Macdaddy_2004 said:
I've noticed that the consensus ADP on Crabtree, Hicks and Welker is lower than guys like Boldin, Both Steve Smiths and Ochocinco.
My question is do you feel this is justified? My gut is telling me that all three of these guys will have beter seasons than Boldin, Both Steve Smiths and Ochocinco
Who is this Hicks you speak of?As for Crabtree, despite his draft pedigree, he's still a 2nd year WR in an offense that will probably be more ground oriented by coach's decree that's being run by a QB that is as inconsistent as any in the league. There's some risk there. To me, Crabtree has a bit of a low-ceiling this year.
Welker is coming off an injury and we don't know if he'll have his quickness back this season. If he isn't quite as quick, NE has Edelman in the wings who seems to be gaining Brady's trust more every day and isn't a slouch in the quicks department himself. Why rush an 80% Welker back to the field when you have a very capable Edelman eager and motivated to prove his own worth? NE doesn't have to play Welker if he isn't 100%. They can afford to bring him along slowly.
Assuming you are talking about Nicks, not Hicks, he's also a 2nd year WR in an offense that may try and realign itself as a ground and pound scheme. While Eli is much, much better than A.Smith, Nicks has some competition for targets from S.Smith and Manningham. Not to mention he's been a little dinged himself.
But, there are questions about the other guys as well. I think you're just seeing a cautious bias against unproven youth and injury. With the exception of S.Smith-NYG, you are looking at guys that have been studs for more than one year. The majority tend to default to the proven, healthy, established guys when it's a close call. That's all.
