There doesn't seem to be much debate about Newton, everyone is touting him as the next stud QB. What he did during the lockout was impressive but who's to say he didn't take advantage of defenses that were adjusting to the lockout as well?
First 8 games:
2,393 Yards / 11 TD / 9 INT
319 Yards Rushing / 7 TD
Bye
Last 8 Games:
1,658 Yards / 10 TD / 8 INT
387 Yards Rushing / 7 TD
He threw for 700 less yards down the stretch than he did in just 1st 8 starts. With that said, his passing stats if he continues like his second half stats suggest would be:
3,300 Yards / 20 TD / 16INT
You can argue that his TD will rise or his INT will go down but in my personal opinion a QB who relies on RZ TDs is not a player I am willing to burn an early pick on, especially in Dynasty.
14 Rushing TD? That's an incredible number even for a Running Back. I'm not so sure Newton is going to have as spectacular a year as last.
Even with just the regression in passing yards (700 less), that's 28 Fantasy Points there. If he has only 4 less Rushing Touchdowns, that's 32 points there.
70 less points over 16 games is 4 less points per game from your Quarterback, potentially more if his TD total drops more.
Let's say he goes for:
3,300 / 21TD / 17INT
700 / 10TD
That's 354 Fantasy Points and a realistic expectation. Now Matt Ryan last year went for:
4,100 / 29TD / 12INT
359 / 4TD
That's 381 Fantastic Points for Matt Ryan. Scale him down for regression and he's in the same tier (IMO) as Newton. Only with a very good chance to improve / sustain his numbers as opposed to regress like Newton.
First 8 games:
2,393 Yards / 11 TD / 9 INT
319 Yards Rushing / 7 TD
Bye
Last 8 Games:
1,658 Yards / 10 TD / 8 INT
387 Yards Rushing / 7 TD
He threw for 700 less yards down the stretch than he did in just 1st 8 starts. With that said, his passing stats if he continues like his second half stats suggest would be:
3,300 Yards / 20 TD / 16INT
You can argue that his TD will rise or his INT will go down but in my personal opinion a QB who relies on RZ TDs is not a player I am willing to burn an early pick on, especially in Dynasty.
14 Rushing TD? That's an incredible number even for a Running Back. I'm not so sure Newton is going to have as spectacular a year as last.
Even with just the regression in passing yards (700 less), that's 28 Fantasy Points there. If he has only 4 less Rushing Touchdowns, that's 32 points there.
70 less points over 16 games is 4 less points per game from your Quarterback, potentially more if his TD total drops more.
Let's say he goes for:
3,300 / 21TD / 17INT
700 / 10TD
That's 354 Fantasy Points and a realistic expectation. Now Matt Ryan last year went for:
4,100 / 29TD / 12INT
359 / 4TD
That's 381 Fantastic Points for Matt Ryan. Scale him down for regression and he's in the same tier (IMO) as Newton. Only with a very good chance to improve / sustain his numbers as opposed to regress like Newton.