I agree with some of that, but not all. I think Miller to NOS is a good landing spot. Also suggesting Shoonmaker to Pittsburgh or Baltimore is ridiculous.
David Lombardi @LombardiHimself
Based on what I've seen from 49ers rookie Ronnie Bell over rookie minicamp and this first open OTA practice, he has sticky hands.
Bell hasn't come close to dropping a pass yet. Exudes the vibe of a dependable receiver. Shanahan loved his route running coming out of Michigan
5/31/2023 | draft | Player | PosRnk | Team | count | Avg (+/-) | SD (+/-) |
3 | 1.01 | Bijan Robinson | RB01 | Atl | 13 | 3.09 | 0.30 |
13 | 1.02 | Jahmyr Gibbs | RB06 | Det | 13 | 15.50 | 7.88 |
32 | 1.03 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR16 | Sea | 13 | 31.68 | 7.02 |
43 | 1.04 | Jordan Addison | WR20 | Min | 13 | 48.32 | 6.88 |
48 | 1.05 | Quentin Johnston | WR24 | LAC | 13 | 50.68 | 8.47 |
61 | 1.06 | Zay Flowers | WR31 | Bal | 13 | 61.05 | 12.76 |
76 | 1.07 | Zach Charbonnet | RB26 | Sea | 13 | 78.23 | 12.29 |
78 | 1.08 | Dalton Kincaid | TE07 | Buf | 13 | 80.05 | 10.58 |
79 | 1.09 | Anthony Richardson | QB09 | Ind | 13 | 80.18 | 17.59 |
89 | 1.10 | Kendre Miller | RB31 | NO | 13 | 90.27 | 9.68 |
92 | 1.11 | Devon Archane | RB32 | Mia | 13 | 91.32 | 19.17 |
95 | 1.12 | Bryce Young | QB12 | Car | 13 | 98.05 | 13.25 |
99 | 2.01 | C.J. Stroud | QB14 | Hou | 13 | 102.45 | 12.27 |
102 | 2.02 | Jonathan Mingo | WR45 | Car | 13 | 104.50 | 20.59 |
104 | 2.03 | Rashee Rice | WR46 | KC | 13 | 105.59 | 11.44 |
105 | 2.04 | Michael Mayer | TE10 | LV | 13 | 108.59 | 14.01 |
107 | 2.05 | Marvin Mims Jr | WR48 | Den | 13 | 108.95 | 11.69 |
114 | 2.06 | Sam LaPorta | TE12 | Det | 13 | 113.18 | 18.18 |
115 | 2.07 | Jayden Reed | WR51 | GB | 13 | 114.55 | 17.02 |
122 | 2.08 | Roschon Johnson | RB38 | Chi | 13 | 124.09 | 20.30 |
123 | 2.09 | Tyjae Spears | RB39 | Ten | 13 | 124.32 | 9.59 |
125 | 2.10 | Tank Bigsby | RB40 | Jac | 13 | 124.91 | 17.31 |
128 | 2.11 | Josh Downs | WR57 | Ind | 13 | 128.00 | 19.20 |
136 | 2.12 | Jalin Hyatt | WR60 | NYG | 13 | 135.86 | 16.29 |
146 | 3.01 | Cedric Tillman | WR63 | Cle | 13 | 149.05 | 14.69 |
155 | 3.02 | Luke Musgrave | TE19 | GB | 13 | 158.55 | 21.75 |
161 | 3.03 | Chase Brown | RB49 | Cin | 13 | 168.00 | 25.51 |
168 | 3.04 | Israel Abanikanda | RB52 | NYJ | 13 | 178.00 | 17.57 |
174 | 3.05 | Luke Schoonmaker | TE21 | Dal | 12 | 182.68 | 24.60 |
177 | 3.06 | Zach Evans | RB57 | LAR | 11 | 185.00 | 32.17 |
178 | 3.07 | Nathaniel Dell | WR74 | Hou | 13 | 185.55 | 18.38 |
179 | 3.08 | Will Levis | QB26 | Ten | 13 | 186.27 | 18.56 |
180 | 3.09 | Michael Wilson | WR75 | Ari | 11 | 186.59 | 32.93 |
200 | 3.10 | Evan Hull | RB63 | Ind | 10 | 205.00 | 29.99 |
202 | 3.11 | Kayshon Boutte | WR84 | NE | 10 | 205.73 | 26.89 |
207 | 3.12 | Tucker Kraft | TE28 | GB | 12 | 210.36 | 17.59 |
211 | 4.01 | Eric Gray | RB65 | NYG | 8 | 212.73 | 28.22 |
213 | 4.02 | DeWayne McBride | RB66 | Min | 10 | 217.23 | 16.50 |
214 | 4.03 | Darnell Washington | TE31 | Pit | 11 | 217.32 | 17.67 |
218 | 4.04 | Tyler Scott | WR88 | Chi | 10 | 221.64 | 15.91 |
220 | 4.05 | Deuce Vaughn | RB70 | Dal | 11 | 222.23 | 17.94 |
225 | 4.06 | Hendon Hooker | QB32 | Det | 8 | 224.36 | 20.17 |
228 | 4.07 | Charlie Jones | WR91 | Cin | 6 | 227.18 | 18.72 |
232 | 4.08 | Brenton Strange | TE34 | Jac | 5 | 230.32 | 19.76 |
236 | 4.09 | Puka Nacua | WR94 | LAR | 8 | 232.95 | 8.27 |
237 | 4.10 | Xavier Hutchinson | WR95 | Hou | 7 | 233.45 | 11.86 |
Link to Graph
This data is pretty stark, but keep in mind that it only necessarily refers to each rookie's first year. More meaningful chart for redraft. But certainly carries weight in dynasty too.Link to Graph
Mike Clay
@MikeClayNFL
This massive chart includes all 299 rookie RBs who played on offense from 2011-22 after being selected on Day 3 or going undrafted.
Of the 299, 3 were Top 10 in fantasy points.
2 more were top 20.
12 more were top 30.
Mike Clay
@MikeClayNFL
This chart helps confirm that all of these RBs are longshots for fantasy relevance in 2023, but could one prove an outlier?
If so, I'd vote for Roschon Johnson in a seemingly wide open Bears backfield.
Scott Spratt
Rookie WR Snap Share Leaders in 2023:
Jonathan Mingo 92%
Puka Nacua 81%
Zay Flowers 81%
Josh Downs 78%
Kayshon Boutte 68%
Michael Wilson 66%
Tank Dell 64%
Jordan Addison 62%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 56%
Dontayvion Wicks 56%
Jayden Reed 55%