Think it's a good week to go big at RB and bargain at WR/Flex. Lots of cheapish WRs with high likely targets.
I play mainly 50/50, so look for floor more than ceiling. My common plays this week:
QB - Lamar, Burrow, Carr, Tua -- all look like decent value
RB - Saquon, Mixon, Gibson, few pieces of Taylor, CMC, Jacobs, and Edmonds -- not sure about JT this week with all the Colt WR injuries
WR - Tyreek, Thomas, St. Brown, Metcalf, Cooks, Kirk, Bateman, D Moore, E Moore, Samuel -- lots of appealing options here, so I rotated pretty evenly
TE - Pitts -- literally every roster, so I'm all-in there, zero diversification
DEF - NE, SEA, JAX -- Feel like Indy could be in trouble this week, so Jax for the lowest price appealed to me. Can they slow down JT?
Highest ownership % is Pitts and then probably DJ Moore, Jac DEF, and Gibson after that. Will be in trouble if they flop.
Good to have you back. I always like reading your thoughts.Odd week 2 with not many stud/dual threat Qbs on the slate, and some interesting chalk. My random gpp thoughts:
- Hard pass on a 20-30% owned Defense. I X'd Cinci D out of my pool for gpps. Too much variance at this position, and I figure this is a quick way to get away from a large portion of LUs. I like the idea of pairing Barkley with a much lower owned NYG D - it gets a little correlation with Barkley and pairs him with a more contrarian option since he is chalk.
- My favorite game is Wash/Det, and specifically the pieces and stack of QB + Chark + McLaurin. One of the quicker paced games, and those pieces I listed are all 5% or less and have some upside. You can still pair them with chalkier pieces from the game like Gibson, St. Brown, and Swift. Also makes taking chalk Rbs easier.
- A couple other gpp WRs I wrote down after looking at air yard %, etc. were Landry and Sutton. I will be overweight on them as well.
- As usual for me, RBs are the hardest to find gpp darts for, but Chubb did stand out at 6-7% to maybe use with a chalkier stack like LV.
- In general, I saw the ownership on QBs like Carr, Lamar, Stafford and wrote down QBs around their salary with much less ownership - Wentz, Goff, Mariota, Winston, Ryan stood out to look at harder.
Think it's a good week to go big at RB and bargain at WR/Flex. Lots of cheapish WRs with high likely targets.
I play mainly 50/50, so look for floor more than ceiling. My common plays this week:
QB - Lamar, Burrow, Carr, Tua -- all look like decent value
RB - Saquon, Mixon, Gibson, few pieces of Taylor, CMC, Jacobs, and Edmonds -- not sure about JT this week with all the Colt WR injuries
WR - Tyreek, Thomas, St. Brown, Metcalf, Cooks, Kirk, Bateman, D Moore, E Moore, Samuel -- lots of appealing options here, so I rotated pretty evenly
TE - Pitts -- literally every roster, so I'm all-in there, zero diversification
DEF - NE, SEA, JAX -- Feel like Indy could be in trouble this week, so Jax for the lowest price appealed to me. Can they slow down JT?
Highest ownership % is Pitts and then probably DJ Moore, Jac DEF, and Gibson after that. Will be in trouble if they flop.
Welp, finished 1/100 and 2/100...in two different 50/50s. Bittersweet!
10/13 cashing today for a solid ROI. Mostly 50/50s with a few tiny GPPs mixed in. Nearly doubled my account these last two weeks, which I can't complain about even if it's not as sexy as hitting a big score all at once. Grinding up a little roll.
Smashed it today with Tua/Lamar/budget WRs/Jax D. Enough to overcome spotty RB numbers and a 100% dud from Pitts.
I think I had the right approach going into the week, pairing budget WRs with premium RBs. I just didn't go nuclear anywhere because I missed the big RB hit of the week (Chubb). Makes me wonder...who is even the bankable star RB these days? RB landscape in FF looks as bad as I can ever remember in terms of reliable top guys. Taylor's on a dud of a team. CMC is volatile. Saquon is on a dud of a team. There's just nobody you can look at and say, "Yeah, I'm getting 20 points from this guy today" ala vintage Peterson, Tomlinson, Faulk, etc.
May scale back my investment in the coming weeks as rankings and prices begin to calcify. I've always felt the first couple weeks of the season is the best time to go big because of delayed reactions on certain players/teams.
Early ownership expected to be about 38% on Allen and Hurts. I think Allen will be slightly more owned than Hurts. I also think Allen has the safest floor. I am not playing either. I was surprised that Cook is expected at 70% ownerships, so I am not playing him. Stacking the WRs from the Vikings with Cousins. Good luck to everyone.Couple games tonight. Anyone have any suggestions for the two game slate? I am going to fade Allen and Hurts in my one lineup. I am starting with Cousins and building around JJ and Cook. This is my way of differentiating, right now. I figure Allen and Hurts will be 40% owned or more, but I have not seen projected ownership yet. I will make final lineup decisions once I see some projected ownership numbers. I like Thielen, Smith, Knox, and McKenzie.
Failure. My strategy did not work. Hope everyone else faired better.Early ownership expected to be about 38% on Allen and Hurts. I think Allen will be slightly more owned than Hurts. I also think Allen has the safest floor. I am not playing either. I was surprised that Cook is expected at 70% ownerships, so I am not playing him. Stacking the WRs from the Vikings with Cousins. Good luck to everyone.Couple games tonight. Anyone have any suggestions for the two game slate? I am going to fade Allen and Hurts in my one lineup. I am starting with Cousins and building around JJ and Cook. This is my way of differentiating, right now. I figure Allen and Hurts will be 40% owned or more, but I have not seen projected ownership yet. I will make final lineup decisions once I see some projected ownership numbers. I like Thielen, Smith, Knox, and McKenzie.