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Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator (1 Viewer)

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Footballguy
RE: that "Dynasty link" on the main page.

I've used the "Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator" a lot. That's what the title of the link says it is. What it actually is when you link-through is billed as a "Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator-Rookies".

But, that title is all wrong. It should be called a "Dynasty Draft Pick TRADE Calculator-Rookies". What it does is calculate the TRADE value of draft picks in a Rookie Draft.

If it was what it's title says it is, it would tell you what pick to make in what position in each round of a Dynasty Draft....which is possible based on the ADP's of each position's comparable choice in each drafting round.

For instance, the #34 pick (the third draft pick of the #10 draft slot) in a twelve teamer is gonna probably have a choice of the #3 QB, the #23 RB or the #9 WR. A "Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator" would tell you, based on a projected scoring system, which position scores the most points at the #34 draft slot.

An example..... based on the Zealot's scoring model, those positions scored as follows at the #34 draft slot in '07:

1. #03 QB: 22.99 pts/wk

2. #23 RB: 10.29 pts/wk

3. #09 WR: 12.14 pts/wk

However, that's only half of the true indicator as each of those slots has to be compared to the average points scored (per week) for each position:

1. Average pts/QB/wk = 15.2

2. Average pts/RB/wk = 12.6

3. Average pts/WR/wk = 11.1

Therefore, the indicator shows:

1. a breakeven or slightly below breakeven choice for a RB (-2.31 pts/wk),

2. an above average/slightly strong indicator for a WR (+2.04 pts/wk), and

3. a strong indicator at QB (+7.79 pts/wk).

It's possible to figure out the alternatives most probably available to each drafting slot for say the first ten rounds. For the #10 draft slot, for instance, in a twelve teamer, that's the #10, #15, #34, #39, #58, #63, #83, #87, #106 and #111 draft slots.

It's then possible to figure out the combinations available at each position....and to get a good indicator of just how early a position comes on board. You can play the point spreads between the choices and determine just what positions make the most sense in an "average draft".

Where this type of analysis really helps is when you get into the non-standard drafts. You can immediately spot positions that are draft heavy and pinpoint where the "long positions" are, where the opportunities are.

 
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RE: that "Dynasty link" on the main page.

I've used the "Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator" a lot. That's what the title of the link says it is. What it actually is when you link-through is billed as a "Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator-Rookies".
Glad to hear that you're using it. That's a good sign. :goodposting:


But, that title is all wrong. It should be called a "Dynasty Draft Pick TRADE Calculator-Rookies". What it does is calculate the TRADE value of draft picks in a Rookie Draft.

If it was what it's title says it is, it would tell you what pick to make in what position in each round of a Dynasty Draft....which is possible based on the ADP's of each position's comparable choice in each drafting round.

For instance, the #34 pick (the third draft pick of the #10 draft slot) in a twelve teamer is gonna probably have a choice of the #3 QB, the #23 RB or the #9 WR. A "Dynasty Draft Pick Calculator" would tell you, based on a projected scoring system, which position scores the most points at the #34 draft slot.

An example..... based on the Zealot's scoring model, those positions scored as follows at the #34 draft slot in '07:

1. #03 QB: 22.99 pts/wk

2. #23 RB: 10.29 pts/wk

3. #09 WR: 12.14 pts/wk

However, that's only half of the true indicator as each of those slots has to be compared to the average points scored (per week) for each position:

1. Average pts/QB/wk = 15.2

2. Average pts/RB/wk = 12.6

3. Average pts/WR/wk = 11.1

Therefore, the indicator shows:

1. a breakeven or slightly below breakeven choice for a RB (-2.31 pts/wk),

2. an above average/slightly strong indicator for a WR (+2.04 pts/wk), and

3. a strong indicator at QB (+7.79 pts/wk).

It's possible to figure out the alternatives most probably available to each drafting slot for say the first ten rounds. For the #10 draft slot, for instance, in a twelve teamer, that's the #10, #15, #34, #39, #58, #63, #83, #87, #106 and #111 draft slots.

It's then possible to figure out the combinations available at each position....and to get a good indicator of just how early a position comes on board. You can play the point spreads between the choices and determine just what positions make the most sense in an "average draft".

Where this type of analysis really helps is when you get into the non-standard drafts. You can immediately spot positions that are draft heavy and pinpoint where the "long positions" are, where the opportunities are.


Interesting take - but the goal of that calculator was to determine trade value, not to project what slot would be worth.This borders on the "AVT" discussion I believe (never been a big AVT guy) where you're projecting stats on "QB3" or "RB10".

Just like any Draft Pick Calculator that's out there, it is a guide for value of the pick.


 
Another interesting way to use this is that it CAN be used for redraft. Just manipulate the roster size to make the Dynasty Factor = 1.

Then it tells you what pick(s) make the trade fair.

 

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