Fantasy Football Luck or Skill? (1 Viewer)

[posty]

100% luck... Just like all fantasy sports...

 

[Blackstar]

regular season 90% skill

playoffs 90% luck

any scrub can win 3 straight games. you have to be lucky to win 14,15 and 16

 

[YoUnG GuNz]

Here's an endless debate my friends and I have. How much does skill and luck play into fantsay football?The general reaction is 70% skill 30% luck.Ive see as high as 90% skill 10% luckand as low as 50% skill 50% luck.What do you guys think?

Once your draft is over it's all luck. But you definitely have to do your research for your draft so I'd say 60 skill 40 luck

 

[bicycle_seat_sniffer]

Here's an endless debate my friends and I have. How much does skill and luck play into fantsay football?The general reaction is 70% skill 30% luck.Ive see as high as 90% skill 10% luckand as low as 50% skill 50% luck.What do you guys think?

Once your draft is over it's all luck. But you definitely have to do your research for your draft so I'd say 60 skill 40 luck

nah, waiver wire and trades and the like are not luck

 

[Gambino]

More luck than the guy who wins the league thinks and more skill than the guy who finishes last thinks.

 

[ScoobyDoo]

More luck than the guy who wins the league thinks and more skill than the guy who finishes last thinks.

Thread should end now.

 

[TinHat]

Depends on how skilled your leaguemates are.

By winning a Yahoo public league you could generally consider yourself more skillful than those guys, but if you play with 11 other guys who are just as good as you are, it's 100 % luck.

 

[MelvinTScupper]

it used to be more skill. With all the cheatsheets avail now, it's mostly luck.

 

[SSOG]

The skill is that my team is always contending. But, to win the Super Bowl, it comes down to the luck of how players perform on a given week. All you can do is put your team in position to contend.

Here's a quote from last year on the subject: http://www.rotonation.com/?p=230

The question isn't really meaningful. What are the percentages, skill vs. luck, for poker? It doesn't really matter; skill will always win out in the long run. It only looks like luck if your sample size is too small (like looking at the results of one season in one league).

Good posting, this is what I came in here to say. If a team wins the superbowl this year, that's almost entirely luck. If a team makes the playoffs in 9 out of 10 years, that's almost entirely skill. I'd call an owner with 9 playoff appearances in 10 years (but no championships) significantly better than an owner with 4 playoff appearances but 2 championships.I think the NFL playoffs are very similar in that the best teams aren't the teams that win it all, they're the teams that consistently make the dance. Look at Indy- Indy wasn't the best team in the league last year, San Diego was. And Pittsburgh wasn't the best team in the league the year before, Indy was. And New England wasn't the best team in the league the year before that, Pittsburgh was. And so on, and so forth. The best teams aren't necessarily the ones that win it all, they're the teams that are always in contention- which is why we all know that Philadelphia is a significantly better franchise than Tampa Bay, for instance.

 

[MelvinTScupper]

The skill is that my team is always contending. But, to win the Super Bowl, it comes down to the luck of how players perform on a given week. All you can do is put your team in position to contend.

Here's a quote from last year on the subject: http://www.rotonation.com/?p=230

The question isn't really meaningful. What are the percentages, skill vs. luck, for poker? It doesn't really matter; skill will always win out in the long run. It only looks like luck if your sample size is too small (like looking at the results of one season in one league).

Good posting, this is what I came in here to say. If a team wins the superbowl this year, that's almost entirely luck. If a team makes the playoffs in 9 out of 10 years, that's almost entirely skill. I'd call an owner with 9 playoff appearances in 10 years (but no championships) significantly better than an owner with 4 playoff appearances but 2 championships.

So, if the 2nd teams #1 pick each year went down with a season ending injury in those 6 years he didn't make the playoffs, team 1 is still more skill?

 

[SSOG]

The skill is that my team is always contending. But, to win the Super Bowl, it comes down to the luck of how players perform on a given week. All you can do is put your team in position to contend.

Here's a quote from last year on the subject: http://www.rotonation.com/?p=230

The question isn't really meaningful. What are the percentages, skill vs. luck, for poker? It doesn't really matter; skill will always win out in the long run. It only looks like luck if your sample size is too small (like looking at the results of one season in one league).

Good posting, this is what I came in here to say. If a team wins the superbowl this year, that's almost entirely luck. If a team makes the playoffs in 9 out of 10 years, that's almost entirely skill. I'd call an owner with 9 playoff appearances in 10 years (but no championships) significantly better than an owner with 4 playoff appearances but 2 championships.

So, if the 2nd teams #1 pick each year went down with a season ending injury in those 6 years he didn't make the playoffs, team 1 is still more skill?

Yup. 50% of first round picks bust. If the second team was entirely incapable of overcoming a first round bust, I would say without hesitation that he's not a skilled owner in the slightest- instead, he relies entirely on LUCK (his starters staying healthy), and fails when he doesn't get it.