Concept Coop
Footballguy
Obviously, teams are always going to be at different stages, looking for different things. If you are 0-4, some of these are not going to apply. If you are 4-0, some of these are not going to apply,
Buy Low:
Larry Fitzgerald: He should be on the list until the Cardinals figure it out. He has not been putting up WR1 numbers, and his owners will start to get impatient. The QB situation is awful, and I don't see Larry finishing in the top 15 this year, even if the Cards have something in Max Hall. That said, he is a top 3 dynasty WR, depending on your team, and is only 27. If the owner is re-building, that 27 can sound old. If the owner is trying to win now, they might not want to wait a season for the Cards to put Larry in a better situation.
Matt Forte: I am not a big fan of Forte. That said, the Chicago offensive line is awful, and that has to change eventually. Because Forte is young enough and just talented enough for the Bears to keep until that happens, he is worth a shot. Forte put up RB1 numbers as a rookie. Granted, his YPC were nothing special, neither was the offensive line. Forte has a lot to offer in the passing game, both as a receiver and a solid, willing blocker. For that reason, I think Forte will always have a role in the NFL, even if it is eventually reduced to a RBBC slot. I think he is worth the risk at 24 years old.
Reggie Bush: He might not be cheap in PPR leagues. But in standard scoring formats, his value is dipping. Scoop him up. Reggie Bush is a special talent. Even though that has not, and most likely never will, translate into him being a starting RB, or an every down back, he will have a long career. There are not many players in the NFL that offer all of the things that Reggie offers. For that reason, he is worth picking up while his value is down. You will most likely be using Reggie as a flex option. A solid, year in, year out Flex option that you can count on for 5-7 years is worth a lot in dynasty leagues.
Eli Manning: He is better than he has played. Based on that alone, it is only logical to assume that he turns it around. If you like him, get him before that happens.
Sidney Rice: Sidney Rice is 6'4", 215lbs. Sidney Rice has great hands, good speed, good strength, great body control, great leaping ability, and when the ball is in the air, it belongs to Sidney Rice. Sidney Rice is a pro-bowler, who was one of the best players in the NFL, when it mattered most. Sidney Rice is 24 years old. His situation sucks: he is injured, we don't know who is QB is going to be next season, he is a free agent, and the Vikes just traded for Randy Moss. Well, those are the reasons you will get a 24 year old, pro-bowl receiver, who looked like he was on the cusp of stardom. Even if Rice doesn't play a down this year, and suffers through a year of Tavaris Jackson, Rice is worth the gamble.
Beanie Wells/CJ Spiller: Talented players. Terrible situations. Dynasty Leagues: Talent > Situation
Justin Forsett: He never got a fair shot to be the man, with Seattle's line not making things easy for him. Lynch was just brought in and everyone is assuming he is the starter. I am not so sure. I expect Forsett to have a higher YPC, once his number of carries drop. If Lynch doesn't come in and earn the job, it will be a RBBC at worst, Forsett's job again, at best.
Pierre Garcon: He is a starting WR on a Peyton Manning led team. Get him while he has been out and Collie has been on a roll - a roll that I don't think he can keep up, once Manning gets all of his weapons back.
Sell High:
Arian Foster: For elite talent only. There are maybe 10 players you trade this guy for. If you are in a position to win it all this year, don't trade him for anything less than a top 5 RB. If you are not, move him for a Calvin Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Ray Rice, or other young, elite players. He is a good player, in an amazing situation. Situations change. If he demands top dollar this offseason, the Texans decide his is not worth it, and he is traded to the Seahawks, his value is quite literally cut in half. If somehow ADP or Calvin Johnson ended up in Seattle, their value would not take that hit. Again, talent > situation. If you view him as elite, top 5RB talent, ignore this. If you think he is top 15-20, move him.
Cedric Benson: Move him after his next big game. I know his value is not exactly high, but I have a feeling it is a lot higher than it will be 4 short months. I think he is an average talent, and average talents don't stay average long after their prime.
Marshawn Lynch: It's Seattle and he's Marshawn Lynch. I know you have waited and put up with a lot, as a Lynch owner. But again, he is Marshawn Lynch and it's Seattle. Trade him to someone that falls for him being a 24 YO former 1st round pick. Trade him during the buzz, potentially to the Forsett owner. Seattle did not find the long term solution.
Austin Collie: Standard scoring only. He is going to continue getting catches, and yards. His TDs will dip once everyone is healthy. He had injury concerns himself at BYU.
Ahmad Bradshaw: I really like this guy. But his legs will not hold up for even 2 years at this pace (20 car/gm). Trade him for young RB1 value.
Buy Low:
Larry Fitzgerald: He should be on the list until the Cardinals figure it out. He has not been putting up WR1 numbers, and his owners will start to get impatient. The QB situation is awful, and I don't see Larry finishing in the top 15 this year, even if the Cards have something in Max Hall. That said, he is a top 3 dynasty WR, depending on your team, and is only 27. If the owner is re-building, that 27 can sound old. If the owner is trying to win now, they might not want to wait a season for the Cards to put Larry in a better situation.
Matt Forte: I am not a big fan of Forte. That said, the Chicago offensive line is awful, and that has to change eventually. Because Forte is young enough and just talented enough for the Bears to keep until that happens, he is worth a shot. Forte put up RB1 numbers as a rookie. Granted, his YPC were nothing special, neither was the offensive line. Forte has a lot to offer in the passing game, both as a receiver and a solid, willing blocker. For that reason, I think Forte will always have a role in the NFL, even if it is eventually reduced to a RBBC slot. I think he is worth the risk at 24 years old.
Reggie Bush: He might not be cheap in PPR leagues. But in standard scoring formats, his value is dipping. Scoop him up. Reggie Bush is a special talent. Even though that has not, and most likely never will, translate into him being a starting RB, or an every down back, he will have a long career. There are not many players in the NFL that offer all of the things that Reggie offers. For that reason, he is worth picking up while his value is down. You will most likely be using Reggie as a flex option. A solid, year in, year out Flex option that you can count on for 5-7 years is worth a lot in dynasty leagues.
Eli Manning: He is better than he has played. Based on that alone, it is only logical to assume that he turns it around. If you like him, get him before that happens.
Sidney Rice: Sidney Rice is 6'4", 215lbs. Sidney Rice has great hands, good speed, good strength, great body control, great leaping ability, and when the ball is in the air, it belongs to Sidney Rice. Sidney Rice is a pro-bowler, who was one of the best players in the NFL, when it mattered most. Sidney Rice is 24 years old. His situation sucks: he is injured, we don't know who is QB is going to be next season, he is a free agent, and the Vikes just traded for Randy Moss. Well, those are the reasons you will get a 24 year old, pro-bowl receiver, who looked like he was on the cusp of stardom. Even if Rice doesn't play a down this year, and suffers through a year of Tavaris Jackson, Rice is worth the gamble.
Beanie Wells/CJ Spiller: Talented players. Terrible situations. Dynasty Leagues: Talent > Situation
Justin Forsett: He never got a fair shot to be the man, with Seattle's line not making things easy for him. Lynch was just brought in and everyone is assuming he is the starter. I am not so sure. I expect Forsett to have a higher YPC, once his number of carries drop. If Lynch doesn't come in and earn the job, it will be a RBBC at worst, Forsett's job again, at best.
Pierre Garcon: He is a starting WR on a Peyton Manning led team. Get him while he has been out and Collie has been on a roll - a roll that I don't think he can keep up, once Manning gets all of his weapons back.
Sell High:
Arian Foster: For elite talent only. There are maybe 10 players you trade this guy for. If you are in a position to win it all this year, don't trade him for anything less than a top 5 RB. If you are not, move him for a Calvin Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Ray Rice, or other young, elite players. He is a good player, in an amazing situation. Situations change. If he demands top dollar this offseason, the Texans decide his is not worth it, and he is traded to the Seahawks, his value is quite literally cut in half. If somehow ADP or Calvin Johnson ended up in Seattle, their value would not take that hit. Again, talent > situation. If you view him as elite, top 5RB talent, ignore this. If you think he is top 15-20, move him.
Cedric Benson: Move him after his next big game. I know his value is not exactly high, but I have a feeling it is a lot higher than it will be 4 short months. I think he is an average talent, and average talents don't stay average long after their prime.
Marshawn Lynch: It's Seattle and he's Marshawn Lynch. I know you have waited and put up with a lot, as a Lynch owner. But again, he is Marshawn Lynch and it's Seattle. Trade him to someone that falls for him being a 24 YO former 1st round pick. Trade him during the buzz, potentially to the Forsett owner. Seattle did not find the long term solution.
Austin Collie: Standard scoring only. He is going to continue getting catches, and yards. His TDs will dip once everyone is healthy. He had injury concerns himself at BYU.
Ahmad Bradshaw: I really like this guy. But his legs will not hold up for even 2 years at this pace (20 car/gm). Trade him for young RB1 value.
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