It seems pretty obvious at this point that the #1 RB spot is a competition between Seastrunk and Gordon if he comes out, right?
You would think so, but there's plenty of time for a curveball. Nobody had Doug Martin or Ryan Mathews as first round picks at this stage of the game. Maybe there is someone out there flying under the radar. My tentative 2014 RB rankings at the moment:
Lache Seastrunk, Baylor (2014)
Melvin Gordon, Wisconsin (2014)
Michael Dyer, Louisville (2014)
Jeremy Hill, LSU (2014)
Devonta Freeman, Florida State (2014)
David Fluellen, Toledo (2014)
Bishop Sankey, Washington (2014)
Tim Flanders, Sam Houston State (2014)
Ameer Abdullah, Nebraska (2014)
Treyvon Green, Northwestern (2014)
Jay Ajayi, Boise State (2014)
Tre Madden, USC (2014)
I don't see a way for Dyer to jump into the first round with his character risk, but he was recently moved up to #1 on Louisville's RB depth chart and figures to test pretty well at the combine. Like Christine Michael, he's a
ball of muscle.
Hill is another wild card. Unlike Dyer, I don't see him as the type who will test very well, but he's got some game for sure.
I think Freeman lacks a little bit of agility based on his freshman and sophomore highlights, but he's certainly got the NFL frame and I think he's quietly a better pro prospect than teammate Wilder.
I like Fluellen, Flanders, and Sankey as round 2-4 options.
If you want a wild card with first round upside, I'd look at Treyvon Green. Green was a no-name entering the season, but if he keeps up his current pace he will be one of the top rushers in college football. I've taken a cursory look at him and he seems to have NFL potential. How high, I'm not quite sure yet. He may end up being more of a day 3 kind of guy.