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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)

Angry Beavers said:
swirvenirvin said:
Tiger Fan said:
Prediction Machine MLB plays for today. 1u except for the 1st one

SD/MIA O6.5 (2u)

STL/PIT O7

ATL/WAS O6.5

LAA/HOU O9
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who is this guy and how has he done?
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Prediction machine is a website. They are offering a free weekend worth of pics. They are usually decent. I think Tiger fan was simply posting their picks for today. HTH
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Yeah....I guess by definition, he's a tout, but he's some sophisticated stats guy who simulates all the games 50k times. If you just register for his site, you have access to all his historical data for any sport.I don't cap games like y'all, and I'm a data guy, so I appreciate the transparency in what he does.

He destroyed the NFL postseason and Super Bowl props.

 
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The good

Preds have visited Sharks six times since 2011. They are 3-3 SU, alternating wins and losses. The O/U is 1-4-1 in those games. The totals have always been low, and this is the first time it has been set above 5.0. The average margin of victory/loss in those games was 1 ±0, and four of the six went into overtime. The average score in those games was 2.0 to 2.0.

The Preds are 5-0 to the over L5 games, averaging 4.4 ±1.1. They are 8-4 L12 as the road dog (avg line 156) and 7-4-1 to the over in those games. They are 7-2 SU and 7-2 to the over in those games as the road dog when the total is lined above 5.0.

The bad

I think the Preds have their backup goalie in tonight, and they are only 4-9 SU and 4-6-3 O/U on B2B. The Sharks are 4-2 SU in their third consecutive home game, but 0-2 SU in those games when their next game is away. Four of those six games went into overtime and the average score was 2.7 to 2.0.

The arbitrary

Since 2006 the Preds are 7-2 SU on no rest when the game starts at 10PM EST or later. Six of 12 Saturday home games have gone into OT for the Sharks. The Sharks are 9-3 SU and 2-9-1 O/U in Saturday home games. 15 of 28 home wins have been by a margin of one goal for the Sharks.

 
Portugal

Sporting lisbon -155

Pacos Ferreira is just outside relegation. Sporting is having on of their better years and aiming for a title.

Big discrepancy in talent level here

 
I like Penguins U30 SOG a lot tonight at SB.

Wild allow 25 shots/game at home.

Penguins average 28 shots/game on the road.

Bovada has the saves line for Bryzgalov set at 27.5 so I like the Under there quite a bit too.

EDIT: SB line dropped to 29.5 (-135). Tougher but I still like it.

 
Aaron Rudnicki said:
I like Penguins U30 SOG a lot tonight at SB.

Wild allow 25 shots/game at home.

Penguins average 28 shots/game on the road.

Bovada has the saves line for Bryzgalov set at 27.5 so I like the Under there quite a bit too.

EDIT: SB line dropped to 29.5 (-135). Tougher but I still like it.
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Just maxed this for $3.

 
Aaron Rudnicki said:
I like Penguins U30 SOG a lot tonight at SB.

Wild allow 25 shots/game at home.

Penguins average 28 shots/game on the road.

Bovada has the saves line for Bryzgalov set at 27.5 so I like the Under there quite a bit too.

EDIT: SB line dropped to 29.5 (-135). Tougher but I still like it.
Click to expand...
Down to 27 -115 at Bovada already. IN

thanks for the NJ winner yesterday.

 
Kudos to Gibbons there for going to Santos in a high leverage non ninth inning spot. He's been good this week about eschewing CW re: closing time

 
Need a run in 3 different 9th innings right now.

1) INDIANS!

2)

3)

Also, nice call on Siena/over Jalapeno. #### was hot!

 
got_nugs said:
Need a run in 3 different 9th innings right now.

1) INDIANS!

2)

3)

Also, nice call on Siena/over Jalapeno. #### was hot!
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Pleasantly pleased with all the runs in the 9th in CLE game.

Helps split the NYY loss.

Really surprised in France , lots of scoring today from teams who normally don't.

Bordeaux blowing a 2 goal lead stunk.

 
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