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Dion Lewis (1 Viewer)

Uh... gonna need @Dr. Brew to give us his 2 cents on this PDQ

ETA -- from that article there's a link to a medical journal, which gives this prognosis for the injury in general:
 

Prognosis

Patellar fractures following ACL reconstruction require a long rehabilitation period. Several studies have shown that following successful rehabilitation of treated patellar fractures with no further complications, patients do not suffer from long-term consequences (Bonatus and Alexander 1991, Christen and Jakob 1992, Carangelo et al. 1995, Simonian et al. 1995, Berg 1996, Brownstein and Bronner 1997, Viola and Vianello 1999, Stein et al. 2002).

 
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Speaking of which - has anyone bought recently?  Mostly asking for dynasty leagues, but... are guys valuing him as what he was, or expecting a huge discount?
I just got Lewis for Jay Cutler in a 12-team PPR dynasty league with a QB flex spot (essentially a 2 QB league). For context, the other guy's QBs are Eli, Hoyer, and McCown so he likely would not have had a QB to start this week without making the deal. Still, I'm pretty happy with picking up Lewis in exchange for a QB I wasn't planning on keeping next year anyway. 

 
Uh... gonna need @Dr. Brew to give us his 2 cents on this PDQ
Wow I did not see that coming! Crazy. Makes complete sense now. I knew something was off about this scenario. 

He should be fine long term. The only issue is short term, you need that healing to occur. I defer to my Dez Bryant posting: 

There are stages of bone healing... 

Inflammation stage (1 week)

Healing/Callus (3-4 weeks)
A callus is basically what I refer to as "sloppy" or "unorganized bone" just put down quickly to stop further damage. Think a piece of gum to stop a leak. Patients with a full break usually are toe touch or partial weight bearing. This will stop further damage but can be easily damaged/broken again or worse

Proliferation/Hard Callus (3-4 months)
The callus is replaced by woven bone. This is harder than callus bone and can withstand greater forces. It's not perfect, but this is when people can do a lot of full weight bearing

Remodeling (6-12+ months)
This is where the woven bone is replaced by lamellar bone, which is bascially what un-injured bone is.
In regard to the immediate future, they have to move him slower because he is likely much weaker. 1 surgery is enough to work back from but 2 within 1 year is very tough; you get very weak. Having screws put in just means he will eventually, probably, have some discomfort. Not a big deal as long as he can play through it. 

I think this sets him back from coming back a few weeks because they have to ease him back in more due to his inactivity and recovering from 2 surgeries with pretty major recoveries. I mean, you put some screws into the bone and there is potentially a significant period of non to partial weight bearing. Every day he was getting significantly weaker than the previous. That is what will hold him back now, probably not the original or even secondary injury. Honestly, that could take him a long time to come back. When we do see Lewis it may be a very long easing back into the rotation. 

 
Speaking of which - has anyone bought recently?  Mostly asking for dynasty leagues, but... are guys valuing him as what he was, or expecting a huge discount?
I put Lewis on the block about a week ago - received no offers.  I'll wait and hope he has a big game and then put him on block again.  League is PPR dynasty.  

 
I am assuming you are a White owner who wants him to keep his role, but there is a huge difference. Lewis averaged about 1.5 yards more per rush and per reception more than White so he was far more productive per touch. Lewis also averaged almost 90 yards a game compared to White's 50 yards per game this year so he was much more of an impact overall. 

If Lewis is healthy, he'll play over White. There is no saving him for next year for a lesser player  at Brady's age.


White is an OK player...Lewis is electric...it's not too close either...I posted this earlier but it is worth repeating:

http://www.csnne.com/new-england-patriots/greg-bedard-thinks-james-white-hurts-new-england-patriots-need-dion-lewis-or-trade
stbugs and Boston, I must admit that I have come around to your view on White and I am big enough to admit when I am wrong.

After watching him closely I agree that he is "just a guy" when it comes to receiving RB's.  White is adequate and can make plays, but Lewis had a level that White does not.   White rarely carries through the tackles and while he appears to be good in space, I havent seen him make something out of nothing.  Now we just have to wait and see if Lewis ever gets healthy this year.

 
CaptainJT said:
stbugs and Boston, I must admit that I have come around to your view on White and I am big enough to admit when I am wrong.

After watching him closely I agree that he is "just a guy" when it comes to receiving RB's.  White is adequate and can make plays, but Lewis had a level that White does not.   White rarely carries through the tackles and while he appears to be good in space, I havent seen him make something out of nothing.  Now we just have to wait and see if Lewis ever gets healthy this year.
The game where it was really apparent was last year in the playoffs against Denver...they were feeding him the ball but he just wasn't able to make the big play they so sorely needed...he's not a bad player but come playoff time or the regular season game against Denver which may decide home field having a healthy Lewis could provide that play or two that could make the difference...this offseason I would really like to see them add another RB that can both run and catch and is not one-dimensional...Bilal Powell would have been a nice fit but he's not worth what the Jets gave him...

 
Dion Lewis (knee, PUP) returned to practice Thursday.
The practice starts the 21-day clock for the Patriots to activate Lewis off the PUP list. Lewis is not going to play this week, but it is possible he is ready to go following the Week 9 bye. Lewis' return will render James White valueless in fantasy leagues.

Source: Jeff Howe on Twitter
Oct 27 - 1:02 PM




 

 
Dion Lewis (knee, PUP) returned to practice Thursday.
The practice starts the 21-day clock for the Patriots to activate Lewis off the PUP list. Lewis is not going to play this week, but it is possible he is ready to go following the Week 9 bye. Lewis' return will render James White valueless in fantasy leagues.

Source: Jeff Howe on Twitter
Oct 27 - 1:02 PM




 
I somewhat disagree that White will be valueless. Lewis at 100% getting his regular snap count and workload would make White valueless. But who knows when that will be.

 
Keep in mind, in 3 weeks they have to Activate him from PUP or IR him. Also, they can activate him from PUP and still not make him a gameday active. That 2nd surgery sounds like a big deal to me. I wouldnt hold my breath. He still seems like a guy they will wait to unleash in the NFL playoffs.

 
Keep in mind, in 3 weeks they have to Activate him from PUP or IR him. Also, they can activate him from PUP and still not make him a gameday active. That 2nd surgery sounds like a big deal to me. I wouldnt hold my breath. He still seems like a guy they will wait to unleash in the NFL playoffs.
I expect they will unleash him Week 15 @ DEN.

 
I somewhat disagree that White will be valueless. Lewis at 100% getting his regular snap count and workload would make White valueless. But who knows when that will be.
White has averaged 8.5 touches/game.  Even if Dion is 'eased' back and get half, 4 touches/game is the same as worthless in fantasy.

 
White has averaged 8.5 touches/game.  Even if Dion is 'eased' back and get half, 4 touches/game is the same as worthless in fantasy.
For starters, at this point we know nothing about Lewis and when he will play and how much. Maybe Lewis will start with only 10-15 snaps a game and NE sees how things go.

Since Lewis got hurt last year, White has played in 10 games with Brady but not Lewis. Yes, he's average 8.2 touches a game in those games, but he's averaged 16.85 ppg in 1 ppr leagues. That ranks in the Top 10 for RB scoring. White has 57 receptions and 9 TD in those 10 games.

White will probably have 2-3 games before we have to start worrying about Lewis.

 
White has averaged 8.5 touches/game.  Even if Dion is 'eased' back and get half, 4 touches/game is the same as worthless in fantasy.
This isn't a normal situation when healthy IIRC Lewis could take the lead role in the backfield and would take touches from Blount. Also as someone else pointed out typically Bolden has been the nominal no. 3  RB on game day. 

 
I too am worried about the Rotoblurb declaring White's immanent worthlessness.  With short benches when Dion comes back, I'm about forced to drop White. Wish I had the luxury to see how this all plays out. 

 
They signed Lewis to an extension in-season last year if I remember correctly when he was killing it, so I would guess that once he's back to full health he gets the same workload again. Obviously that's the X-factor, no one knows how long it will be until he's at 100%. I didn't expect him to practice this week though, so I think a return week 10 after the bye is a definite possibility.

 
Not only did they resign him mid-season it was one of the team friendliest deals I've ever seen and Dion went out of his way to mention that he was happy to work for less because the Pats supposedly were believers in him.

Story

 
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Rotoworld:
 

The Patriots are hoping to have Dion Lewis (knee, PUP) back for Week 10 against the Seahawks.

Lewis may have been able to play this week had New England not been on bye. He resumed practicing last Thursday and looks set to resume his role as the Patriots' passing-down back. Lewis hasn't played an NFL game in almost a year after undergoing two knee surgeries. Lewis shouldn't put much of a dent in LeGarrette Blount's workload, though it could make James White a non-factor.


NFL is about to get a lot more exciting highlight reels.

 
Wow, grabbed him for $1 and stashed him on IR two weeks ago. Didn't expect him back this fast. 
When it comes to the Pats and injuries you never think too deep because you never know...he could have 20 touches in week 10 or be put on the IR the day before the game...

 
Been holding him in 3 leagues all year (drafted), 2 are short benches.  This looks promising and could be my saving grace.

 
Wow, even a layman like my wife can obviously see Dion Lewis is special. She came in my office as I ran this clip and said why is the guy #28 doing it in slow motion? Is he just learning?This was her response after seeing Dion follow James White doing the same drill. I explained they both did the drill at full speed. LMAO.
I certainly wouldn't read anything into that. The other guys look like they are going through the motions. Lewis looks like he is actually trying. I wouldn't look at that clip and conclude anything about any of them. Good to see Lewis out there and not looking like Quasimodo, but I would not categorize that as evidence that he is "back and better than ever."

 
I certainly wouldn't read anything into that. The other guys look like they are going through the motions. Lewis looks like he is actually trying. I wouldn't look at that clip and conclude anything about any of them. Good to see Lewis out there and not looking like Quasimodo, but I would not categorize that as evidence that he is "back and better than ever."
Agreed, just thought it was funny and others might appreciate it. I know you follow the team closely, and will defer to your judgement, but I have been a stalwart supporter of Lewis before he broke out last year and if Lewis comes back anywhere near 100% White will rarely see the field.

 
Agreed, just thought it was funny and others might appreciate it. I know you follow the team closely, and will defer to your judgement, but I have been a stalwart supporter of Lewis before he broke out last year and if Lewis comes back anywhere near 100% White will rarely see the field.
If the Pats ever get everyone at 100% (which seemingly has been extremely difficult), they should be extremely hard to stop. In OTAs they were said to be planning to use Lewis out of the backfield and White as a WR. I have seen and heard that NE has tons of plays and formations they haven't unveiled yet. Apparently they added a ton of more plays to the playbook based on the personnel moves this past off season. Should be interesting.

 
If the Pats ever get everyone at 100% (which seemingly has been extremely difficult), they should be extremely hard to stop. In OTAs they were said to be planning to use Lewis out of the backfield and White as a WR. I have seen and heard that NE has tons of plays and formations they haven't unveiled yet. Apparently they added a ton of more plays to the playbook based on the personnel moves this past off season. Should be interesting.
Thanks for this insight. I'll keep that in mind. :thumbup:

 
I want no part of this cluster. Pats backfield is so clogged with talent and role players - are there really enough touches to spread around a healthy trio of White, Blount & Lewis? 

I'm skeptical. I think each of these players will have huge weeks. Just not at the same time. And predicting which one week to week is gonna be very tough.

good for the pats, bad for FFB managers. 

 
I want no part of this cluster. Pats backfield is so clogged with talent and role players - are there really enough touches to spread around a healthy trio of White, Blount & Lewis? 

I'm skeptical. I think each of these players will have huge weeks. Just not at the same time. And predicting which one week to week is gonna be very tough.

good for the pats, bad for FFB managers. 
Not saying I know this will how turn out, but this is the thinking that allowed me to draft Blount in like the 9th round, and he's been an RB1 thus far.

While I do think Lewis could eat into his workload a bit, the amount of short TD chances Blount has every game on that ridiculously good offense makes him a weekly must-start IMO.

 
I want no part of this cluster. Pats backfield is so clogged with talent and role players - are there really enough touches to spread around a healthy trio of White, Blount & Lewis? 

I'm skeptical. I think each of these players will have huge weeks. Just not at the same time. And predicting which one week to week is gonna be very tough.

good for the pats, bad for FFB managers. 
didn't they co-exist last year as relevant FF RBs?  (Lewis averaged the fifth-most fantasy points per game among backs in PPR formats and the 12th-most in standard leagues among backs last season.)

 
Not saying I know this will how turn out, but this is the thinking that allowed me to draft Blount in like the 9th round, and he's been an RB1 thus far.

While I do think Lewis could eat into his workload a bit, the amount of short TD chances Blount has every game on that ridiculously good offense makes him a weekly must-start IMO.
Of all the RBs on the Pats,I trust Blount the most due to his short yardage role being pretty well defined. Cheap TDs are his bread and butter, with the occasional big rushing game sprinkled in if the game flow dictates it.

I think Lews and White compete for touches and it limits them both. 

The only thing Lewis does to Blount is that the Pats like the throw to Lewis in short yardage; so a couple of those cheap TDs might get vultured. 

 
didn't they co-exist last year as relevant FF RBs?  (Lewis averaged the fifth-most fantasy points per game among backs in PPR formats and the 12th-most in standard leagues among backs last season.)
I don't believe they had all 3 at the same time? If so, White's role was nowhere near as large IIRC. 

 
this is the thinking that allowed me to draft Blount in like the 9th round, and he's been an RB1 thus far.
Ps - this is a bit of a misstatement since Lewis has been out all season, which you presumably didn't know was going to happen on draft day.

So more realistically it was the presence of a healthy and highly productive Lewis who's ADP was 5th-6th that allowed you to draft Blount in the 9th. 

 
Pats backfield is so clogged with talent and role players - are there really enough touches to spread around a healthy trio of White, Blount & Lewis? 
Won't disagree they have a lot of guys to potentially feed, but if there is one thing I've learned playing in PPR over the last decade or so, it's that the pass catching back on NE will always have value.

 
Won't disagree they have a lot of guys to potentially feed, but if there is one thing I've learned playing in PPR over the last decade or so, it's that the pass catching back on NE will always have value.
Except for those games that Blount goes 100+ on the ground after a quick few passing TDs against a cupcake like the Browns.

on those occasions you'll just have to pray one of those PaTD went to Lewis.

im just saying it's gonna. E hard to predict week to week. From a FFB perspective, the fewer mouths to feed the better. 

Theyre about to have 1 bruiser, one receiving back and one 'tweener in awhile who should do just enough to be a thorn in the aw of Lewis & Blount owners.

just a guess of course, but that's likely how it shakes out IMO.

 
I want no part of this cluster. Pats backfield is so clogged with talent and role players - are there really enough touches to spread around a healthy trio of White, Blount & Lewis? 

I'm skeptical. I think each of these players will have huge weeks. Just not at the same time. And predicting which one week to week is gonna be very tough.

good for the pats, bad for FFB managers. 
I want every part of this offense as long as the part is Dion Lewis. He was a straight rock star producer last year with only 49 carries and 36 receptions and 4 TDs over 7 games and is the final piece to make this offense unstoppable. That is only 7 rushes per game and 5 recs, so 12 touches; so about 89 yards 5 recs and a greater than 50% chance for a TD each game. Those are RB1 numbers. It's not hard to envision him getting 12 touches per game no matter who else is out there and if his role expands then lookout.

 
I want every part of this offense as long as the part is Dion Lewis. He was a straight rock star producer last year with only 49 carries and 36 receptions and 4 TDs over 7 games and is the final piece to make this offense unstoppable. That is only 7 rushes per game and 5 recs, so 12 touches; so about 89 yards 5 recs and a greater than 50% chance for a TD each game. Those are RB1 numbers. It's not hard to envision him getting 12 touches per game no matter who else is out there and if his role expands then lookout.
A fair point - we'll have to wait and see  that's how it plays out  I guess… 

 
He's gonna be BB's January Surprise. He'll 'come back' a week from Sunday to beat the PUP, quickly sprain an eyelash and go actually get f'real healthy, take a coupla snaps 16/17 so everyone continues forgetting how frikkin unreal this kid is, then fingerblast the playoff field with him.

 
I want no part of this cluster. Pats backfield is so clogged with talent and role players - are there really enough touches to spread around a healthy trio of White, Blount & Lewis? 

I'm skeptical. I think each of these players will have huge weeks. Just not at the same time. And predicting which one week to week is gonna be very tough.

good for the pats, bad for FFB managers. 
If Lewis is truly back, then White becomes an aferthought making this the same backfield as last year and Lewis had plenty of value in that scenario.

 
I don't believe they had all 3 at the same time? If so, White's role was nowhere near as large IIRC. 
White was there, but he was just relegated to the bench until Lewis went down. White is very productive but isnt all that good. Lewis can do everything he does plus actually run the ball inside and outside.

 
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White is literally a poor man's Lewis. Maybe not as much in fantasy but definitely in real life. BB loves Lewis and knows just how much more dangerous he makes that offense.

Edit: The reason I believe BB loves Lewis is because he kept him in after fumbling in both weeks 1 and 2 last year. His leash was seemingly infinintely longer than Ridley's had ever been. 

 
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White was there he was just relagted to the bench until Lewis went down. White is very productive but isnt all that good. Lewis can do everything he does plus actually run the ball inside and outside.
Yep. Anyone worries about White isn't paying attention. If Lewis is truly healthy, White is on the bench. 

 
lewis pretty much earned at least 50% snap count in every game last year he played... some of the earlier games he was at 75% or higher.. i don't think white gets totally relegated to the bench and i dont think blount sees his snap % decline below 40% so at least early on i could see bloutn getting 50% of the work with white/lewis splitting the remaining 50%

 

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