KC in targets (narrowly over Kelce) and flirts with 100 receptions on the season
7. Isaaih Pacheco is the most valuable fantasy RB in KC and finishes in the RB25-30 range.
8. Isaaih Spiller leads the Chargers in rushing yards and TDs.
9. Albert O is closer to Top 5 TEs than he is to Top 15 TEs - meaning he finishes at least Top 10.
10. Jimmy Garrapolo starts more games than Trey Lance - who looks like one of the worst passers in the league.

Looking like 2/10

 

[Dr. Octopus]

Let's see your Top 10 Bold Predictions (weak consensus takes need not apply)

1. Patrick Mahomes doesn't skip a beat without Tyreke Hill, but Hill fails to crack the Top 20 WRs in Miami
2. Breece Hall - offensive rookie of the year, making the Michael Carter as RB1 talk look silly
3. Baltimore Ravens get the top seed in a stacked AFC, while Super Bowl runner-up Cincinnati does not make the playoffs
4. Geno Smith far exceeds expectations and flirts with QB1 (top 12) status as the Seahawks play from behind most of the season.
5. Kenneth Gainwell nearly doubles Miles Sanders in fantasy points.
6. JuJu Smith-Shuster leads KC in targets (narrowly over Kelce) and flirts with 100 receptions on the season
7. Isaaih Pacheco is the most valuable fantasy RB in KC and finishes in the RB25-30 range.
8. Isaaih Spiller leads the Chargers in rushing yards and TDs.
9. Albert O is closer to Top 5 TEs than he is to Top 15 TEs - meaning he finishes at least Top 10.
10. Jimmy Garrapolo starts more games than Trey Lance - who looks like one of the worst passers in the league.

Looking like 2/10

2 and 3 have a pretty decent chance still also.

 

[tricky92]

CD Lamb is not a top 15 WR.
Hurts is a Top 5 QB
McCaffery is a bust
Brady not a top 10 QB this year
D. Hopkins ends up on a lot FF championship teams.
Waller # 1 TE this year
Tony Pollard outs scores Zeke

Wow, also impressive.

Waller has left around 4 TDs on the field this year. Not sure what's going on with him, but probably from not practicing much going in to the season.

 

[NYRAGE]

Let's see your Top 10 Bold Predictions (weak consensus takes need not apply)

1. Patrick Mahomes doesn't skip a beat without Tyreke Hill, but Hill fails to crack the Top 20 WRs in Miami
2. Breece Hall - offensive rookie of the year, making the Michael Carter as RB1 talk look silly
3. Baltimore Ravens get the top seed in a stacked AFC, while Super Bowl runner-up Cincinnati does not make the playoffs
4. Geno Smith far exceeds expectations and flirts with QB1 (top 12) status as the Seahawks play from behind most of the season.
5. Kenneth Gainwell nearly doubles Miles Sanders in fantasy points.
6. JuJu Smith-Shuster leads KC in targets (narrowly over Kelce) and flirts with 100 receptions on the season
7. Isaaih Pacheco is the most valuable fantasy RB in KC and finishes in the RB25-30 range.
8. Isaaih Spiller leads the Chargers in rushing yards and TDs.
9. Albert O is closer to Top 5 TEs than he is to Top 15 TEs - meaning he finishes at least Top 10.
10. Jimmy Garrapolo starts more games than Trey Lance - who looks like one of the worst passers in the league.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ugpg8XruhVk

 

[Scooby1974]

CD Lamb is not a top 15 WR.
Hurts is a Top 5 QB
McCaffery is a bust
Brady not a top 10 QB this year
D. Hopkins ends up on a lot FF championship teams.
Waller # 1 TE this year
Tony Pollard outs scores Zeke

Wow, also impressive.

Waller has left around 4 TDs on the field this year. Not sure what's going on with him, but probably from not practicing much going in to the season.

Waller didn't do much and got hurt last year. So far, nothing this year either. That man is a big, rich, fantasy football tease.

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Bold?

Ok!

1. Gabriel Davis scores 10 TDs though the first 10 games of 2022.
2. Saquan Barkley will play 17 games, and finish as a top 5 overall FF player.
3. Damian Pierce plays just 12 games, the Texans are indeed a dumpster fire when the games count, and Pierce is a major letdown at current ADP (yet still a decent deal for those who landed him in the 9th-10th).
4. Elijah Mitchell will neither rush for 1000 yards, nor finish the season as the starter for the SF 49ers.
5. Tyreek Hill will finish the season as a top 5 WR.
6. Tee Higgins will out-score Jamaar Chase this year
7. ETN will lead the Jags in receptions
8. DKM & Lockett will both vastly out-perform ADP
9. Hurts finishes outside the top 10 QBs in 2022
10. Skyy Moore leads the Chiefs in Receiving TDs.

Hey, you said bold.

Bonus, the boldest: Zach Wilson comes off his injury and takes the league by storm, willing the Jets to a 12-5 record & making the playoffs.

It's only week 5, but #1 looks like it's gonna be hard to hit. 9 to go in 5 games.
#2 is me typing random things to not jinx this and dear god why did I even look at it
#3 is me being dead wrong so far, but lot of time left.
#4 is looking pretty strong, really. Just bullseye. Might have been the free square on the BINGO card, but still...
#5 Looking great so far
#6 Nailing that one too, so far
#7 way too early to know
#8 So far so good on this one too
#9 Here's me eating just so so so much more crow
#10 Probably not gonna happen, but here's hoping he gets a lot more productive as the season goes forward.

As for my bonus, kinda liking what I saw in the 2nd half of that game. 1 more win towards my predicition

Batting .600 as of week 5. But again, it is only week 5. And now we wait.

 

[EBF]

Let's get spicy with it. My calls and reasoning:

1. Edwards-Helaire has a mini breakout season, easily beating his ADP.


2. Alec Pierce is the WR1 in Indy by the end of the season.


3. Kyle Pitts finishes TE1.


4. Tua will beat his ADP by a comfortable margin.


5. Josh Jacobs finishes as a top 10 RB.

1. So far, so good.
2. Unlikely, but possible.
3. Yikes. My most disappointing player in FF so far.
4. Looked good before injuries. Incomplete grade on this one.
5. Think he'll get there if he stays healthy.

 

[barackdhouse]

In no actual order just stream of consciousness here:

10 Detroit gets in as a wildcard
9 Green Bay misses the playoffs (Rodgers throws tantrum on social media)
8 AJ Green outscores Hollywood in FPs per game
7 Brate finishes as a TE1
6 Julio finishes as a WR2
5 Gabriel Davis gets 12+ TDs
4 Patriots have a super embarrassing terrible season and Bill retires
3 King Henry rushes for 2k again.
2 The AFC West reaches critical mass and ignites a hole in the fabric of spacetime. Denver vs KC week 17 for the division.
1 Battle of LA for the Super Bowl. Chargers win vs the Rams

A couple of these are somewhat on pace.

 

[Anarchy99]

Let's see your Top 10 Bold Predictions (weak consensus takes need not apply)

1. Patrick Mahomes doesn't skip a beat without Tyreke Hill, but Hill fails to crack the Top 20 WRs in Miami
2. Breece Hall - offensive rookie of the year, making the Michael Carter as RB1 talk look silly
3. Baltimore Ravens get the top seed in a stacked AFC, while Super Bowl runner-up Cincinnati does not make the playoffs
4. Geno Smith far exceeds expectations and flirts with QB1 (top 12) status as the Seahawks play from behind most of the season.
5. Kenneth Gainwell nearly doubles Miles Sanders in fantasy points.
6. JuJu Smith-Shuster leads KC in targets (narrowly over Kelce) and flirts with 100 receptions on the season
7. Isaaih Pacheco is the most valuable fantasy RB in KC and finishes in the RB25-30 range.
8. Isaaih Spiller leads the Chargers in rushing yards and TDs.
9. Albert O is closer to Top 5 TEs than he is to Top 15 TEs - meaning he finishes at least Top 10.
10. Jimmy Garrapolo starts more games than Trey Lance - who looks like one of the worst passers in the league.

1. KC misses Hill and Mahomes and the Chiefs struggle some offensively. Teams don't have to allocate 2-3 defenders to stopping Hill, the field gets more congested, defenses can focus on Kelce, they don't run the ball well, and they initially struggle to score as many points (before Reid figures out a Plan B). Hill also finds it tough sledding in MIA without Reid and Mahomes. It becomes a lose-lose for both teams this year as the main players underperform. JJSS is the same guy that averaged 8.6 YPR the past two years and ends up with 90-780-4. No one fills Hill's shoes. KC still wins games, but the game are lower scoring and closer. Things don't click in MIA with a rookie head coach, and Tua does not emerge.
2. Mac Jones far exceeds expectation and flirts with QB1 (Top 12) status as the Patriots play from behind most of the season.
3. Rhamondre Stevenson starts getting a bigger piece of the RB pie including a lot more receptions. Harris gets dinged and RS puts up Top 5-10 numbers with Harris out, the Pats slow role Harris back, but by then he is mostly a backup that spells Stevenson. Harris then leaves after the season in free agency.
4. Evan Engram becomes the next TE that Doug Pederson makes fantasy relevant, and Engram finishes Top 5-10.
5. Daniel Jones finally has a healthy OL and healthy WR and the Giants have a Top 10 offense. Toney finishes around WR20.
6. CAR is a train wreck, Mayfield does not turn things around, and the Panthers "earn" a Top 5 pick to select their next QB.
7. The Jets are far more competitive, are in a lot of close games, and end up with 8-9 wins. Garrett Wilson is the highest ranked rookie fantasy WR at the end of the season.
8, BUF finishes with the league's best record but still doesn't make the Super Bowl.
9. CLE goes 4-7 with Brissett and is effectively out of playoff contention when Watson gets back.
10. The AFC West teams beat up on each other and only two teams make the playoffs. OAK, DEN, and LAC are all better teams than they were, but the first-place team goes 10-7, the two teams in the middle go 9-8, and the last place team goes 8-9.

1 - MIA AND KC both look like things will work out with / without Hill. Wrong on this one.
2 - Mac Jones looks awful so far, the injury didn't help, and the NE defense has been strong in too many games for the Pats to air the ball out. Wrong on this one.
3 - Rhamondre Stevenson has been a stud. This one has been a clear hit so far.
4 - Engram is currently ranked as TE11 but trending upward. I call this one a hit.
5 - Well, the Giants are definitely better, the offense isn't that much better, and Toney has moved on to KC. Some good, mostly bad on this one.
6 - CAR is 2-6, still have QB issues, and would have the #3 pick in the draft if the season ended today. Right on this one so far.
7 - The Jets are 5-3 and on track for 10 wins (sort of) . . . even though Zach Wilson looks terrible. Garrett Wilson #2 rookie WR to Olave so far. Mostly a hit.
8 - BUF one game behind PHI for best record . . . impossible to know how the Bills season turns out until we get there.
9 - The Browns are 2-5, so they need to go 2-2 vs. CIN (H), MIA (A), BUF (A), TB (H). I don't see 2 more wins there. But mostly a hit that CLE would be mediocre.
10 - AFC West has not lived up to the hype so far. KC still good, LAC not bad, DEN and LV not great to start the season. Mostly right on this one so far.

 

[Obie Wan]

With a losing record, Aaron Rodgers retires from football mid season and goes to Tibet to find himself.

he may go to Tibet mid-season, but he won't endanger collecting on his contract

 

[-OZ-]

team predictions:
1. Raiders win the AFC west
2. Lions get a WC and win a playoff game
3. Texans have a winning record.
4. Browns have a better record before Watson plays than after he’s back
5. Bills almost go undefeated, but lose on thanksgiving.
6. Philly makes it to the super bowl

Player
1. Derek Carr gets MVP consideration.
2. Austin Hooper is a top 5 FF TE
3. Trevor Lawrence reminds us why he was the easy #1 pick
Josh Allen MVP (this isn’t bold so not counting it)
4a. Malik Willis starts a few games and does enough to take over in 2023.
5.* Dan Campbell, CotY

team #6 looks like an ok call. 5 sorta.
Not bold player call seems on track.
Not my best work here.

 

[Bracie Smathers]

Not a terrible bold prediction, but I think ...Either COVID or some weather-related event like a hurricane or smoke from a wildfire, etc. will cause at least one game from being played as scheduled this season.

Browns-Bills Week 11 game moved to Detroit's Ford Field due to snowstorm

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Nobody is going to to get them all right, your title is bold predictions
Geno Smith projection was outstanding, looking better as the season rolls along.
A former NY Jets player no less

 

[FairWarning]

Not a terrible bold prediction, but I think ...Either COVID or some weather-related event like a hurricane or smoke from a wildfire, etc. will cause at least one game from being played as scheduled this season.

Browns-Bills Week 11 game moved to Detroit's Ford Field due to snowstorm

Can you do a rain range in case of A drought?

 

[daveR]

Lions, Eagles, Fins, and Jags make the playoffs; Rams, Cowboys, Chiefs, and Bengals do not.

Edit to add: As ever, you are strongly urged to disregard all of my opinions.

 

[daveR]

Lions, Eagles, Fins, and Jags make the playoffs; Rams, Cowboys, Chiefs, and Bengals do not.

Edit to add: As ever, you are strongly urged to disregard all of my opinions.

 

[Insein]

DAndre Swift finishes top 2 in RBs for fantasy and flirts with 2000 total yards.

Amari Cooper finishes with 100 catches and 1200 yards.

Trevor Lawrence will finish top 10 for Fantasy QBs with 4200-28-12.

Cooper and Lawrence are right there with 2 games to reach these goals. Swift... Not so much.

 

[Ilov80s]

CD Lamb is not a top 15 WR. WR6
Hurts is a Top 5 QB Wasn't a bold call, Hurts was drafted with QB6 ADP
McCaffery is a bust RB4, hasn't missed a game
Brady not a top 10 QB this year Accurate but Brady's ADP was around QB8 so is this really a bold call?
D. Hopkins ends up on a lot FF championship teams. He did everything he could to make sure teams with him lost in the playoffs
Waller # 1 TE this year Being outscored by teammate Foster Moreau
Tony Pollard outs scores Zeke Nailed it

Wow, also impressive.

meh

 

[Long Ball Larry]

Let's see your Top 10 Bold Predictions (weak consensus takes need not apply)

1. Patrick Mahomes doesn't skip a beat without Tyreke Hill, but Hill fails to crack the Top 20 WRs in Miami
2. Breece Hall - offensive rookie of the year, making the Michael Carter as RB1 talk look silly
3. Baltimore Ravens get the top seed in a stacked AFC, while Super Bowl runner-up Cincinnati does not make the playoffs
4. Geno Smith far exceeds expectations and flirts with QB1 (top 12) status as the Seahawks play from behind most of the season.
5. Kenneth Gainwell nearly doubles Miles Sanders in fantasy points.
6. JuJu Smith-Shuster leads KC in targets (narrowly over Kelce) and flirts with 100 receptions on the season
7. Isaaih Pacheco is the most valuable fantasy RB in KC and finishes in the RB25-30 range.
8. Isaaih Spiller leads the Chargers in rushing yards and TDs.
9. Albert O is closer to Top 5 TEs than he is to Top 15 TEs - meaning he finishes at least Top 10.
10. Jimmy Garrapolo starts more games than Trey Lance - who looks like one of the worst passers in the league.

Pretty good work here.

1. Half right
2. Probably should be considered a win
3. Nope
4. Pretty close
5. Nope
6. Somewhat close
7. Somewhat close
8. Nope
9. Nope
10. Mostly right

 

[Anarchy99]

Let's see your Top 10 Bold Predictions (weak consensus takes need not apply)

1. Patrick Mahomes doesn't skip a beat without Tyreke Hill, but Hill fails to crack the Top 20 WRs in Miami
2. Breece Hall - offensive rookie of the year, making the Michael Carter as RB1 talk look silly
3. Baltimore Ravens get the top seed in a stacked AFC, while Super Bowl runner-up Cincinnati does not make the playoffs
4. Geno Smith far exceeds expectations and flirts with QB1 (top 12) status as the Seahawks play from behind most of the season.
5. Kenneth Gainwell nearly doubles Miles Sanders in fantasy points.
6. JuJu Smith-Shuster leads KC in targets (narrowly over Kelce) and flirts with 100 receptions on the season
7. Isaaih Pacheco is the most valuable fantasy RB in KC and finishes in the RB25-30 range.
8. Isaaih Spiller leads the Chargers in rushing yards and TDs.
9. Albert O is closer to Top 5 TEs than he is to Top 15 TEs - meaning he finishes at least Top 10.
10. Jimmy Garrapolo starts more games than Trey Lance - who looks like one of the worst passers in the league.

1. KC misses Hill and Mahomes and the Chiefs struggle some offensively. Teams don't have to allocate 2-3 defenders to stopping Hill, the field gets more congested, defenses can focus on Kelce, they don't run the ball well, and they initially struggle to score as many points (before Reid figures out a Plan B). Hill also finds it tough sledding in MIA without Reid and Mahomes. It becomes a lose-lose for both teams this year as the main players underperform. JJSS is the same guy that averaged 8.6 YPR the past two years and ends up with 90-780-4. No one fills Hill's shoes. KC still wins games, but the games are lower scoring and closer. Things don't click in MIA with a rookie head coach, and Tua does not emerge.
2. Mac Jones far exceeds expectation and flirts with QB1 (Top 12) status as the Patriots play from behind most of the season.
3. Rhamondre Stevenson starts getting a bigger piece of the RB pie including a lot more receptions. Harris gets dinged and RS puts up Top 5-10 numbers with Harris out, the Pats slow role Harris back, but by then he is mostly a backup that spells Stevenson. Harris then leaves after the season in free agency.
4. Evan Engram becomes the next TE that Doug Pederson makes fantasy relevant, and Engram finishes Top 5-10.
5. Daniel Jones finally has a healthy OL and healthy WR and the Giants have a Top 10 offense. Toney finishes around WR20.
6. CAR is a train wreck, Mayfield does not turn things around, and the Panthers "earn" a Top 5 pick to select their next QB.
7. The Jets are far more competitive, are in a lot of close games, and end up with 8-9 wins. Garrett Wilson is the highest ranked rookie fantasy WR at the end of the season.
8. BUF finishes with the league's best record but still doesn't make the Super Bowl.
9. CLE goes 4-7 with Brissett and is effectively out of playoff contention when Watson gets back.
10. The AFC West teams beat up on each other and only two teams make the playoffs. OAK, DEN, and LAC are all better teams than they were, but the first-place team goes 10-7, the two teams in the middle go 9-8, and the last place team goes 8-9.

1 - Both MIA and KC did better than I thought they would. Both Hill and Kelce seemed to be open a lot this season, not sure how DC's didn't scheme better for those two. JJSS was ok but not spectacular.
2 - I thought NE would struggle to run the ball (they have), their defense would be mediocre (they have been very good up against some really poor QBs), and Jones would put up decent numbers based on a high volume of passes (out of necessity). The Pats offense has been a train wreck, and they didn't trust Jones to throw all that often. I had Jones projected for 600-625 attempts. He's had only 369 so far (although he missed 3 games).
3 - Mostly right on Stevenson.
4 - Mostly right on Engram.
5 - The Giants offense never clicked, but the team won more games. They had no interest in Toney. Not even a little bit.
6 - The Panthers started out as a train wreck (1-5), got rid of CMC, and then played much better (5-4). Go figure.
7 - Jets currently at 7 wins with 2 to play . . . could still end up with 8-9 wins. Wilson based on total points is the highest ranked rookie WR (although Olave averages slightly more in PPG).
8 - BUF at the moment is the #1 seed in the AFC. Remains to be seen if they hold it (and we are a long way from the SB).
9 - CLE did go 4-7 with Brissett. The surprising part is the offense in 4 games with Watson have only scored 3 TD.
10 - I got the records wrong, but it appears only 2 teams will make the playoffs form the AFCW. That division was getting way overhyped at the start of the season.

 

[Judge Smails]

A few decent ones in here but most ended up light years off. Horrifically bad

 

[Deamon]

A few decent ones in here but most ended up light years off. Horrifically bad

They're bold predictions, they're supposed to likely not hit.

 

[Judge Smails]

A few decent ones in here but most ended up light years off. Horrifically bad

They're bold predictions, they're supposed to likely not hit.

Understood. Some of the OP’s hit but reading the others that were huge whiffs. But then again I drafted JT, Andrews and Evans so I have no room to talk

 

[EBF]

Let's get spicy with it. My calls and reasoning:

1. Edwards-Helaire has a mini breakout season, easily beating his ADP.

REASONING: Tyreek Hill is a special player and none of the "replacements" in KC like Hardman and Moore are in the same ballpark talent-wise. JuJu may have a decent season, but his big play ability has been totally absent the last few years. All of this means KC's passing offense may regress, which could lead to the run game and CEH being emphasized more. I admit to being fooled by CEH as a college prospect. I thought he'd be better than he has been, but this year may be his best chance yet to put up volume. The other backs on this roster are not scary at all IMO. Now or never for Clyde.

2. Alec Pierce is the WR1 in Indy by the end of the season.

REASONING: I like Pittman. I think he's a good player. He should have a solid season. All that said, Pierce is faster, more athletic, and more talented. What can't he do? He is big, fast, tough, and quick. He can separate on the underneath stuff and win the contested catch, but also has more speed than Pittman to burn deep. He could potentially become the synergy of Jordy Nelson and Eric Decker. Awesome late flyer candidate, and a great bargain option for stuff like best ball leagues and the FBG contest.

3. Kyle Pitts finishes TE1.

REASONING: Kelce has had a great career, but he's 32. More importantly, the loss of Tyreek Hill will be seismic for KC's passing attack. Stopping Kelce will be priority #1 for opposing defenses. Due to age and a likely drop in efficiency, I'm expecting a decline. Andrews is in his prime with no obvious reason to regress. He'll be a contender for the TE1 spot, but Pitts is the faster and more electric player. Let's be real, he's not even a TE. He's a big WR. His ceiling is Larry Fitzgerald numbers, but from the TE slot. Pitts only scored 1 TD last year, which is a total negative fluke. He'll destroy that figure this year. With improved efficiency in year two and a higher TD count, he can make a real run at the TE1 spot. My biggest concern is the pile of tepid mediocrity that is Marcus Mariota. Can Mariota sustain any receiving weapons? I don't know. If he's at all serviceable, Pitts should eat.

4. Tua will beat his ADP by a comfortable margin.

REASONING: It's simple. He has elite weapons in Waddle and Hill. That's a dream pairing for any QB. Those guys together can be lethal. Edmonds is a plus pass catcher who hasn't been fully utilized in the past. Gesicki is a quality starting TE. Add it all up and I just think the pieces are in place for Tua to put up solid stats if he's at all capable. Keep a small eye on the rookie WR Ezunkanma, who could be a dark horse to have a decent supporting role with this team, as he brings a size and physicality to their WR unit that their top options can't match.

5. Josh Jacobs finishes as a top 10 RB.

REASONING: Zamir White is a decent back and I've always been higher than most on Ameer Abdullah, who never really got a fair shot after Detroit. That he's still in the NFL after all these years is a testament to his talent. I can see credible reasons to anticipate RBBC here, but ultimately I just believe Jacobs is better than his reputation. While he lacks big play juice, there aren't many backs in the NFL right now who are his equal in terms of overall skill set. This team has a solid passing attack, particularly with the addition of Davante Adams. That may equal less volume for Jacobs, but the flipside is potentially more TD vulture looks, and that's an area where he excels. Top 10 may be overly ambitious, but I see nothing but value at his current ADP, though I'll hedge slightly and say that adding White/Abdullah as handcuffs may be sensible.

Just a quick aside, I think Jacobs is the walking embodiment of how quickly FF owners become bored with their new toys. It's funny to look around at ADP and see how many flavor-of-the-year types have fallen out of favor. I'm thinking of people like Miles Sanders, DK Metcalf, Chris Godwin, Antonio Gibson, Chase Claypool, and JuJu. It wasn't long ago that these guys were billed as the next great stars, but now that they've been exposed as mere mortals, the honeymoon period is over and people are swooning over the likes of Swift, Javonte, Etienne, Pittman, Higgins, St-Brown, and others who haven't had time to post a disappointing season yet instead. I think what you often find in the NFL is that the talent level of the next-big-things relative to the last-big-things is overstated, and I guess part of the reasoning behind a few of my picks (Jacobs, CEH, Tua) is that some of the former blue chippers still have latent upside and value. Last year's top 10 RBs is littered with guys who had mega hype and then crashed (Mixon, Fournette, Patterson). That talent doesn't vanish overnight though. Learn from the careers of Thomas Jones, Marshawn Lynch, Cedric Benson, etc. Last year's "bust" may yet have value.

1. Yikes.
2. Yikes. I will say this though, Pierce had a good rookie year. Probably beat projections. Can see him leapfrogging Pittman eventually.
3. Big yikes. He killed me in redraft this year. Incredibly bad season, while Kelce just keeps producing.
4. I think we can call this a win. Take away the concussions and he's one of the breakout stories at QB this year.
5. Clear win here. He was a monster for me this year.

2/5 is nothing to boast about, though Jacobs has had a win-your-league-for-you type of breakout.

In dynasty, I think Pitts and Pierce have intriguing long-term trajectories despite being mostly useless this season.

Clyde is a really weird one because he has a respectable career YPC, but it just seems like the coaching staff doesn't rate him at all. You could argue that there's latent upside there if he lands on a different team that actually wants to use him. Or you could reasonably conclude that he's a JAG who already fumbled a golden situation and will be a career backup/out of the league soon.

 

[Gally]

Here goes:

1. A-Rob has a better fantasy season that Kupp
2. Dillon has a better fantasy season that Jones
3. Marquise Brown is a top 12 WR
4. Cousins is a top 5 QB and both Jefferson and Thielen are top 10 WR's
5. Nick Bolton finishes as a top 10 IDP LB'er
6. Isaiah Likely finishes as a top 10 TE
7. Lamb finishes outside the top 20 WR's
8. Baker finishes as a top 8 QB
9. Cole Kmet finishes as a top 5 TE
10. Vikings win their division and go on to win the Super Bowl!!! (Bold baby!)

Bolded hit ...........so far..............we will see about the SB for the Vikes.

#3 was on it's way until injury hit.

#4 was 2/3's there (Cousins is currently #5 in my leagues scoring).

#8 if you played for the Rams all year against the Broncos it would be happening......hahahhaa

#9 Kmet could still get there.....he is top 10

 

[Anarchy99]

Here goes:

1. A-Rob has a better fantasy season that Kupp
2. Dillon has a better fantasy season that Jones
3. Marquise Brown is a top 12 WR
4. Cousins is a top 5 QB and both Jefferson and Thielen are top 10 WR's
5. Nick Bolton finishes as a top 10 IDP LB'er
6. Isaiah Likely finishes as a top 10 TE
7. Lamb finishes outside the top 20 WR's
8. Baker finishes as a top 8 QB
9. Cole Kmet finishes as a top 5 TE
10. Vikings win their division and go on to win the Super Bowl!!! (Bold baby!)

Bolded hit ...........so far..............we will see about the SB for the Vikes.

#3 was on it's way until injury hit.

#4 was 2/3's there (Cousins is currently #5 in my leagues scoring).

#8 if you played for the Rams all year against the Broncos it would be happening......hahahhaa

#9 Kmet could still get there.....he is top 10

Just picking nits, but in 1 PPR leagues, Kmet is currently 12th and 44 points from the #5 spot. In 0 PPR leagues, he's ranked 11th and would need to catch up 30 points. It would take a historic finish to get him to jump up that far.

And MIN is setting themselves up for some serious regression in 2023. 11-0 in one score games? Things over time tend to even out. Statistically and analytically, they should be a .500 team this season.

 

[Gally]

Just picking nits, but in 1 PPR leagues, Kmet is currently 12th and 44 points from the #5 spot. In 0 PPR leagues, he's ranked 11th and would need to catch up 30 points. It would take a historic finish to get him to jump up that far.

In our league we get bonuses for different yard values so he is currently 8th. Looking at it though, and it would take some big games to get up to 5th so I agree with your nit

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Bold?

Ok!

1. Gabriel Davis scores 10 TDs though the first 10 games of 2022.

Notsomuch

2. Saquan Barkley will play 17 games, and finish as a top 5 overall FF player.

Looking solid.

3. Damian Pierce plays just 12 games, the Texans are indeed a dumpster fire when the games count, and Pierce is a major letdown at current ADP (yet still a decent deal for those who landed him in the 9th-10th).

I was close

4. Elijah Mitchell will neither rush for 1000 yards, nor finish the season as the starter for the SF 49ers.

Nailed it

5. Tyreek Hill will finish the season as a top 5 WR.

Nailed it

6. Tee Higgins will out-score Jamaar Chase this year

Wasn’t expecting a Chase injury, but nailed it.

7. ETN will lead the Jags in receptions

Pretty sure I’m way off here.

8. DKM & Lockett will both vastly out-perform ADP

Nailed it

9. Hurts finishes outside the top 10 QBs in 2022

I hang my head in shame & serve myself another gigantic helping of crow.

10. Skyy Moore leads the Chiefs in Receiving TDs.

Hey, you said bold.

Too bold.

Bonus, the boldest: Zach Wilson comes off his injury and takes the league by storm, willing the Jets to a 12-5 record & making the playoffs.

Way way too bold

 

[Gally]

And MIN is setting themselves up for some serious regression in 2023. 11-0 in one score games? Things over time tend to even out. Statistically and analytically, they should be a .500 team this season.

They were 6-8 last year in one score games so they should have had "regression" to over .500 but not 11-0 regression...hahhahha

ETA: I do think that coaching has a lot to do with the turnaround in one score games though. Zimmer was a terrible in game coach and he cost them wins in those close games many times last year. You can see a difference in the team from this year to last year and I think it was directly tied to the coaching change.

 

[Anarchy99]

And MIN is setting themselves up for some serious regression in 2023. 11-0 in one score games? Things over time tend to even out. Statistically and analytically, they should be a .500 team this season.

They were 6-8 last year in one score games so they should have had "regression" to over .500 but not 11-0 regression...hahhahha

ETA: I do think that coaching has a lot to do with the turnaround in one score games though. Zimmer was a terrible in game coach and he cost them wins in those close games many times last year. You can see a difference in the team from this year to last year and I think it was directly tied to the coaching change.

I actually have no life whatsoever and never leave the basement. As such, I have been monitoring and tracking stuff like this for a while now. LINK

The "expected outcome" next year for MIN will be 3 fewer wins than what they end the year at overall this year. But we've never seen anything like what they have done before, so they are in unchartered territory.

 

[-OZ-]

team predictions:
1. Raiders win the AFC west
2. Lions get a WC and win a playoff game
3. Texans have a winning record.
4. Browns have a better record before Watson plays than after he’s back
5. Bills almost go undefeated, but lose on thanksgiving.
6. Philly makes it to the super bowl

Player
1. Derek Carr gets MVP consideration.
2. Austin Hooper is a top 5 FF TE
3. Trevor Lawrence reminds us why he was the easy #1 pick
Josh Allen MVP (this isn’t bold so not counting it)
4a. Malik Willis starts a few games and does enough to take over in 2023.
5.* Dan Campbell, CotY

team #6 looks like an ok call. 5 sorta.
Not bold player call seems on track.
Not my best work here.

Some of these look a little better.

Team predictions:
1. NO Raiders win the AFC west
2. MAYBE Lions get a WC and win a playoff game
3. NOPE Texans have a winning record.
4. NOT QUITE BUT… Browns have a better record before Watson plays than after he’s back
5. NO Bills almost go undefeated, but lose on thanksgiving.
6. POSSIBLY Philly makes it to the super bowl

Player
1. NOPE Derek Carr gets MVP consideration.
2. HELLNO Austin Hooper is a top 5 FF TE
3. YES Trevor Lawrence reminds us why he was the easy #1 pick
Josh Allen MVP (this isn’t bold so not counting it)
4a. YES and NO Malik Willis starts a few games and does enough to take over in 2023.
5.* POSSIBLY (Probably not but the sentiment looks sound) Dan Campbell, CotY

 

[daveR]

LOVE these looks backward!

 

[eighsse2]

prediction
prediction
prediction

Get it? A rebus?
Well I guess now I've committed to coming up with an actual bold prediction so that this isn't a nuisance post.

- Antonio Gibson is a top 5 ppr RB after all
- Tee Higgins leads team in rec yds, at least 300 ahead of JaMarr Chase
- Rashaad Penny finally breaks out as an RB1

1) Wrong. Had some good games, but RB24.
2) Yes but not by 300 unless Higgins totally crushes it in the final 2 games.
3) No, but sans injury, quite possible.

 

[Rubi]

Bold but possible:

1. Jags will win their division and one playoff game (still alive)
2. Patriots will finish last in their division
3. Mitch Trubisky will be a top 10 qb (ooof)
4. The Eagles will be in the Super Bowl ( a possibility)
5. The Panthers will finish ahead of The Bucs in their division
6. The Lions will beat Green Bay in the last game of the regular season and get a wildcard spot while knocking The Packers out of the playoffs (so close)
7. The Houston Texans will win 9 games (blech)
8. The Raiders will play The Bills in the AFC Championship game (Nope)
9. The Cowboys will lose 11 games ( you said BOLD)
10. Russell Wilson and Deshaun Watson will both lose to their former teams( sooo close)

Well I'll own to mine. Anyone else?

 

[Hot Sauce Guy]

Bold but possible:

1. Jags will win their division and one playoff game (still alive)
2. Patriots will finish last in their division
3. Mitch Trubisky will be a top 10 qb (ooof)
4. The Eagles will be in the Super Bowl ( a possibility)
5. The Panthers will finish ahead of The Bucs in their division
6. The Lions will beat Green Bay in the last game of the regular season and get a wildcard spot while knocking The Packers out of the playoffs (so close)
7. The Houston Texans will win 9 games (blech)
8. The Raiders will play The Bills in the AFC Championship game (Nope)
9. The Cowboys will lose 11 games ( you said BOLD)
10. Russell Wilson and Deshaun Watson will both lose to their former teams( sooo close)

Well I'll own to mine. Anyone else?

I’ve already owned mine. Twice.

 

[Bozeman Bruiser]

1. AFCW: Broncos win division ALMOST
2. AFCN: Burrow leads NFL in passing yards and TDs, takes Bengals back to Super Bowl 5th, 3rd, TBD
3. AFCE: Tyreek finishes season as #1 fantasy WR 2nd
4. AFCS: Henry rushes for more than 2105 yards in 16 games, finishes #2 fantasy RB 1500 YDS, 5th
5. NFCW: Aiyuk finishes with more fantasy points than Deebo WINNER
6. NFCN: Lions win division, Sun God finishes top 5 fantasy WR NOPE, 8th
7. NFCE: Sam Howell throws more TDs than Wentz and Heinicke RIVERA HATES WINNING
8. NFCS: Baker Mayfield has more passing yards and TDs than Brady LOL
9. Cowboys beat Cardinals in NFC Championship game NOPE
10. McPherson kicks a 67 yard field goal as time expires in Super Bowl LVII for the win TBD

1/10 correct, 1.5 TBD

Not bad.

 

[IHEARTFF]

> 2 AFC West games go to OT
> 11 8-9/9-8 teams
Saquon is the RB1
Gabe Davis scores > fantasy points than Stefon Diggs

Only 2 AFCW div games went to OT, but those teams played in 6 more OT games outside the division. Den/LV did not get the competition with KC they sought.
Only 10 teams won 8/9 games, but 8 more had 7/10. lots of parity.
Saquon wasn't RB1, but RB5 overall made him a value pick in rd2.
Gabe prediction was a whiff (wr34 vs Diggs at wr4).