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Dead Wrong (1 Viewer)

W

wiscstlatlmia

Footballguy
Drafted to high

QBs

Phillip Rivers

Michael Vick

RBs

Darren McFadden/Jamaal Charles- to be fair, IMO would have been great picks if there seasons weren't derailed by injuries, But Crippling picks nonetheless

Felix Jones

Chris Johnson

WRs

Brandon Lloyd

Greg Little

Arrelious Benn

TEs

Lance Kendricks

Jermichael Finley

Avoided/ Didn't think could do it

QBs

Cam Newton

Eli Manning

RBs

Fred Jackson

Michael Turner

WRs

Roddy White

Jordy Nelson

Vincent Jackson

TEs

Rob Gronkowski- I didn't doubt he had talent, I doubted he would get so many targets....and yards ...and touchdowns. I was dead wrong lol

Tony Gonzalez

 
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I play in a league that starts three WRs but you can use a TE there if you want. In the middle of the draft I had a feeling that the Patriots would focus on their TE and make them a bigger part of the offense. So, being the shrewd fantasy player I am, I confidently called out

"Aaron Hernandez!"

I scoffed when someone took "the other guy" and really chuckled when some moron took Jimmy Graham. I now affectionately call that moron "champ."

 
Took Tampa Mike with 4.10. Welker went 4.11. Ouch!

Grabbed Lynch in round 7. "Wrong thread" you say? But oh no, I dropped him after week 2 (small bench)

 
Thought I made a steal in dynasty trading a bunch of junk for Tampa Mike. One of the junk pieces was Jordy Nelson.

 
i drafted greg oslen and watched him turn into a blaine crap in my pants gabbert down the stretch and it sort of really ticked me off because i cant stand blaine gabbert

 
I hit on my Jimmy Graham/Aaron Hernandez strategy at TE as well as Reggie Bush.

I whiffed completely on Phillip Rivers and Chris Johnson.

 
Auction league:

Cam Newton-cheap

Michael Bush-cheap

Percy Harvin-cheap

traded them away for Forte and V Jax before D-Mac's injury was reported as a Lis Franc & before Harvin went on his late-season tear. :wall:

 
at the draft, I thought Satana Moss was a steal as late as I was getting him ( 2nd to last round)..I thought he would put up great numbers in Shanny's offense..dead wrong.

even without the hand injury, Moss was a huge bust..however, Gaffney helped me win a title as I added him late in the season, he was one of the most consistent WR's down the stretch..

I thought Benson had more in the tank than what he showed. same with Mendenhall..

L. Blount stifled many a fantasy GM..he really looked like he was the next Michael Turner type of 300+ carry bowling ball, one man wrecking crew..wow were we wrong..

obviously no one thought Alex Smith would do as well as he did..

 
I thought AJ was a sure thing in round 1.

I thought Vjax would be a stud in round 2 (his inconsistency and Rivers having a down year hurt).

I thought Best was a high-upside pick in round 3.

I thought Blount was great value in round 4.

I thought Big Ben (round 5) was going to break out this year with the schedule he faced and receiving weapons he had.

To be fair, injuries played a big role here. I finished 4th out of 14 and just didn't have enough to get to the championship. The champ had Brady/Welker/Graham/etc.

 
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Picked up Victor Cruz before the start of week one. His first game dropped two passes and looked awful got benched by the Giants and cut by me. You know what they say sometimes your best move is a non-move. Man I wish I would have sat tight.

 
Went WR-WR 1.11/2.02

Ended up with Fitz/Jennings/Cruz- never started the right two all season long

Blount in round 3 (thought it was the SOTD)

Felix Jones in round 4 (didnt draft Murray because he was already injured)

Finished 7-6 in that league.

Dynasty:

Traded Lynch in a dynasty league as a throw in basically because I didnt want to give up Starks.

Traded for Delone Carter

Passed on trading Deangelo Williams.

Traded for Mike Sims-Walker

 
qbs I got lucky this year and stayed away from Vick, Rivers, Freeman and Bradford.

rbs I was wrong about:

Marshawn Lynch

Reggie Bush

Kevin Smith (even though I eventually landed him, I thought he was just a plodder)

Demarcus Murray (mostly due to my overrating of Felix Jones)

James Starks (held him forever waiting and waiting when I could have used that roster spot)

wrs I was not high enough on:

Victory Cruz

Jordy Nelson

Stevey Smith

at tight end, I was fortunate enough to draft Gronkowski as the 10th te in all leagues

but I was wrong about how good Jimmy Graham is.

 
Busts on my team: Roethlisberger, Bradford, Mendenhall, Hillis and Manningham

Also traded away Harvin right before he went wild (at least I got Colston back)

 
Dallas Clark as the 3rd or 4th TE taken. Wiffed on MSW mid to late round. NE defense was horrible (ranked 6th by FBG before the start of the season). Thought I would get more from Lloyd but he was still a top 30 WR. Hit on a couple of players which propelled my team.

 
Took Peyton Hillis in round 3... :thumbdown:

Took Felix Jones in round 4... :thumbdown:

Thankfully Demarco Murray and Michael Bush were on my bench

 
I need to re-think my position of avoiding rookies at all costs (in general). It used to be that even successful QB/WR rookie campaigns were no use for fantasy purposes and that's changing.

 
Hit on Reggie Bush, Cruz, McGahee, R. White, Sproles, Nate Washington & Cam.

Missed on S. Holmes, D. Williams, Ingram (so far), & maybe Best, but that was due to injury.

 
I was dead wrong on

1) Mike Williams and Josh Freeman.....thought TB was an up and coming offense. Oops.

2) DeAngelo Williams.....thought that if CAR would pay him 20 million or so that he would be the man, instead Cam was the man. Double oops.

3) I thought CAR made a huge mistake by taking Cam #1 so I never thought of drafting him as a flyer. Triple oops.

4) Vincent Jackson - thought he would step up and be an elite WR since he wanted to get paid. Oops.

5) Welker. Drafted turds like Mike Williams and Santonio Holmes over this guy.

6) Hillis. Thought that he would be very productive, but injuries slowed him down.

7) Ingram. Sproles and Thomas clearly killed Ingram's value...as well as turf toe.

 
'Warrior said:
How was Greg Little drafted too early??
Click to expand...
LOL ...because I actually drafted him expecting production, late round pick with high expectations.... only to be frustrated by 14 weeks of 8-10 targets 3 catches, 2 drops and 25 yards every week... O what a rookie year Greg.
 
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I was way too high on Lance Kendricks LOL....I also thought Josh Freeman would be a legit QB1!!...but I did predict that Mendenhall wouldn't be all that great and I chose not to keep him in a keeper league. I didn't think Cam Newton would be much at all in year one - in fact, I advised my friend to take Kevin Kolb ahead of him!!! (fortunately for him, he didn't listen). i also didn't believe in Reggie Bush, though perhaps many didn't.

My love of Jimmy Graham paid off though for sure.

 
Turned down an offer of Fred Jackson for Mario Manningham after Week 2.

Could have traded Darren Sproles for Steve Smith (Car) early in the season, didn't make the trade, then ran into WR injuries and had to settle trading Sproles for Steve Johnson.

 
'fightingillini said:
I was dead wrong on4) Vincent Jackson - thought he would step up and be an elite WR since he wanted to get paid. Oops.
Click to expand...
Seems odd to ##### about VJax's production. In standard scoring he was WR10, which is still a WR1, and in that 4th tier of WRs along with Wallace, Roddy and Harvin. To me that's pretty good. Yeah he had a number of bum weeks, but when he hit, he hit big and most likely helped you win your matchup...
 
I was dead wrong on Ingram who I thought would stay healthier, although his level of production was about what I expected the first year in that offense. I thought he might prove more sturdy.

I was wrong about Kenny Britt-hoping he could put together an entire season.

Don't get me started about Hillis..LOL.

 
Completely wrong:

• In thinking Sam Bradford was going to quickly be the next Peyton Manning in year two of an eventual HOF career. Drafted as my QB2, but taken ahead of my WR4.

• Drafting Mark Ingram in the 5th round. It seemed like a steal, but at least I know I had a ton of company on this whiff.

• Counting on DeSean Jackson as a WR2. I knew he’d be up and down, but he rarely had enough good games to roll the dice and hope he’d produce. Total disappointment. He’s on my do-not-draft list next year.

• Nabbing Tampa Mike Williams as my WR1. I was enamored by his 11 TD’s last year and his talent seemed like a sure thing to continue success with a franchise QB in Josh Freeman. I overvalued both of them and really the entire Bucs team. At the end of the season, Williams almost cost me a shot at the championship with a “0” pt game in the semifinals. He wore down at the end and Freeman for whatever reason stopped even looking his way.

• In taking the highly touted Pittsburgh Defense in the 11th round. Though they were solid all year, and especially in the championship week, I think I will employ the rent-a-defense approach from now on. Too many great players still on the board where I took Pittsburgh like Jordy Nelson for instance.

Completely right:

• About reaching a bit for Aaron Rodgers in the early 2nd round. While I didn’t see an MVP season coming, I thought he was as “safe” as safe gets and that’s all I wanted with that pick. Just wanting to avoid a bust.

• (& mildly shocked) that Cedric Benson had that much left in his tank. He had that disastrous spat with his live-in boy friend and I was thinking that the team would turn on him and Scott would take over. But Cedric proved he’s much better than Scott will ever be.

• About reaching for Michael Bush to handcuff injury prone Darren McFadden in the mid rounds. This saved my season.

• In trading away my mistake first round pick, Jamaal Charles prior to week one for McFadden. This was about the time Chief TE Moeaki got hurt in the 4th preseason game, and you could tell that that KC Chiefs wheels were coming off the train fast under Todd Haley. At least I got several good weeks out of McFadden, and already had Bush drafted as his handcuff.

• About reaching for Julio Jones in the 6th round, and getting a lot of #### from the guys in the draft room on that pick. He solidified my WR group, which was solid (for the most part) when I later added Crabtree off waivers.

• On trusting my gut and Dodds and drafting both Gronkowski (7th round) and Hernandez (13th round). These two guys pulled my team into contention each and every week. I played Hernandez as my TE Flex regularly and these picks were my slam dunk SOD’s.

• In recognizing value in drafting Jermaine Gresham as my TE3 in the 15th round. A special thanks to Bengals homers on these boards. I ended up trading him away because I could never use him having already 2 great TE’s. I only regret not getting better value from Gresham. I dealt him to a good friend who was in bye week trouble in a completely lopsided deal.

 
I was wrong on:

Andre Johnson in the 1st

Felix Jones in the 3rd; almost pulled the trigger on Brady instead (at least I also got Murray in the 15th).

Dropping Demarco Murray during his bye week (you know, one week before he became the starter)instead of Josh Freeman just so I could fill a starting lineup due to other injuries.

Philip Rivers in the 4th

Kenny Britt in the 7th

I was right about Julio Jones in the 8th, However, I was wrong to trade him away after week 1 for Tim Hightower due to injuries to my 6th round pick Beanie Wells and Arian Foster who was my 2nd round keeper. I though who cares, I still have Kenny Britt and Andre Johnson. I lost them both within two weeks of this deal.

Michael Bush was a good 14th round pick, but I was wrong to drop him instead Delone Carter after week 3 in order to fill a starting lineup from all my other injuries.

The only pick I actually hit on that I didn’t get rid of within the first 4 weeks was A.J. Green in the 12th.

 
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'Danish Bengal said:
Took Tampa Mike with 4.10. Welker went 4.11. Ouch!Grabbed Lynch in round 7. "Wrong thread" you say? But oh no, I dropped him after week 2 (small bench)
Click to expand...
Ha same story here for Mike and Lynch.
 
'ckl81 said:
'fightingillini said:
I was dead wrong on4) Vincent Jackson - thought he would step up and be an elite WR since he wanted to get paid. Oops.
Click to expand...
Seems odd to ##### about VJax's production. In standard scoring he was WR10, which is still a WR1, and in that 4th tier of WRs along with Wallace, Roddy and Harvin. To me that's pretty good. Yeah he had a number of bum weeks, but when he hit, he hit big and most likely helped you win your matchup...
Click to expand...
VJax was drafted as a WR1. None of the drafts that I have seen had him going later than WR8. Sure he won you 3 games when he averaged 8/159/2, but what about the other 13 weeks when he averaged 3 rec for 48 yds and scored 3 TDs total? He killed you on those weeks. I expected him to step up and have a huge year since it's a contract year for him. And I was dead wrong.I can't have my WR1 put up WR40 numbers for most weeks. Sorry.
 
My strategy was to pass on WRs early to load up on other positions, and take receivers in the mid-rounds that I thought were undervalued and could serve as low end WR1s or high end WR2s:

Manningham

Lloyd

Lee Evans

Stevie Johnson

Santana Moss

That didn't work out so well at all. I guess Stevie was serviceable. The rest were awful

 
I had pegged the Giants passing attack for being great this year.

Eli is and finally has turned the corner as far as being a legit QQB 1 fantasy player.

I follow the Giants extremely closely and I just knew that Manningham was going to have that break out year. He was going to put up a minimum 1100 to 1300 yards starting on the opposite side of Nicks. I had side bets with guys in my league and turend down some very good trade offers from him in the off season in my dynasty draft.

Enter Cruz (who I extremely underrated) and his 82 catches for 1536 yards 9 tds. Manningham who had been trending up over the last couple of seasons especially coming off of his 3rd year totals of 60 catches for 944 yards with 9 tds, battles through injuries and bad play to put up 39 catches for 534 yards and 5 td's. Efff you Manningham and your awful year.

 
Keepers- A.Johnson (hurt all year), ADP- (hurt, possibly for good)

My 1st rd pick- Wayne (bf it was known Manning would be out)

2nd rd pick- Vick (thought going QB early would help, what a bust)

3rd rd pick- Maclin (eh, not as good as I thought he would be)

4th rd pick- Ingram (you all know what happened here)

I also drafted Lynch but ended up dropping him after week two.

I did hit on McGahee who I drafted in the 9nth round. Also picked up Decker, Cruz, L.Robinson, and R.Bush (yeah)

 
My brilliant strategy of waiting until the last second on QB almost bit me in the @@@ becuase i though the combination of Flacco/Freeman would be top 10 easy this year....thankfully i got lucky with Graham (drafted in the 9th round) and sproles (Week 1 WW).....

 
'bucsbaby said:
I thought AJ was a sure thing in round 1.

I thought Vjax would be a stud in round 2 (his inconsistency and Rivers having a down year hurt).

I thought Best was a high-upside pick in round 3.

I thought Blount was great value in round 4.

I thought Big Ben (round 5) was going to break out this year with the schedule he faced and receiving weapons he had.

To be fair, injuries played a big role here. I finished 4th out of 14 and just didn't have enough to get to the championship. The champ had Brady/Welker/Graham/etc.
Click to expand...
I thought I was loaded at WR coming out of my auction this year. And I needed them to offset my weak RB corp of M.Turner, F.Jones, D.Williams, J.Stewart, D.Carter, D.Murray, B.Powell.These were my WR's:

A.Johnson (love the 6 games of production, only 3 of which were even helpful)

H.Nicks (missed one game and was gimpy in several others, not to mention the emergence of V.Cruz)

M.Austin (missed 6 games and worthless in several others)

A.Collie (injured his Manning, but played 16 games)

J.Jones (missed 3 games, and limited in several others)

E.Decker (thanks, Tebow)

G.Little (worst case of the dropsies I've seen in a while, but he played in 16 games).

M.Sims-Walker (IR, but wasn't expecting much)

D.Alexander (missed 6 games, but wasn't expecting much)

G.Salas (IR, but not expecting much)

So out of 10 WR's on my roster during the season, only 3 played all 16 games.

And I cut L.Robinson in the off season after holding onto him for years!

Snake bit?

 
My only real miss was trading away Dwayne Bowe for Reggie Wayne after week 1. Wouldn't mind taking that one back.

Of my RB's three ended up on IR but there's not much you can do about that.

 
'ckl81 said:
'fightingillini said:
I was dead wrong on

4) Vincent Jackson - thought he would step up and be an elite WR since he wanted to get paid. Oops.
Click to expand...
Seems odd to ##### about VJax's production. In standard scoring he was WR10, which is still a WR1, and in that 4th tier of WRs along with Wallace, Roddy and Harvin. To me that's pretty good. Yeah he had a number of bum weeks, but when he hit, he hit big and most likely helped you win your matchup...
Click to expand...
The problem is when he was a bum, he might have lost your matchup as well. Going 6-7 is still going 6-7 whether you do it with solid if not spectacular production or bi-polar offensive explosion/implosion. And both get you bumped from the playoffs just as easily.In my main league he was 14th in total points and 18th in points per game. In terms of his production each week, he was a top 10 scorer (for WR's) 3 times, top 20 scorer 2x and top 30 scorer 2x. That means he only really won for you in three games all season. He didn't hurt you in 2 games. He left you wanting more in 2 games, and had you throwing your laptop across the room in the other 9 when there were 30 other WR's that week that scored more than he did.

And he never put 2 good games back to back the whole season though he did hit in weeks 9 and 11.

 
'fightingillini said:
'ckl81 said:
'fightingillini said:
I was dead wrong on

4) Vincent Jackson - thought he would step up and be an elite WR since he wanted to get paid. Oops.
Click to expand...
Seems odd to ##### about VJax's production. In standard scoring he was WR10, which is still a WR1, and in that 4th tier of WRs along with Wallace, Roddy and Harvin. To me that's pretty good. Yeah he had a number of bum weeks, but when he hit, he hit big and most likely helped you win your matchup...
Click to expand...
VJax was drafted as a WR1. None of the drafts that I have seen had him going later than WR8. Sure he won you 3 games when he averaged 8/159/2, but what about the other 13 weeks when he averaged 3 rec for 48 yds and scored 3 TDs total? He killed you on those weeks. I expected him to step up and have a huge year since it's a contract year for him. And I was dead wrong.I can't have my WR1 put up WR40 numbers for most weeks. Sorry.
Click to expand...
And that's what we should remember when someone starts pimpin' Player X because he's in a contract year. People always remember the examples which support their argument but never the ones that disagree.Remember Vincent Jackson.

 
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