I wish Tebow all the luck. But ALL the scouts/pundits/analysts said that Tebow is not an NFL QB. And those guys get paid a lot of money to make those judgements and study the players so I'll defer to their wisdom before I go with my thoughts.
You certainly have an odd definition of "ALL", and in all caps no less. The reality is it's more like half, and both Jon Gruden and Tony Dungy have said they'd take him in the top 10 with Gruden going as far as saying he'd guarantee a super bowl win if he coached a team with Tebow as his QB. Last I checked, those guy's opinion (particularly Gruden's) is pretty highly respected around these parts.
Yeah, but Gruden pretty much said that about every player. Either he didn't want to step on any fingers, he's just a really nice guy, ESPN told him not to be negative, or all of the above. Gruden probably thinks he could win a SuperBowl if he stepped in and played QB! :X Dungy 'aint exactly known for being negative either, unless a player pisses off one of his former coaches in some way...but even then he candy-coats his criticism.
Good luck finding a talent-evaluator/talking head that is impartial, and doesn't have interests that makes it hard for him to be critical of players, and probably more importantly GM's and head-coaches. They get their "secrets" from some of these sources in return for positive coverage, not all of them, of course, but "source" usually wants something in return. That is why I like Kiper, although he has changed too, probably for similar reasons.
In other words, just sit back, relax, and watch Tebow(and others) play before calling the pick good or bad. In regards to Tebow, Orton is the man for at least another year, probably 2, as he should be. We may not know much, outside of a pre-season drive or two that will be over-blown if he looks great or terrible, till 2013-2015 and that is probably a GOOD thing for a project QB like Tebow. My opinion is, if McDaniels can have a winning season or two to keep the "FIRE HIM NOW" vultures at bay, which in turn allows Tebow proper development time...he will probably be a fine NFL QB, maybe pretty damn good. If they throw him to the wolves too early? He will be CFL MVP come 2015...
The same thing can be said for a couple of QB's in this draft class who I believe have what it takes(if given enough time to prepare...Aaron Rodgers is the perfect example of the ideal way to develop a QB)...see Tony Pike / Colt McCoy / Mike Kafka(talk about flying under the radar, loved watching him at Northwestern...if Kolb fails, this will be the man come 2013), and Dan LeFavour(see Kafka, although I loved watching DL play a bit more due to his athletic ability, but Kafka is much better than average athlete for his position as well). Think all four of these guys COULD be solid starters, in reality, if one of them turns into a decent starter, I'll be surprised, as teams seem to give up on QB's too quickly nowadays. If I had to bet on one of them, I'd pick Kafka, with Pike/LeFavour tied for 2nd...
Small highlite film featuring Kafka...if you're interested.