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[Dynasty] 2023 NFL Draft Class (2 Viewers)

Top 10 Graded NFL Defensive Rookie’s through 4 weeks (pick):

1) Eagles DT Jalen Carter, 92.2 (9th)
2) Patriots CB Christian Gonzalez, 80.8 (17th)
3) Vikings LB Ivan Pace Jr., 80.7 (UDFA)
4) Seahawks CB Devon Witherspoon, 79.7 (5th)
5) Lions DB Brian Branch, 79.6 (45th)
6) Steelers DT Keanu Benton, 78.6 (49th)
7) Texans ED Will Anderson Jr., 76.7 (3rd)
8) Rams DT Kobie Turner, 71.8 (89th)
9) Colts CB JuJu Brents, 71.1 (44th)
10) Rams DE Byron Young, 69.3 (77th)

4 1st rounders, 3 2nd rounders, 2 3rd rounders, 1 UDFA
 
Below are superflex consensus rankings, pre draft as of 4/27, post draft 5/8 and 10/26. The average and standard deviations are overall 10/26 consensus rankings exclude minimum and maximum. Congrats to Achane and Nacua drafters!

4/275/810/28PlayerPosTeamCountAvg
111Bijan RobinsonRB01Atl159.5
422Anthony RichardsonQB08Ind1512.9
243C.J. StroudQB10Hou1517.1
654Jahmyr GibbsRB07Det1530.4
335Bryce YoungQB13Car1534.4
17136Devon AchaneRB12Mia1544.1
567Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR18Sea1547.2
998Zay FlowersWR19Bal1550.8
41419Puka NacuaWR21LAR1554.1
7710Jordan AddisonWR22Min1554.7
331711Sam LaPortaTE04Det1568.7
81112Zach CharbonnetRB24Sea1583.3
10813Quentin JohnstonWR35LAC1588.0
161014Dalton KincaidTE06Buf1593.5
182115Tyjae SpearsRB30Ten1599.3
222516Roschon JohnsonRB31Chi15108.4
291417Kendre MillerRB32NO15111.4
201818Marvin MimsWR41Den15111.6
402919Nathaniel DellWR42Hou15113.5
281920Rashee RiceWR45KC15117.3
212621Tank BigsbyRB35Jac15121.7
302822Luke MusgraveTE10GB15122.5
352023Jayden ReedWR49GB15124.5
132424Josh DownsWR51Ind15129.4
381625Jonathan MingoWR53Car15140.8
151526Michael MayerTE15LV15144.8
142327Jalin HyattWR57NYG15155.6
413128Michael WilsonWR59Ari15158.9
111229Will LevisQB32Ten13162.4
262730Cedric TillmanWR69Cle14181.6
313031Chase BrownRB56Cin14187.7
414132Deuce VaughnRB63Dal14205.9
233333Zach EvansRB64LAR12206.2
414134Jaleel McLaughlinRB66Den8209.2
344035Evan HullRB67Ind11209.2
122236Hendon HookerQB36Det7213.8
414137Trey PalmerWR84TB11214.8
254138Sean TuckerRB68TB10215.2
243439Israel AbanikandaRB69NYJ11216.1
413240Luke SchoonmakerTE29Dal10220.9
 
Below are superflex consensus rankings, pre draft as of 4/27, post draft 5/8 and 10/26. The average and standard deviations are overall 10/26 consensus rankings exclude minimum and maximum. Congrats to Achane and Nacua drafters!

4/275/810/28PlayerPosTeamCountAvg
111Bijan RobinsonRB01Atl159.5
422Anthony RichardsonQB08Ind1512.9
243C.J. StroudQB10Hou1517.1
654Jahmyr GibbsRB07Det1530.4
335Bryce YoungQB13Car1534.4
17136Devon AchaneRB12Mia1544.1
567Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR18Sea1547.2
998Zay FlowersWR19Bal1550.8
41419Puka NacuaWR21LAR1554.1
7710Jordan AddisonWR22Min1554.7
331711Sam LaPortaTE04Det1568.7
81112Zach CharbonnetRB24Sea1583.3
10813Quentin JohnstonWR35LAC1588.0
161014Dalton KincaidTE06Buf1593.5
182115Tyjae SpearsRB30Ten1599.3
222516Roschon JohnsonRB31Chi15108.4
291417Kendre MillerRB32NO15111.4
201818Marvin MimsWR41Den15111.6
402919Nathaniel DellWR42Hou15113.5
281920Rashee RiceWR45KC15117.3
212621Tank BigsbyRB35Jac15121.7
302822Luke MusgraveTE10GB15122.5
352023Jayden ReedWR49GB15124.5
132424Josh DownsWR51Ind15129.4
381625Jonathan MingoWR53Car15140.8
151526Michael MayerTE15LV15144.8
142327Jalin HyattWR57NYG15155.6
413128Michael WilsonWR59Ari15158.9
111229Will LevisQB32Ten13162.4
262730Cedric TillmanWR69Cle14181.6
313031Chase BrownRB56Cin14187.7
414132Deuce VaughnRB63Dal14205.9
233333Zach EvansRB64LAR12206.2
414134Jaleel McLaughlinRB66Den8209.2
344035Evan HullRB67Ind11209.2
122236Hendon HookerQB36Det7213.8
414137Trey PalmerWR84TB11214.8
254138Sean TuckerRB68TB10215.2
243439Israel AbanikandaRB69NYJ11216.1
413240Luke SchoonmakerTE29Dal10220.9
Interesting that Bryce young is still top 5
 
The most amazing thing about this class was how many players that were not projected 1st round or even high 2nd round picks have exploded onto the scene.

LaPorta was going mid 2nd in some of my TE premium drafts no less I loved LaPorta I had him ranked 2nd TE but I let others influence me and I by passed him for Mayer. Clearly that sucks now I could had LaPorta in 3 rookie drafts (2 TE prem) and only got him in 1 (non PPR no less)

I whiffed on Puka and Jayden Reed. Only got 1 share of Tank Dell and R Rice (and I no longer have that R Rice team).

0 CJ Stroud when I should have him at least once but biffed that pick as well.

So while the class wasn't as strong up top it sure had its depth if you could find the right players. Lots of now top 60 dynasty startup picks from this class.

Instead of getting those guys I loaded up on all the high pick 1st year misses guys like Miller, Spears, Bigsby, Mayer, Mingo.............I would been better off trading all my 1st and early 2nd round picks to acquire the entire 3rd round and 4th rounds it seems where the Puka, Tank Dell, Jaydeen Reeds were going.
 
Mike Clay@MikeClayNFL
Something to consider:
The HIGHEST target share by a rookie 2nd-round TE over the last decade was 13%. That was Pat Freiermuth and he did not finish as a top-12 fantasy TE.
If you’re drafting a rookie TE to start, you’re probably either in rebuild or doing it wrong.
LaPorta says otherwise (Kincaid not too shabby either)
LaPorta was TE16 and might have gone undrafted in more redrafts than he was taken as a TE1.
Kincaid was okay and might have been drafted to start but was a weak TE1.
But yes, this year was far better than most.
 
Mike Clay@MikeClayNFL
Something to consider:
The HIGHEST target share by a rookie 2nd-round TE over the last decade was 13%. That was Pat Freiermuth and he did not finish as a top-12 fantasy TE.
If you’re drafting a rookie TE to start, you’re probably either in rebuild or doing it wrong.
LaPorta says otherwise (Kincaid not too shabby either)
LaPorta was TE16 and might have gone undrafted in more redrafts than he was taken as a TE1.
Kincaid was okay and might have been drafted to start but was a weak TE1.
But yes, this year was far better than most.
I took it as a rookie draft take not a redraft take. Obviously in redraft it was hard to believe in those guys but LaPorta and others broke the mold.
 
The most amazing thing about this class was how many players that were not projected 1st round or even high 2nd round picks have exploded onto the scene.

LaPorta was going mid 2nd in some of my TE premium drafts no less I loved LaPorta I had him ranked 2nd TE but I let others influence me and I by passed him for Mayer. Clearly that sucks now I could had LaPorta in 3 rookie drafts (2 TE prem) and only got him in 1 (non PPR no less)

I whiffed on Puka and Jayden Reed. Only got 1 share of Tank Dell and R Rice (and I no longer have that R Rice team).

0 CJ Stroud when I should have him at least once but biffed that pick as well.

So while the class wasn't as strong up top it sure had its depth if you could find the right players. Lots of now top 60 dynasty startup picks from this class.

Instead of getting those guys I loaded up on all the high pick 1st year misses guys like Miller, Spears, Bigsby, Mayer, Mingo.............I would been better off trading all my 1st and early 2nd round picks to acquire the entire 3rd round and 4th rounds it seems where the Puka, Tank Dell, Jaydeen Reeds were going.
I bought too much into a few off-season narratives that cost me:
- LaPorta: rookie TEs take a while to develop and most of the current studs, like Andrews, were not drafted in the 1st round of rookie drafts but in 2nd/3rd, so I passed on LaPorta in my 2 TE-P leagues. (At least in one of them, I took Rice at my 1.12 pick where I could’ve had LaPorta)
- Stroud: I bought into the 1st overall NFL draft pick upside of Young, when I could’ve had Stroud in 2 leagues. In my 3rd dynasty league, I lucked into Stroud because Young went a couple of picks before, so I took the last remaining of the top 3 rookie QBs.
- Charbs handcuff to Walker at 1.8 wasnt bad value per se, but I wish I grabbed Flowers instead. Time will tell on this one, I guess.

my hits were grabbing Rice in 2 of 3 leagues, Reed in 1 league. bijan at 1.1 was a slam dunk.
I don’t have a single share of Dell or Puka though :(
 

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