Chaka
Footballguy
A 17% drop in YPA should absolutely discourage you. If Cook suffers a 17% drop off in YPA that puts him at 4.0 YPA. Even a 10% dropoff puts him on par with Latavius Murray at 4.3 YPA.Good pull, but there are also quite a few outliers going in the other direction. Guys who were aging, practice-squad types, and wild statistical anomalies. For example, the fact that Jamaal Charles dipped from 6.40 per carry to "just" 5.29 after the injury doesn't discourage me.
I'm no doc, of course. But I'm still most interested in when the injury (and ensuing surgery) occurred. A guy who tears it in Week 16, for example, needs to be treated as though he won't be in decent shape until October or so. Cook went down in Week 4; I'm willing to bet he's a full-go at some point before camp.
I think there are only three RBs in NFL history (Barry, Jim Brown and Charles) who averaged above 5 YPC for their careers. Despite a nice start to his career before the injury I think it's a little early to put Cook in with those three.
And Charles suffered his injury in week 2, September 18, 2011.
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