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dynasty late round strategy (1 Viewer)

hollaatyaboy

Footballguy
Spinoff off of other thread.

what do ya do in the very late rounds of a dynasty --

option 1. grab handcuffs:

zach crockett/vernand morency/maurice morris [examples are assuming you have those RBs]

option 2: higher upside for this year and beyond:

vincent jackson / demetrius williams

thoughts?

 
id grab the handcuff if they can be successful for whoever they replace. Some spots that just wouldnt be true so take the high upside guy then

 
chances of your late round picks being on your team and/or being productive are slim. I'd just take some chances and see if some pick pans out. Important handcuffs should be done before the late rounds so chances are you're handcuffing a handcuff at that point like Ahman, Gado, and Najeh. That's too much IMO

 
the only handcuffs (rb or qb) worth drafting are the ones with enough talent to excel with the opportunity .... just like any other late round pick.

 
Spinoff off of other thread.

what do ya do in the very late rounds of a dynasty --

option 1. grab handcuffs:

zach crockett/vernand morency/maurice morris [examples are assuming you have those RBs]

option 2: higher upside for this year and beyond:

vincent jackson / demetrius williams

thoughts?
Link to prior thread / spinoff source?
 
Depends on what you have on your plate.

I grabbed Justin Fargas late in a dynasty draft in the 24th round (287 overall) after getting LaMont Jordan in the first round (1.08). That was just a no-brainer of a value pick. If my top RB goes down, I have his handcuff at a steal.

Would I get him in Round 15? Obviously not. 24? Certainly.

The probability of WR8 on my team playing is virtually zero. The chance my handcuff plays is about 10x as much. Either way I'm not as effective, but for the chances of said player contributing to my team this year and beyond, I'll take the late handcuff when value presents itself.

 
Let's talk about handcuffing RBs. IMO, you should really only handcuff the top 10-12 RBs. Drafting Cedric Humes to backup Willie Parker seems sort of silly. Dynasty makes handcuffing more difficult because things can change at the backup RB spot from year to year. So I would be sure not to spend too high of a pick on a handcuff.

Here are the top 12 RBs in FBGs Dynasty Rankings:

1 LaDainian Tomlinson, SD

2 Larry Johnson, KC

3 Shaun Alexander, SEA

4 Clinton Portis, WAS

5 Cadillac Williams, TB

6 Ronnie Brown, MIA

7 Steven Jackson, STL

8 Reggie Bush, NO

9 Lamont Jordan, OAK

10 Willis McGahee, BUF

11 Rudi Johnson, CIN

12 Edgerrin James, ARI

So who are their handcuffs?

1. Michael Turner, pretty confident

2. ???, Q Griffin?, One of the two UDFAs, Howard or Ross? I'd probably stay away

3. Maurice Morris, pretty confident

4. Ladell Betts, pretty confident

5. Pittman? Graham? UDFA Hall? In a redraft, maybe Pittman. Dynasty, I'd stay away

6. Minor? UDFA Riggs? Take a shot on Dopey Williams? I'd stay away.

7. Faulk is too old in Dynasty. Maybe Tony Fisher? Eh.

8. McAllister? Or will he be moved on soon? He'd be too high of a pick to use anyway.

9. Justin Fargas, probably. Worth a flyer on talent.

10. ATrain? Maybe. In redraft he's probably worth it. Dynasty? Eh.

11. Chris Perry, confident and worth it.

12. Arrington, maybe? I'd stay away.

So how many of those are worth drafting later in a dynasty league? I'd say Turner, Morris, Betts, Fargas and Perry. You may want to take a late shot on one of the UDFAs and hope they become good handcuffs.

Other thoughts?

 
Let's talk about handcuffing RBs. IMO, you should really only handcuff the top 10-12 RBs. Drafting Cedric Humes to backup Willie Parker seems sort of silly. Dynasty makes handcuffing more difficult because things can change at the backup RB spot from year to year. So I would be sure not to spend too high of a pick on a handcuff.

Here are the top 12 RBs in FBGs Dynasty Rankings:

1 LaDainian Tomlinson, SD

2 Larry Johnson, KC

3 Shaun Alexander, SEA

4 Clinton Portis, WAS

5 Cadillac Williams, TB

6 Ronnie Brown, MIA

7 Steven Jackson, STL

8 Reggie Bush, NO

9 Lamont Jordan, OAK

10 Willis McGahee, BUF

11 Rudi Johnson, CIN

12 Edgerrin James, ARI

So who are their handcuffs?

1. Michael Turner, pretty confident

2. ???, Q Griffin?, One of the two UDFAs, Howard or Ross? I'd probably stay away

3. Maurice Morris, pretty confident

4. Ladell Betts, pretty confident

5. Pittman? Graham? UDFA Hall? In a redraft, maybe Pittman. Dynasty, I'd stay away

6. Minor? UDFA Riggs? Take a shot on Dopey Williams? I'd stay away.

7. Faulk is too old in Dynasty. Maybe Tony Fisher? Eh.

8. McAllister? Or will he be moved on soon? He'd be too high of a pick to use anyway.

9. Justin Fargas, probably. Worth a flyer on talent.

10. ATrain? Maybe. In redraft he's probably worth it. Dynasty? Eh.

11. Chris Perry, confident and worth it.

12. Arrington, maybe? I'd stay away.

So how many of those are worth drafting later in a dynasty league? I'd say Turner, Morris, Betts, Fargas and Perry. You may want to take a late shot on one of the UDFAs and hope they become good handcuffs.

Other thoughts?
Regarding McGahee - I'd say Shaud Williams would be the handcuff - and I think he COULD produce if given the opportunity, but McGahee himself has enough trouble putting up decent stats in that offense.In redraft, Faulk is worth a pickup (especially in PPR).

Just ask yourself the question - if ______ goes down, who gets the bulk of the work? Then ask will that player produce? Faulk fits the bill in both cases.

Changing gears, in dynasty a late flyer on a rookie who could develop to be the #2 option is worth a selection. Riggs, Jr. in Miami is a perfect example.

 
Jeff, just read something recently where the Bills are plenty happy with Atrain. I'll try and find a link but pretty sure Shaud is #3 RB now

ETA here's one article

http://www.buffalobills.com/news/news.jsp?news_id=3753

see Jauron says Thomas will push McGahee(not take his #1 spot) BUT BUT he also says "they'll all compete" which I figure is the backups behind McGahee to see who #2 is.

So FWIW, don't plan on Shaud to be #2 just yet. I get the inkling that the coach's familiarity with Thomas will give him an edge to be #2.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Let's talk about handcuffing RBs. IMO, you should really only handcuff the top 10-12 RBs. Drafting Cedric Humes to backup Willie Parker seems sort of silly. Dynasty makes handcuffing more difficult because things can change at the backup RB spot from year to year. So I would be sure not to spend too high of a pick on a handcuff.

Here are the top 12 RBs in FBGs Dynasty Rankings:

1  LaDainian Tomlinson, SD 

2  Larry Johnson, KC 

3  Shaun Alexander, SEA 

4  Clinton Portis, WAS 

5  Cadillac Williams, TB 

6  Ronnie Brown, MIA 

7  Steven Jackson, STL 

8  Reggie Bush, NO 

9  Lamont Jordan, OAK 

10  Willis McGahee, BUF 

11  Rudi Johnson, CIN 

12  Edgerrin James, ARI

So who are their handcuffs?

1. Michael Turner, pretty confident

2. ???, Q Griffin?, One of the two UDFAs, Howard or Ross? I'd probably stay away

3. Maurice Morris, pretty confident

4. Ladell Betts, pretty confident

5. Pittman? Graham? UDFA Hall? In a redraft, maybe Pittman. Dynasty, I'd stay away

6. Minor? UDFA Riggs? Take a shot on Dopey Williams? I'd stay away.

7. Faulk is too old in Dynasty. Maybe Tony Fisher? Eh.

8. McAllister? Or will he be moved on soon? He'd be too high of a pick to use anyway.

9. Justin Fargas, probably. Worth a flyer on talent.

10. ATrain? Maybe. In redraft he's probably worth it. Dynasty? Eh.

11. Chris Perry, confident and worth it.

12. Arrington, maybe? I'd stay away.

So how many of those are worth drafting later in a dynasty league? I'd say Turner, Morris, Betts, Fargas and Perry. You may want to take a late shot on one of the UDFAs and hope they become good handcuffs.

Other thoughts?
Regarding McGahee - I'd say Shaud Williams would be the handcuff -
I don't mean to hijack, but I've been given the impression that Anthony Thomas is the front runner for the backup job in Buffalo.
 
Let's talk about handcuffing RBs. IMO, you should really only handcuff the top 10-12 RBs. Drafting Cedric Humes to backup Willie Parker seems sort of silly. Dynasty makes handcuffing more difficult because things can change at the backup RB spot from year to year. So I would be sure not to spend too high of a pick on a handcuff.

Here are the top 12 RBs in FBGs Dynasty Rankings:

1 LaDainian Tomlinson, SD

2 Larry Johnson, KC

3 Shaun Alexander, SEA

4 Clinton Portis, WAS

5 Cadillac Williams, TB

6 Ronnie Brown, MIA

7 Steven Jackson, STL

8 Reggie Bush, NO

9 Lamont Jordan, OAK

10 Willis McGahee, BUF

11 Rudi Johnson, CIN

12 Edgerrin James, ARI

So who are their handcuffs?

1. Michael Turner, pretty confident

2. ???, Q Griffin?, One of the two UDFAs, Howard or Ross? I'd probably stay away

3. Maurice Morris, pretty confident

4. Ladell Betts, pretty confident

5. Pittman? Graham? UDFA Hall? In a redraft, maybe Pittman. Dynasty, I'd stay away

6. Minor? UDFA Riggs? Take a shot on Dopey Williams? I'd stay away.

7. Faulk is too old in Dynasty. Maybe Tony Fisher? Eh.

8. McAllister? Or will he be moved on soon? He'd be too high of a pick to use anyway.

9. Justin Fargas, probably. Worth a flyer on talent.

10. ATrain? Maybe. In redraft he's probably worth it. Dynasty? Eh.

11. Chris Perry, confident and worth it.

12. Arrington, maybe? I'd stay away.

So how many of those are worth drafting later in a dynasty league? I'd say Turner, Morris, Betts, Fargas and Perry. You may want to take a late shot on one of the UDFAs and hope they become good handcuffs.

Other thoughts?
Regarding McGahee - I'd say Shaud Williams would be the handcuff - and I think he COULD produce if given the opportunity, but McGahee himself has enough trouble putting up decent stats in that offense.In redraft, Faulk is worth a pickup (especially in PPR).

Just ask yourself the question - if ______ goes down, who gets the bulk of the work? Then ask will that player produce? Faulk fits the bill in both cases.

Changing gears, in dynasty a late flyer on a rookie who could develop to be the #2 option is worth a selection. Riggs, Jr. in Miami is a perfect example.
I still think ATrain will be the man in Buffalo. Not sure, but he may be worth a late draft. I agree 100% about Faulk in a redraft, but I think the thread starter was primarily talking about dynasty. Which brings up an interesting point: Do you draft Faulk late as a handcuff to SJax just for pretty much this season in case SJax gets hurt or underperforms? I'm not sure I would. I'd probably take the spot where I would get Faulk and take a younger backup, good for PPR RB instead.

 

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