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With the above being truth, you may be able to wait a week and see, depending on your leagues waivering system. I picked him up since I had injuries at the WR position and owners are quick to react. Not a lot at the moment to be hopeful for.-- edit --Anyone with some spare time know what the passing offense looks like, statistically, over the past few years when Moss wasn't in the game? What the run/pass ratio was, how often they looked deep (which is what I hear Tate's skill set encourages), or Brady's completion percentage to anyone BUT welker?
The bottom part is mostly not relevant. Moss would come out for a play or two but was in the lineup pretty consistently as they would use him as a decoy to draw coverage. If he came out strategically, it was for situational things (way ahead and the starters were out, 3rd and 1 and they were going to sneak or run up the middle, etc.). There would be very little to go on in terms of the handful of plays in "regular" game conditions to signify the Patriots tendancies.A better snapshot in what to expect is looking back at the years when Moss was not around. They didn't really have a deep theat. I'm not sure the Pats will use Tate as a deep threat all that often, as they haven't so far.At UNC, he was only a main cog on offense in his senior year, posting 376 receiving yards in the first 4 games of the season before blowing out his knee. He was always a force as a kick returner, but he only became a major, integral threat as a senior. (As a junior, he averaged about 2 catches a game.)By comparison, Hakeem Nicks put up 68-1,222-12 at UNC as a junior, but some folks think that Tate was benchmarked for any earlier draft slot than Hicks was.Bottom line, I'm not sure Brady has 100% trust in Tate yet. So as I see it, trading Moss was not specifically a sign that the Pats were so enamored with Tate but moreso they were so disgusted with Moss.
In redraft I won't argue with you.In dynasty or keeper leagues I believe he's a HOLD.
Yudkin does your prediction remain the same after week 6? Is Welker still bottom tier WR1/top tier WR2 and is Branch still a low end WR3/ok WR4?
Tate will have more than 0 the rest of the way and I doubt Branch is a regular 9 catch 100 yard WR each week. The Pats will scheme and gameplan differently for each opponent.I am guessing that Branch did a better job running routes and getting open than Tate did. They may have also been concerned that if Tate would normally be running deeper routes without Moss that they wouldn't have had time against the Ravens.I still think Tate will have a couple of games where he will get a deep ball and a score, but the other games he will be fantasy depth and bye week filler.I think Welker may end up losing some targets with Branch around as Brady really looked to Deion a lot. NE also has played extremely well at home and not as well on the road, so that may again be something to monitor.At this point, Branch might move a little higher on the food chain to borderline WR2 territory and Tate more solidly in WR4 to WR5 (away from WR3) range.It may end up being Welker, Branch, and Hernandez as being the only guys getting consistent targets and production, but as I said it's been 1 game with Branch so it's hard to declare that as the outcome just yet.
I don't see Tate getting 4/40 a game. That would be 64/640 over the course of a season as a 4th receiving option. I would guess he would be a lot lower in the reception category with a higher yards per catch.
I just traded for Welker in 2 of my leagues. I hope you are right about him being a low end WR1.
It depends on your scoring. He probably is a low end WR1 in PPR leagues, probably not in a 0 PPR league. Branch may take some of his targets. Hopefully Welker will get more time on the field as the season goes on, so that should help.
What would you project for him the rest of the way? His numbers so far in 5 games4/361/172/434/390/0 (however had a 22 yard rush). Average yards per game thus far is 31.4 - 5% uptick? would get him around 38 yards per game.I would be hoping to avg out to 4/40 the rest of the way.
non ppr both leagues. So WR2 in non ppr? That was my expectation and I had some hopes that he could reach WR1 with Moss out of town.
I don't see anyway he will average only 10 yards per catch, and I don't see him getting 4 catches a game. Maybe 2.5 catches a game and 30-35 yards per game. But that could be a couple short passes and a 25-30 yarder. He probably will be destined to be invisible some weeks but could get a couple big plays depending upon match ups and coverage.It doesn't look like he will be a big piece of the offense as some people speculated.
Cundiff is very good at kickoffs - bunch of touchbacks this week. But Tate was the one doing the receiving/downing in the endzone
