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I think the list is a little longer than you think. NFL GM's are going to take a proven NFL franchise QB at a reasonable age over any college prospect, no matter how good he is. I'd rather have 4-5 years of a proven elite player like Brady than to risk taking a bust which will set me back for that same amount of time.
I think the list is a little longer than you think. NFL GM's are going to take a proven NFL franchise QB at a reasonable age over any college prospect, no matter how good he is. I'd rather have 4-5 years of a proven elite player like Brady than to risk taking a bust which will set me back for that same amount of time.RodgersBreesNewtonBradyManningStaffordFreemanat least.
Killing me with Freeman being listedI would take Rodgers and that is itI can see the argument forBreesManningsRoethisbergerStaffordRyanNewtonBradyRivers
I think it depends on your outlook. Remember that pro coaches and GMs are fighting for survival. Merely keeping your job is an important achievement, so I think they might be inclined to favor a known quantity like Roethlisberger or Rivers over a could-be like Luck or Newton, no matter how promising the latter might be. You already know that Ben and Rivers can get you into the playoffs and maybe win a Super Bowl. You don't know that with the young guys yet.
I think most pro GMs would rather have these guys:
Rodgers
Rivers
Roethlisberger
I think some pro GMs, the ones who favor an extremely short term outlook, would rather have these guys:
Brady
Brees
Peyton (if healthy)
I think some pro GMs would prefer these guys depending on personal inclinations:
Newton
Stafford
So that puts Luck at roughly #9. I think he's higher than that if you take a 5+ year outlook (obviously).
And to think its not even the time of year that we talk about college players all that much. I dread January-May on this board. Can we just make an Andrew Luck subforum?
See the Official Andrew Luck Is Overrated Thread. If he does well on the road against USC, and then at home against Oregon in two weeks, he might be worth a top-10 selection against actual NFL QBs. But he's likely to get knocked down a few pegs in those games.
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