The reality that matters is on No. 18's face. If he isn't protected or doesn't feel like he is being protected or getting what he wants/needs from the others on the field, then the Broncos are nothing and nothing else matters and that player that is creating the scowl on 18's face is going to have little ff value.
If Peyton Manning's opinion is what matters, shouldn't we be asking Peyton Manning his opinion?
"We have some young players, we have some first-year starters, potentially at tight end, and
we're going to have a young running back. Montee Ball is going to play a lot."
-Peyton Manning after Saturday's game (emphasis mine)
Now, semantically speaking, Knowshon Moreno is pretty young compared to Peyton Manning, but the context of that quote is that Peyton is explaining how young and inexperienced starters are going to lead to some offensive inconsistency. In that context, it's clear that he's not talking about 26-year-old, 5th-year-veteran Knowshon Moreno. People keep saying that Peyton's going to get what he wants, but as casually as Peyton's tossing that comment out, it seems pretty clear to me that Peyton is perfectly comfortable with Hillman or Ball as his primary RB.
Again, I want Moreno to succeed. He's a great team player, and I have nothing against him. I did the recap of Denver's preseason game and I've been doing Denver's camp reports, and I made a point in both places to discuss just how good Moreno looked against the Rams. He had a lot more burst than I've grown accustomed to seeing from him, and he finished all of his touches with real authority. If I were Denver's decision-maker, I might even be tempted to give Moreno a shot after seeing how dedicated he's been this offseason. I'm not Denver's decision-maker, though; instead, I endeavor to listen to the guys that are.
I tend to take what the front office, coaching staff, and other players say at face value rather than searching for hidden meaning. I believe that, Belichick aside, most NFL-types will be remarkably honest and up-front. This could be me being naive, but every indication I've seen so far tells me that Moreno's not the guy. Nobody with any authority even mentions Moreno, except occasionally with guys like Lance Ball or Jacob Hester as a complete afterthought. Everyone talks as if the RB competition is just a two-man race between Hillman and Ball. Moreno's not getting first-team reps. Denver didn't put him in the game until the very end of the first half, after Hillman was shut down for the night (possibly relating to his fumble). It's possible they know what they have in him so they don't feel the need to evaluate him, but I don't know if I buy it. Denver knows what they have in Von Miller, yet he's still playing a ton of snaps with the first string despite Denver having a pressing need to see what else they have behind him. Maybe Denver is going to realize that Knowshon Moreno offers exactly what their offense needs, but I tend to think that Denver's brass is pretty well aware of what their offense needs, and they're pretty well aware of what Moreno offers, so I think a great epiphany is relatively unlikely at this point.
I'm not saying that I'd bet the house on it or anything. I've drafted Knowshon Moreno in the late rounds of several drafts this year, because I do think he's a worthwhile hedge with a very cheap price tag. I'm just saying, I really, really don't think he's going to be the guy this year. This really looks to me like a two-horse race between Ball and Hillman, with Moreno serving as nothing more than a super-reliable veteran insurance policy. Hell, if he hadn't gotten injured, I might think C.J. Anderson was more likely to win the starting job than Knowshon Moreno.