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[Dynasty] 2023 NFL Draft Class (1 Viewer)

Brent Sobleski@brentsobleski
Calendar turns to June tomorrow, betting favorites for NFL Rookie of the Year: Offense
1. Bijan Robinson
2. Bryce Young
3. Anthony Richardson
4. CJ Stroud
5. Jaxson Smith-Njigba
Defense
1. Will Anderson
2. Jalen Carter
3. Tyree Wilson
4. Devon Witherspoon
5. Christian Gonzalez
 
Some 1QB rookie ranking info from Dynasty ranks collected post draft n=13 as of 5/31. Inside the top 150, the rookies with highest variance are Mingo, R. Johnson, Downs, Achane, Richardson.

5/31/2023 draft PlayerPosRnkTeamcountAvg (+/-)SD (+/-)
31.01Bijan RobinsonRB01Atl133.090.30
131.02Jahmyr GibbsRB06Det1315.507.88
321.03Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR16Sea1331.687.02
431.04Jordan AddisonWR20Min1348.326.88
481.05Quentin JohnstonWR24LAC1350.688.47
611.06Zay FlowersWR31Bal1361.0512.76
761.07Zach CharbonnetRB26Sea1378.2312.29
781.08Dalton KincaidTE07Buf1380.0510.58
791.09Anthony RichardsonQB09Ind1380.1817.59
891.10Kendre MillerRB31NO1390.279.68
921.11Devon ArchaneRB32Mia1391.3219.17
951.12Bryce YoungQB12Car1398.0513.25
992.01C.J. StroudQB14Hou13102.4512.27
1022.02Jonathan MingoWR45Car13104.5020.59
1042.03Rashee RiceWR46KC13105.5911.44
1052.04Michael MayerTE10LV13108.5914.01
1072.05Marvin Mims JrWR48Den13108.9511.69
1142.06Sam LaPortaTE12Det13113.1818.18
1152.07Jayden ReedWR51GB13114.5517.02
1222.08Roschon JohnsonRB38Chi13124.0920.30
1232.09Tyjae SpearsRB39Ten13124.329.59
1252.10Tank BigsbyRB40Jac13124.9117.31
1282.11Josh DownsWR57Ind13128.0019.20
1362.12Jalin HyattWR60NYG13135.8616.29
1463.01Cedric TillmanWR63Cle13149.0514.69
1553.02Luke MusgraveTE19GB13158.5521.75
1613.03Chase BrownRB49Cin13168.0025.51
1683.04Israel AbanikandaRB52NYJ13178.0017.57
1743.05Luke SchoonmakerTE21Dal12182.6824.60
1773.06Zach EvansRB57LAR11185.0032.17
1783.07Nathaniel DellWR74Hou13185.5518.38
1793.08Will LevisQB26Ten13186.2718.56
1803.09Michael Wilson WR75Ari11186.5932.93
2003.10Evan HullRB63Ind10205.0029.99
2023.11Kayshon BoutteWR84NE10205.7326.89
2073.12Tucker KraftTE28GB12210.3617.59
2114.01Eric GrayRB65NYG8212.7328.22
2134.02DeWayne McBrideRB66Min10217.2316.50
2144.03Darnell WashingtonTE31Pit11217.3217.67
2184.04Tyler ScottWR88Chi10221.6415.91
2204.05Deuce VaughnRB70Dal11222.2317.94
2254.06Hendon HookerQB32Det8224.3620.17
2284.07Charlie JonesWR91Cin6227.1818.72
2324.08Brenton StrangeTE34Jac5230.3219.76
2364.09Puka NacuaWR94LAR8232.958.27
2374.10Xavier HutchinsonWR95Hou7233.4511.86
 
Link to Graph

Mike Clay
@MikeClayNFL
This massive chart includes all 299 rookie RBs who played on offense from 2011-22 after being selected on Day 3 or going undrafted.
Of the 299, 3 were Top 10 in fantasy points.
2 more were top 20.
12 more were top 30.
Mike Clay
@MikeClayNFL
This chart helps confirm that all of these RBs are longshots for fantasy relevance in 2023, but could one prove an outlier?
If so, I'd vote for Roschon Johnson in a seemingly wide open Bears backfield.
 
Link to Graph

Mike Clay
@MikeClayNFL
This massive chart includes all 299 rookie RBs who played on offense from 2011-22 after being selected on Day 3 or going undrafted.
Of the 299, 3 were Top 10 in fantasy points.
2 more were top 20.
12 more were top 30.
Mike Clay
@MikeClayNFL
This chart helps confirm that all of these RBs are longshots for fantasy relevance in 2023, but could one prove an outlier?
If so, I'd vote for Roschon Johnson in a seemingly wide open Bears backfield.
This data is pretty stark, but keep in mind that it only necessarily refers to each rookie's first year. More meaningful chart for redraft. But certainly carries weight in dynasty too.
 

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