Buys:
Tim Tebow - QB - Broncos - I don't see the Broncos starting Orton for 16 games unless they are winning. I don't expect them to win many games. I think Tebow will be named the starter at some point, and his potential alone is worth going out of your way to acquire. Even if I wasn't a Tebow believer, I would buy, then sell after a 25 point game, which I think he has this year. In 4pt passing TD leagues, I am especially high on stashing Tebow and the 6pt TD potential on my bench for the first half of the season.
Miles Austin - WR - Cowboys - I don't put it past the Cowboys to have two 1,000/8 TD wideouts, but I won't count on it happening. I think the lion's share of the WR touches will be up for grabs and I think Austin is the best equipped to demand them. Austin looked like the best WR in the NFL and a top 3 dynasty option, 5 weeks into last season. Austin is the safer bet, in my opinion, and has the lower price tag.
Stevan Ridley - RB - Patriots - He wasn't on many dynasty radars, even up to the draft, when the Patriots surprised people and took him in the 3rd, after taking Vereen a round before. He has gone undrafted or lasted until the late 3rd/4th round in my rookie drafts, which is a mistake. The Patriots didn't draft him to be a backup. The drafted him to fill a niche, and he will do that for them. He is a better football player than BJGE, especially in the Redzone, and we saw what the Law Firm did with Redzone touches. I don't expect him to start, but I expect him to be a piece of the offense. His price is as low as it will get, in my opinion. I am targeting with future 3rds and as a throw in.
Jerome Simpson - WR - Bengals - This is a bit of a lottery ticket and his value seems to be all over the board. I love Green as a prospect, but even top 5 WRs bust at a 50% rate. If the coin lands on the wrong side in the Green investment, there is potential to see if Simpson's end of season tear was a fluke or a preview of a long term producer.
Jason Witten - TE - Cowboys - The most consistently productive TE of the last 5 years. He finished as the top scoring player at his spot, but is still being undervalued. He shows up to play, he gets open, and he catches the football. I have been cashing in on the fear re: Bryant/slow start, all off season. He started slow because the Cowboys cut the playbook down and used Witten to help their injured, makeshift O-line. When the line healed up, Witten scored major points. It had nothing to do with Romo vs. Kitna (see Witten's history with Romo at QB).
Selling:
Matt Forte - RB - Bears - He is being valued as a RB1, even in non-PPR leagues. I don't think he is a RB1, talent wise. The Bears didn't find much in the way of competition, but remember - the Bears were using a washed up Chester Taylor as their goal line back, because Forte was so inept at it. That scares me. Marion has clearly lost a step, but if he is good for anything, it is finding a way into the endzone.
Reggie Bush - RB - Dolphins - I don't think Miami is a better situation for the once Heisman winner. The offense is less equipped to take advantage of Reggie's talents. Just because his path to a lead role seems more open, doesn't mean he is better equipped for said role. He has some buzz, and I am looking to cash in on that.
Philip Rivers - QB - Chargers - The Chargers won the games that Rivers didn't have to throw 30 times. The special teams can't get any worse, Matthews is healthy and there will be less on Philip's shoulders. I except his ATT numbers to come back down to earth, brining his FF points down with them.
Holding:
Ed Dickson - TE - Ravens - His value soared with Heap signing elsewhere. He is young, athletic, and a flashy name in dynasty circles right now. As tempted as I am to sell him at this peak, I am holding as I think his value will rise even more as he gets a chance to produce. I am not sold enough to actively acquire him right now, however.