Geez, reading a bunch of threads around here on some of what I thought were my "high upside" backups, it appears I'm doing it wrong. I have Sproles, Norwood, Choice, and Bush. I have been hopeful that Norwood gets a shot somewhere next year- is that not going to happen? Should I start offering these guys up for mere draft picks? (In re: to Norwood, I also have Turner)
Well, you need to stop collecting role players in hopes that they'll become starters.

95% of the time, upside is a dirty word. The only way an RB can possibly have "upside" is if he hasn't done anything. You know who's a real high-upside RB? Adrian Peterson. Steven Jackson. Maurice Jones-Drew. Nobody talks about THEIR upside... because they actually produce on the football field. Upside is nothing more than a poor man's potential.
Is Shonn Greene very far from this group in your opinion ?
PS Thank you for your insightful comments.
Yup. I didn't think very highly of him coming out, and 31 NFL franchises agreed, letting him fall to the 3rd. Working in his favor, the one franchise that really liked him traded most of their day 2 to get him. Working against him... that franchise also passed on him a couple of times before trading their day 2 to get him, so it's not like they viewed him as an absolutely indispensable player. New York is an underrated run-blocking team, but their line is starting to get a bit long in the tooth (Damien Woody? Alan Faneca?).
Leon Washington is always going to play a role on the team. As Sanchez matures, the rushing attempts will drop a bit. Mostly, though, I'm just going to need more than one good game to change my initial impression- and I'm probably going to need to see him do it, too. Right now, the mental impression that I've formed of Shonn Greene is that he's a decent but replaceable talent. He's not a Rashard Mendenhall, biding his time for a starting job. Mendenhall was a 1st rounder.
It'd be one thing if F&L was pimping him THIS offseason. Currently he has Vernon ranked in tier 4. I'm not sure he should get a ton of credit for predicting this breakout this season.
No one can truly predict breakouts. No one would have said before the season that Smith North was a top 5 fantasy WR. Nobody could have said before last season that Drew Brees would throw for 5,000 yards. Nobody could have predicted that Elvis Dumervil was going to have double-digit sacks by the end of game 6, or that Denver would have arguably the best defense in the league, or that the 13-3 Titans would be 0-6, or that Tom Brady would throw 5 TDs in a single quarter. I'd argue that anyone who predicted those things was just guessing, and happened to get lucky. Some things in football simply defy all logic and reason. Every year there are going to be results that simply cannot be forseen. In the end, though... that doesn't matter. It's never a question of predicting a player would break out, it's simply a question of being higher on him than anyone else. If everyone else thought that Smith North was WR50, and I had him ranked as WR30... then no, I didn't correctly peg his breakout, but I *DID* identify that there was value there, and I also wound up with him in every league. What does it matter if he's outperforming even my own expectations, as long as he's on my own team?The question then becomes twofold. First off, was F&L higher on Vernon Davis than the general consensus this offseason? I don't really know the answer to that, but I do know that Davis has been discussed several times and F&L has always been higher on him than the consensus. Second off, were the principals behind F&L's support of Davis sound? In this case, the answer is a resounding "yes". The whole reason F&L was higher on Davis was because he preferred players with a better chance of reaching top 5 status, even if their chance of reaching top 12 status was lower (i.e. Davis is a better TE than a guy like Heath Miller, who's a near lock for a top 12 finish but a longshot for a top 5 finish). The fact that Vernon Davis is now producing top 5 numbers just shows that the original premise was sound.