wraith5 said:
valhallan said:
wraith5 said:
Brunell4MVP said:
Just traded for him....had to give away DeAngelo Williams...but I needed to risk it. Horn wasn't cutting it.Don't think he's as good as DJax, but by year end Branch should be good for 6 catches a game, 80 yards, and a TD here or there.
In New England last year, he wasn't putting up those numbers, and he was the primary receiver. Why would you expect them now?
Actually, he has put up those numbers. Here are his first 8 last year: | 1 oak | 0 | 7 99 | 1 || 2 car | 0 | 8 60 | 0 || 3 pit | 0 | 6 78 | 0 || 4 sdg | 0 | 1 6 | 0 || 5 atl | 0 | 8 107 | 0 || 6 den | 0 | 7 87 | 0 || 8 buf | 0 | 3 92 | 1 || 9 ind | 0 | 5 58 | 1 |5.6 catches and 73.4 yards a game with 3 scores sprinkled in. There were some decent defenses on that schedule too.But more importantly to your second point, we would expect those numbers now because he's with a new offense and a new quarterback. Tom Brady doesn't feed any one receiver the ball consistently, but Hasselbeck does. The real question is whether Branch can unseat Engram for those 6 catches a game Bobby was getting most of last year.
With the soft schedule I see for Seattle, I'm concerned that there won't be much of a need to air it out (OAK, SF x2, GB, ARI) which will affect all of the receivers numbers.
True, but Seattle had a softy last year too and still finished 14th in passing yards and 5th in TDs.
Why would you look at only Branch's first 8 games last year?!? He played 16. Let's not pick & choose stats. For the year, he had 78/998/5. In 16 games. (4.9/62.4/0.3 ave)
You said he wasn't putting up those numbers last year, so I showed you an instance where he did. And I included his 1 for 6 performace, so let's not get too carried away with accusations of picking and choosing stats.
If you look at Engram's numbers last year, he had 67/778/3 in 13 games (5.2/60/0.2 ave). That's with Jax playing only six games for the year. Jurevicius did have 10 TDs, but Branch doesn't bring the same red zone presence Joe does, so we can't assume those numbers would transfer to him. Some, but not close to all.
I'd don't like this whole "transfer stats" thing people play with new wideouts. The bottom line is DJax is the #1 and will draw coverage, Engram is hurt, and Burleson is a non-factor. Branch will get plenty of opportunity and he has shown the ability to produce in the past.
Finally, I think to expect his numbers are going to jump significantly because he's on a new offense (which he has to learn) with a new QB (with whom he needs to develop timing/rapport) is short sighted.
I'm not expecting a significant jump at all. I've simply said he's in a great situation and has a very low price tag right now. What's not to like about that?
Therefore, even if you were to assume that Jax is going to miss time (no sure thing), I don't see how anyone can expect "big" numbers for Branch with Engram, Burleson, and Stevens competing for receptions.
"Big" numbers? 6 for 80 is big? Maybe he'll be closer to 5 for 70, but that's 12 points in PPR and well worth taking a look at.Don't overreact here. No one is really arguing that Branch will be top 10 or even be the #1 on his team. Some of us just think he has a great chance to make an impact on the second half of this season and wise owners should probably try to get him now while the price is low.