Drafting Last (1 Viewer)

[Bankerguy]

This will be my first time drafting in last position. It is happening in both my money league's (One is a 10 team, the other a 12).

Could those you have more experience with this share their strategies and tips. I guess what I'm looking for is....Do you find you take more risks and draft more players with risks in hopes of them realizing their upside stats?

 

[Reagan]

This will be my first time drafting in last position. It is happening in both my money league's (One is a 10 team, the other a 12).

Could those you have more experience with this share their strategies and tips. I guess what I'm looking for is....Do you find you take more risks and draft more players with risks in hopes of them realizing their upside stats?

PPR leage?Even if not, I'd recommend taking the top two RBs available at 10/11, or 12/13 where you are. You could get a top 3 WR at those points, but with the depth of that position and the fall off in the RB position, get the RBs. You can still find some good WRs later.

 

[Getinthemix]

This will be my first time drafting in last position.  It is happening in both my money league's (One is a 10 team, the other a 12).

Could those you have more experience with this share their strategies and tips.  I guess what I'm looking for is....Do you find you take more risks and draft more players with risks in hopes of them realizing their upside stats?

PPR leage?Even if not, I'd recommend taking the top two RBs available at 10/11, or 12/13 where you are. You could get a top 3 WR at those points, but with the depth of that position and the fall off in the RB position, get the RBs. You can still find some good WRs later.

I would slightly disagree. I would take 1 RB and get a top WR. There is a lot of depth at RB compared to the last few years.

 

[Musesboy]

I wouldn't go into the draft locked in to a definite strategy. Taking RB/RB is probably the way I would go but I would remain flexible and see who was there. Don't reach for a marginal RB2 if the value isn't there.

One thing that you will need to be slightly more aware of is your tiers. With 22 picks before you pick again, it would be easy to miss out on runs at one of the positions. If your league allows pick trades, that might help alleviate that problem of course.

 

[Bankerguy]

The one league is very complicated. Not PPR....High performance with bonus....the biggest difference is that our playoffs are actually the week after Wild Card weekend.

The value of diferent players is quite different to normal consensus rankings.

 

[Pantherz]

I've been doing some mocks at the 12th pick and had a couple where I liked the results going WR, WR to start.

S Smith

T Owens

Dillon 3rd

Bell 4th

Dayne 5th

Maroney 6th or 7th

C Perry or Duckett in 10th

You may not want to try 2 handcuffs but I really like the Dillon /Maroney combo since you can get Maroney so late and I beleive that will be a situation where one beats out the other and not a committee like Denver.

Then fill in your WR core with the safe guys llike Rod Smith, E Kennison

Great QBs available in the 7th (Warner, Vick, Delhomme), but you would have to take a flier on your TEs, V Davis?, Winslow?

Risky but I thought the results were interesting. On a few mocks some of the RBs available at 3.11 were better than others where maybe you get C Taylor and Dillon to start. I was basically shoring up the RB position while the TEs and QBs were going. I also found that I used the ADP on my cheatsheet more because of the long time between picks.

 

[Musesboy]

The one league is very complicated. Not PPR....High performance with bonus....the biggest difference is that our playoffs are actually the week after Wild Card weekend.

The value of diferent players is quite different to normal consensus rankings.

Without knowing those differences, I would be reluctant to offer any advice. Your own instincts will guide you better.

 

[Bankerguy]

The one league is very complicated.  Not PPR....High performance with bonus....the biggest difference is that our playoffs are actually the week after Wild Card weekend.

The value of diferent players is quite different to normal consensus rankings.

Without knowing those differences, I would be reluctant to offer any advice. Your own instincts will guide you better.

Even without my league specifics....are you more likely to gamble and take risks?

 

[Musesboy]

Even without my league specifics....are you more likely to gamble and take risks?

I don't see the need to take early risks, whatever your draft position. At 10/11 or 12/13, you should get two reliable performers with proven track records. I would almost certainly take at least 1 RB in those first two picks (unless your scoring makes me think otherwise), but wouldn't be locked into taking two. I probably wouldn't start taking risks until I had four or six players on my roster. It depends on how big the potential reward was though. For instance, I wouldn't have taken Larry Johnson at 4.1 a year ago in the hope that he inherited the job early.

 

[Sweet Love]

A basic thought on picking last in a serpentine draft is that although you will rarely second guess yourself (torn between two players? take them both!), you be left looking from the outside on positional runs. Although you do not want to be the last on a positional run, you also do not want to be left out altogether. You will need to predict those runs before they happen and take who you need when they are available, even if it is a bit of a stretch.

 

[Marc Levin]

TONS of info here:

12th in a 12

Read the whole thread and then check back.

 

[bicycle_seat_sniffer]

Take Rudi J if available and then the best WR

 

[dickey moe]

Take Rudi J if available and then the best WR

 

[Bankerguy]

Thanks Mark.

Solid thread.

 

[softball]

Take Rudi J if available and then the best WR

I would say this is accurate IF it's not a PPR League.I would go Westbrook, and a Stud WR.

McGahee, Jones Duo and any of the other #2's are NOT exciting to me.

One guy who could change it all, Dom Davis. His health could be a major draft shifting event. If he practices/plays in the preason, then you will have one additional player available at 12 who could help.

 

[nygiants56]

This will be my first time drafting in last position.  It is happening in both my money league's (One is a 10 team, the other a 12).

Could those you have more experience with this share their strategies and tips.  I guess what I'm looking for is....Do you find you take more risks and draft more players with risks in hopes of them realizing their upside stats?

PPR leage?Even if not, I'd recommend taking the top two RBs available at 10/11, or 12/13 where you are. You could get a top 3 WR at those points, but with the depth of that position and the fall off in the RB position, get the RBs. You can still find some good WRs later.

I would slightly disagree. I would take 1 RB and get a top WR. There is a lot of depth at RB compared to the last few years.

More depth and more RBBC..I think there is approx. 9 teams that DON'T use RBBC...thats it...the rest of the NFL, is now a RBBC league..if you can get 2 of the 9 RB's at the #10/11 or #12/13 spots, I think you have to take your shots..just my opinion, I understand what your saying that there are more RB's available nowadays then in previous years, but the difference between a guy that carries 300+ times and a guy that gets 200 carries is huge...Take McGahee for instance, he's guaranteed to see 300+ carries,provided he stays healthy, right? same with Droughns, Ronnie Brown, Caddy, Edge, Lamont Jordan...I'd much rather have a pair like Edge/Jordan than Edge & Bell or Edge & Dayne , or even Edge and JJ or Fraud Taylor or Chester Taylor , and so on...

I'm not saying Droughns is a superstar, but his value is bolstered by the fact that he is the de facto RB in Cleveland, he won't share the load with anyone..Much of the offense will be thru him, he'll ALWAYS be on the field and won't be taken out at the goalline,or on third downs, etc..

I'd rather have 2 workhorses that'll get tons of carries and more playing time than have 1 workhorse and 1 RBBC-part time guy ( Dunn, TJ/Benson, Dillon/Maroney, DD/A. Smith/Morency, Bell/Dayne, Fraud Taylor/Jones/Drew, Parker/Staley/Haynes).

Conversely, you can find WR's in a ditch, guys like Joey Galloway in '05 come along every year, they pop up out of nowhere..it is 100% eaiser to find a hidden gem at WR , then it is to find a bona-fide starting RB NOT involved in RBBC..