Deshaun Watson vs. Jared Goff (1 Viewer)

[Tree44]

I'm in a 12-team, non-PPR, 1 superflex league where we can keep one player from last year's draft that we picked in round 8 or later in a 16-round draft. We get to keep the player in the round we picked them. Last year I picked Goff in the 10th round and D Watson in the 13th. Judging by rankings, most sites have Watson as top-10 QB or borderline, with Goff being 15 or later.

Even though it goes against every expert ranking, I feel like Goff is going to have a better year than Watson. 4,400 yards and 29 TDs/7Ints last year was really solid, and they've only added weapons like J Gibbs. I know he gives you nothing with his legs.

Watson obviously looked horrid and really rusty at the end of last season. I expect some improvement but Cleveland still has Chubb and I can't remember when it's ever been the hotbed of fantasy QB production and it's not the "factory of sadnesss" for nothing.

Am I crazy thinking Goff may be the better keeper?

 

[higgins]

No, you’re not crazy — a few unknowns that may help clarify/muddy for the future:

- Chubb / Cooper being older may decrease future offensive success. DET doesn’t appear to have as much of an issue w/ current info.

- If CLE struggles, the HC’s days may be numbered & we don’t know how that would affect DW’s future. DET’s HC doesn’t appear to have an issue w/ current info.

- What if Hendon H is really good?

In short, you’re not crazy but I don’t have any advice other than to gather all the info & trust your gut/process, whichever way that leads.

 

[travdogg]

I wouldn't say crazy, but I have Watson a lot higher than Goff. I would be careful about putting too much weight on 2022. We have a lot of evidence Watson is an elite player, and Goff isn't even close.

ETA: I'd feel fine with Watson as a starter, I wouldn't want Goff as a starter.

 

[Chaka]

Not entirely crazy but one thing to be aware of is Goff appears to be an entirely different QB at home vs on the road.

In 9 home games he threw 23 TDs (2.55/game) with 8 multi-TD games, in 8 road games he threw 6 TDs (0.75/game) with one multi-TD game (3 at Carolina) and 4 games with 0 TD passes.

The Lions look like a better team this year but they have 9 road games and 8 at home, I would be at least a little wary of relying on Goff for 9 roadies.

At least with Watson you can hope his legs helps to stabilize his scoring in off games, with Goff that isn't an option.

Not crazy but, IMO

Watson>Goff

 

[humpback]

Agreed, not crazy, but considering the higher ranked QB is also cheaper (13th rounder vs. 10th rounder), it seems like a fairly easy call.

 

[FBG Moderator]

For future note - we're not able to do league specific Who do I start / who do I keep in the Shark Pool as it will get overrun. Those all need to go in the assistant coach forum.

If you have a question like Watson or Goff please frame it more general where the whole forum can get value from the discussion.

 

[JoeKappBudGrant]

Not entirely crazy but one thing to be aware of is Goff appears to be an entirely different QB at home vs on the road.

In 9 home games he threw 23 TDs (2.55/game) with 8 multi-TD games, in 8 road games he threw 6 TDs (0.75/game) with one multi-TD game (3 at Carolina) and 4 games with 0 TD passes.

The Lions look like a better team this year but they have 9 road games and 8 at home, I would be at least a little wary of relying on Goff for 9 roadies.

At least with Watson you can hope his legs helps to stabilize his scoring in off games, with Goff that isn't an option.

Not crazy but, IMO

Watson>Goff

In Goff's last year in LA, the general consensus was that he played poorly. He still averaged 25 points in his 8 road games. If you are worried about the weather, the Lions only play 1 non dome road game after week 7, and that game is against the Bears.

 

[Tree44]

Thanks everyone - great feedback. Also I note what the moderator said for future posts.

 

[eighsse2]

Was hoping this thread was about an upcoming MMA match. Oh well. I would keep Watson if I were in your shoes.

 

[-OZ-]

I feel like Goff is going to have a better year than Watson.

If CLE struggles, the HC’s days may be numbered