I think its Smith's limitations that counter-intuitively favor Hill in the short term.I held him for a few years from a FA pickup... dropped him this year for the rookie draft. He was a combine monster: 4.35 40, 7.06 3-cone, 45 vert, 18 reps on bench. And 6'2, 213lbs... good prototype. He seemed to run good routes in college... but the production was never there.
I pretty much agree with anyone who points out that Alex Smith sucks. Alex Smith literally cannot throw an out route. I was pretty amazed that Maclin was able to carry Smith to a 1,000 yard season for a WR 2 years back.
So even with Maclin getting released... I'd probably pass on spending another year waiting for something to change in the better for Conley.
Putting on my tinfoil hat for a second, remember the scene in moneyball where they traded a player just to force the manager to play Hatteberg? I would not put it past Reid to trade Maclin to force Smith to look Hill's direction. Reid seems to me to be a huge Hill fan...
I see a lot of quick slants followed by a post as soon as the safeties start to bite on the slant (Yes, Smith can throw the post... especially when its nearly impossible to overthrow Hill). No, Hill is not built for a lot of over the middle contact, but video shows that he is pretty good at avoiding the brunt of most hits.
One edit... my opinion above does not prevent Conley from being a great hold/lottery ticket. If either Smith or Hill fail, I think Conley would jump to the WR3 conversation overnight.
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