Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Long overdue thread about a trend I see and what to do with good information on Sunday Mornings...
-We find out shortly before kickoff that Deshaun Watson is a no go and the Browns are already dealing with their star RB on the shelf for the season, they play the Ravens
The line was about Cleveland -3 for much of the week, right at about kick off the line moved slightly in favor of Baltimore, key word slightly. And some places they didn't change the line all that much,
Incredible Opportunity!
It did not take a rocket scientist to figure out Cleveland was in big trouble yesterday despite a stiff defense
Dorian Thompson Robinson, 5th Rd rookie, a guy I'm not very familiar with but likely didn't get a lot of work with Watson there, you could see the score coming
28-3 and a pretty boring game to watch unless you had the Ravens and this wager/gamble did not appear until very late on Sunday
Those are the Sundays I wish I lived in Vegas and could walk straight up to the Sports books.
I can still wager online but would prefer it above board here in Florida, I hear the Seminoles/Hard Rock will have it soon...but not soon enough!
It actually happened twice this past weekend. Vegas has to sit Jimmy G and I felt the Chargers were a good bet even at -6.5, they were up 24-7 but that was a much closer game in the end
so my instincts on Cleve/Balt were right.
-One of my rules on football wagering is only betting the games where I feel I have a huge advantage as a gambler which isn't often.
Most NFL games are just a few points and a few plays from going either way.
Also if you only bet $25-$50 a game, don't think twice about some of this stuff, just keep having fun,
I know a couple guys that do not gamble more than perhaps 1 game a week, some weeks NONE!
They are very disciplined
I feel strongly if you wager a 4 or 5 figure number and do it diligently maybe 8 times a year, Max 1 game a week, I think you could increase your odds of being a big winner at the end of year.
I love my DFS $3 tickets and $20 tickets into the Million dollar weekly contests but the chances are slim you cash in for big money.
I am going to also have some posts with what I feel are games you should be looking for.
-Think about the lions in Africa, the real ones that hunt or starve...they don't go after the biggest bull/buffalo that is going to give them a fight and perhaps take out one or two in their pride
They hunt the weak, they hunt the babies/rookies, they hunt to find those that cannot defend themselves(Miami/Fangio)
Keep an open mind and let's try and stay away from just throwing darts on games for S&G, let's try and uncover the softest possible games and exploit them as much as we can
But primarily I would tell you to avoid most games.
Happy Hunting!
-We find out shortly before kickoff that Deshaun Watson is a no go and the Browns are already dealing with their star RB on the shelf for the season, they play the Ravens
The line was about Cleveland -3 for much of the week, right at about kick off the line moved slightly in favor of Baltimore, key word slightly. And some places they didn't change the line all that much,
Incredible Opportunity!
It did not take a rocket scientist to figure out Cleveland was in big trouble yesterday despite a stiff defense
Dorian Thompson Robinson, 5th Rd rookie, a guy I'm not very familiar with but likely didn't get a lot of work with Watson there, you could see the score coming
28-3 and a pretty boring game to watch unless you had the Ravens and this wager/gamble did not appear until very late on Sunday
Those are the Sundays I wish I lived in Vegas and could walk straight up to the Sports books.
I can still wager online but would prefer it above board here in Florida, I hear the Seminoles/Hard Rock will have it soon...but not soon enough!
It actually happened twice this past weekend. Vegas has to sit Jimmy G and I felt the Chargers were a good bet even at -6.5, they were up 24-7 but that was a much closer game in the end
so my instincts on Cleve/Balt were right.
-One of my rules on football wagering is only betting the games where I feel I have a huge advantage as a gambler which isn't often.
Most NFL games are just a few points and a few plays from going either way.
Also if you only bet $25-$50 a game, don't think twice about some of this stuff, just keep having fun,
I know a couple guys that do not gamble more than perhaps 1 game a week, some weeks NONE!
They are very disciplined
I feel strongly if you wager a 4 or 5 figure number and do it diligently maybe 8 times a year, Max 1 game a week, I think you could increase your odds of being a big winner at the end of year.
I love my DFS $3 tickets and $20 tickets into the Million dollar weekly contests but the chances are slim you cash in for big money.
I am going to also have some posts with what I feel are games you should be looking for.
-Think about the lions in Africa, the real ones that hunt or starve...they don't go after the biggest bull/buffalo that is going to give them a fight and perhaps take out one or two in their pride
They hunt the weak, they hunt the babies/rookies, they hunt to find those that cannot defend themselves(Miami/Fangio)
Keep an open mind and let's try and stay away from just throwing darts on games for S&G, let's try and uncover the softest possible games and exploit them as much as we can
But primarily I would tell you to avoid most games.
Happy Hunting!
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