Chris Davis, 1B Texas Rangers (1 Viewer)

[Billy Bats]

In an AL only keeper league and am wondering if I should believe the hype and take Davis early in my draft this year. I need a starting 1B and available options would be Konerko, Swisher, Huff and Guillen on draft day. Not exactly murderes row, which is why I'm thinking about jumping on Davis for his power and keeper potential.

What are some reasonable expectations for this year out of the 23 year old first baseman and would you take him as your starter over a veteran?

 

[MAC_32]

30+ HR power seems legit, but he may be an average liability and if he bats 7th in the lineup as some believe he will be the counting stats aren't going to be anything special.

At the rate he's been going for, I'm passing. I liked him a lot more a couple months ago when he was teetering on the edge of the top 100, now he's just outside of the top 50? No.

 

[the moops]

Minor + Major leagues he has 1 homerun, every 14.7 ABs. Obviously very early and hard to tell. And obviously his numbers last year in the majors were 1 homerun per 17.3 ABs. However, either one puts him in a very select group of players. Top 50 all-time for the latter, top 12 for the former. He is also a .300+ hitter in the minors.

I'm buying. Even at the expense of a top 50 pick. His 3B eligibility this year makes him even more intriguing.

 

[The foo]

Drafted him in the 8th round to fill in for arod, then possibly move him to first. Think i got great value (ten Team League)

 

[eoMMan]

He was my rookie keeper ....I look for good things from him in a very good line-up.

 

[Michael Brown]

I got him late last year so I get to keep him for that pick this year, but otherwise I'm not buying. I expect good power, but the contact rate is worrisome. I could easily see a season of 30-90-.240 with a boatload of strikeouts. In other words, a better Mark Reynolds.

His upside is huge of course and I'll be hoping for it, but I'm not gonna hold my breath.

 

[E-Z Glider]

Best pure power this side of Ryan Howard (at least that's what I read - never saw him play).

 

[Pip's Invitation]

He doesn't have the plate discipline or contact rate to put up monster numbers. But he'll put up respectable numbers for you if you don't overpay and/or can slot him at 3B.

 

[Mr. Pickles]

Completely overhyped right now.

 

[Finless]

He's got mediocre written all over him.

.251 80 26 87 3

 

[cosjobs]

.287 101 38 105 3

Depending where he bats, the RBIs and Rs could flucuate, but I expect their combined total will surpass 205 in the powerful Ranger lineup.

 

[Statorama]

Completely overhyped right now.

I like the guy (and in a keeper situation, given the OP's other choices is a fine risk) but he's getting drafted way above where he should be.

 

[Bogart]

.287 101 38 105 3Depending where he bats, the RBIs and Rs could flucuate, but I expect their combined total will surpass 205 in the powerful Ranger lineup.

Getting daily updates from Surprise and getting to see some ST games now, and Davis started slow but is really starting to get into that groove that he was in for his productive times last year. Really hitting the ball solid everytime up.And in this lineup, he could really do some nice things.

 

[Bogart]

.287 101 38 105 3Depending where he bats, the RBIs and Rs could flucuate, but I expect their combined total will surpass 205 in the powerful Ranger lineup.

Getting daily updates from Surprise and getting to see some ST games now, and Davis started slow but is really starting to get into that groove that he was in for his productive times last year. Really hitting the ball solid everytime up.And in this lineup, he could really do some nice things.

Really REALLY hard hit ball for a Grand Slam tonight.

 

[Mr. Pickles]

.287 101 38 105 3Depending where he bats, the RBIs and Rs could flucuate, but I expect their combined total will surpass 205 in the powerful Ranger lineup.

Getting daily updates from Surprise and getting to see some ST games now, and Davis started slow but is really starting to get into that groove that he was in for his productive times last year. Really hitting the ball solid everytime up.And in this lineup, he could really do some nice things.

Couple of Homer Simpsons right here.

 

[MAC_32]

.287 101 38 105 3Depending where he bats, the RBIs and Rs could flucuate, but I expect their combined total will surpass 205 in the powerful Ranger lineup.

Getting daily updates from Surprise and getting to see some ST games now, and Davis started slow but is really starting to get into that groove that he was in for his productive times last year. Really hitting the ball solid everytime up.And in this lineup, he could really do some nice things.

If he's batting 7th I wouldn't bet on 100 RBI's and no way I'd expect 100 R's.

 

[pantagrapher]

.287 101 38 105 3Depending where he bats, the RBIs and Rs could flucuate, but I expect their combined total will surpass 205 in the powerful Ranger lineup.

Getting daily updates from Surprise and getting to see some ST games now, and Davis started slow but is really starting to get into that groove that he was in for his productive times last year. Really hitting the ball solid everytime up.And in this lineup, he could really do some nice things.

If he's batting 7th I wouldn't bet on 100 RBI's and no way I'd expect 100 R's.

I guess we just have to hope Ron Washington isn't a complete idiot.

 

[MAC_32]

.287 101 38 105 3Depending where he bats, the RBIs and Rs could flucuate, but I expect their combined total will surpass 205 in the powerful Ranger lineup.

Getting daily updates from Surprise and getting to see some ST games now, and Davis started slow but is really starting to get into that groove that he was in for his productive times last year. Really hitting the ball solid everytime up.And in this lineup, he could really do some nice things.

If he's batting 7th I wouldn't bet on 100 RBI's and no way I'd expect 100 R's.

I guess we just have to hope Ron Washington isn't a complete idiot.

From what I've read, right now, he is.

 

[Eephus]

.287 101 38 105 3Depending where he bats, the RBIs and Rs could flucuate, but I expect their combined total will surpass 205 in the powerful Ranger lineup.

Getting daily updates from Surprise and getting to see some ST games now, and Davis started slow but is really starting to get into that groove that he was in for his productive times last year. Really hitting the ball solid everytime up.And in this lineup, he could really do some nice things.

If he's batting 7th I wouldn't bet on 100 RBI's and no way I'd expect 100 R's.

I guess we just have to hope Ron Washington isn't a complete idiot.

From what I've read, right now, he is.

unless Bud Selig just changed the rules, I believe teams are allowed to change lineups throughout the year. If Davis is on pace to hit .280 w/ 35 HRs like the homers suggest, he'll get moved up in the order.Spring training batting orders are useful bit of information but it's possible to overreact to them. They can impact production in the counting categories but tend to be fluid throughout the year.

 

[Bogart]

I think he is hitting 5th, if not 4th, by mid-May.

 

[MAC_32]

unless Bud Selig just changed the rules, I believe teams are allowed to change lineups throughout the year. If Davis is on pace to hit .280 w/ 35 HRs like the homers suggest, he'll get moved up in the order.Spring training batting orders are useful bit of information but it's possible to overreact to them. They can impact production in the counting categories but tend to be fluid throughout the year.

I agree, but there's reason to believe the same could happen for Cruz and Blalock, in which case he may not move up past #6. Unless Cruz bombs I expect him to stay above Davis regardless to at least somewhat split up the army of lefties in the middle of the Rangers' lineup.Don't get me wrong, I like Davis, just not to the degree many do. Too risky as early as he's going imo.

 

[Statorama]

unless Bud Selig just changed the rules, I believe teams are allowed to change lineups throughout the year. If Davis is on pace to hit .280 w/ 35 HRs like the homers suggest, he'll get moved up in the order.Spring training batting orders are useful bit of information but it's possible to overreact to them. They can impact production in the counting categories but tend to be fluid throughout the year.

I agree, but there's reason to believe the same could happen for Cruz and Blalock, in which case he may not move up past #6. Unless Cruz bombs I expect him to stay above Davis regardless to at least somewhat split up the army of lefties in the middle of the Rangers' lineup.Don't get me wrong, I like Davis, just not to the degree many do. Too risky as early as he's going imo.

I've seen both Cruz and Davis play, and Davis is far and away a better hitter. If you had me pick which one of the two was more likely to fail in 2009, 10 times out of 10 I'd pick Cruz.

 

[MAC_32]

unless Bud Selig just changed the rules, I believe teams are allowed to change lineups throughout the year. If Davis is on pace to hit .280 w/ 35 HRs like the homers suggest, he'll get moved up in the order.Spring training batting orders are useful bit of information but it's possible to overreact to them. They can impact production in the counting categories but tend to be fluid throughout the year.

I agree, but there's reason to believe the same could happen for Cruz and Blalock, in which case he may not move up past #6. Unless Cruz bombs I expect him to stay above Davis regardless to at least somewhat split up the army of lefties in the middle of the Rangers' lineup.Don't get me wrong, I like Davis, just not to the degree many do. Too risky as early as he's going imo.

I've seen both Cruz and Davis play, and Davis is far and away a better hitter. If you had me pick which one of the two was more likely to fail in 2009, 10 times out of 10 I'd pick Cruz.

That's probably why Davis is a popular top 60 pick and Cruz is often not taken in the top 150.

 

[shadyridr]

This guy is off to a good start

 

[cosjobs]

This guy is off to a good start

I do not like the start, but he's always been streaky, so I'll be patient.

 

[Mr. Know-It-All]

I'm hoping his cold streak lasts into next week - at which time the nervous Davis owner in one of my leagues will agree to a trade...then I can stash him on my farm (at least until he starts hitting or maybe until next year).

 

[Mike Shanahan Fan]

In AVG leagues, he'll be fine. Not sure about OBP. His power and that lineup are both legit., I wouldn't write the guy off totally because he's off to a slow start.

I was all over him last year and he was a great WW pickup for me, but he was just going too high for my liking in drafts this year.

 

[pantagrapher]

This is getting ugly.

 

[cosjobs]

This is getting ugly.

In fantasy footballs terms- if he was an RB, he'd have had a bad first half of the first game. Maybe -2 yards on 10 carries.

 

[pantagrapher]

This is getting ugly.

In fantasy footballs terms- if he was an RB, he'd have had a bad first half of the first game. Maybe -2 yards on 10 carries.

In fantasy baseball terms, he's 1 for 22 with 10 Ks, 3 runs and O RBIs.

 

[cosjobs]

This is getting ugly.

In fantasy footballs terms- if he was an RB, he'd have had a bad first half of the first game. Maybe -2 yards on 10 carries.

In fantasy baseball terms, he's 1 for 22 with 10 Ks, 3 runs and O RBIs.

In human terms, he's a collicky baby, but his parents are both smart and of the means to send him to an Ivy League school.

 

[MAC_32]

I think he is hitting 5th, if not 4th, by mid-May.

 

[Michael Brown]

He has struck out at least once in every single game that he has started. Wow.

 

[Bogart]

I think he is hitting 5th, if not 4th, by mid-May.

So a bit off. The K's are getting WAYYY out of hand, but I don't think he is going anywhere and will have plenty of chances to get back on track. He stays in my starting lineup just for the power potential.

 

[trogg78]

How the hell did this guy get hyped like this? I had no clue who he was, but he got taken before Adrian Gonzalez, and I was like #### yeah, I love Adrian Gonzalez.

 

[Finless]

He's got mediocre written all over him..251 80 26 87 3

 

[pantagrapher]

He's got mediocre written all over him..251 80 26 87 3

.251, 80, 87 is probably about right, but I think he'll have 26 homers by the end of August.

 

[Michael Brown]

He's got mediocre written all over him..251 80 26 87 3

.251, 80, 87 is probably about right, but I think he'll have 26 homers by the end of August.

If he keeps at this rate, he'll be back in AAA long before the end of August.

 

[cosjobs]

He's got mediocre written all over him..251 80 26 87 3

.270 90 38 90 2He'll have a ton of Ks and too few RBIs, but he WILL hit for a lot of power and score a lot of runs in that lineup.

 

[Finless]

He's got mediocre written all over him..251 80 26 87 3

.270 90 38 90 2He'll have a ton of Ks and too few RBIs, but he WILL hit for a lot of power and score a lot of runs in that lineup.

Oh cut the ####

 

[Michael Brown]

He's got mediocre written all over him..251 80 26 87 3

.270 90 38 90 2He'll have a ton of Ks and too few RBIs, but he WILL hit for a lot of power and score a lot of runs in that lineup.

He'd need to hit about .300 from this point to the end of the year to finish at .270, and I don't know that a guy striking out every other AB has it in him to maintain a .300 BA over that long a timeframe. I was admittedly hopeful that he would put up those sort of stats, but with the start he's had I can't see him finishing at .270. Now if you wanna tell me he'll hit .270 from this point forward, I suppose it's possible but again I wouldn't count on it. I've NEVER seen anyone strike out quite like this before.

 

[cosjobs]

He's got mediocre written all over him..251 80 26 87 3

.270 90 38 90 2He'll have a ton of Ks and too few RBIs, but he WILL hit for a lot of power and score a lot of runs in that lineup.

He'd need to hit about .300 from this point to the end of the year to finish at .270, and I don't know that a guy striking out every other AB has it in him to maintain a .300 BA over that long a timeframe. I was admittedly hopeful that he would put up those sort of stats, but with the start he's had I can't see him finishing at .270. Now if you wanna tell me he'll hit .270 from this point forward, I suppose it's possible but again I wouldn't count on it. I've NEVER seen anyone strike out quite like this before.

Actually he'd only have to hit .289 for the next 416 at bats to earn a .270 BA. Tough for him to do, but not nearly like having to hit .300. I still have confidence in him.

 

[Bogart]

At least he keeps going deep.

 

[Michael Brown]

Walkoff HR off Morrow, and just as importantly -- he didn't strike out in the game. Maybe there's some hope after all!

 

[pantagrapher]

Walkoff HR off Morrow, and just as importantly -- he didn't strike out in the game. Maybe there's some hope after all!

No small feat against King Felix. And the average is up to .239.

 

[Bogart]

It moved.

 

[Finless]

He's got mediocre written all over him..251 80 26 87 3

On pace for 250 Ks....ooooooooph. Just 48 more than the record.

 

[Mr. Pickles]

Walkoff HR off Morrow, and just as importantly -- he didn't strike out in the game. Maybe there's some hope after all!

No small feat against King Felix. And the average is up down to .239. .189

 

[awesomeness]

i don't get why they don't send him down to AAA. What are they waiting for?

 

[pantagrapher]

Walkoff HR off Morrow, and just as importantly -- he didn't strike out in the game. Maybe there's some hope after all!

No small feat against King Felix. And the average is up down to .239. .189

0 for his last 15 with 10 Ks. Brutal. I won't even bother counting up the LOBs.