FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

[tjnc09]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Its at 11 at RB....

Yeah, 11 basically everywhere now. I wouldn't think many people would play that over.

 

[RoxSolid]

4-2 yes

4-2 day (+2.45u). 12-4-1 (+8.85u) overall.


Lot of day games today, but small slate overall.

Mia/Col O7.5

NYM +135

Min/CWS O7.5

2-1 yesterday. Appreciate the love from those guys out there. I've been around for a while, just not a huge poster. Used to play baseball a lot, but haven't for the past 2 seasons.

14-5-1 overall (+9.85u)

Decent slate today:

San Fran +155

St Louis +105

Miami +100

Tor/NYY U8.5

Boston -150

I also lean the following ways - but NO plays

Chi/Phi U11

Min +170

Cin -110

 

[ScoobySnack]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Its at 11 at RB....

Yeah, 11 basically everywhere now. I wouldn't think many people would play that over.

I got an email with this trend this morning on the game. Take it for what its worth...lol

trend play (and only early baseball play today): Cubs home fave games with high totals (higher than 11) are on a 10-0 over run if they did not win by 2+ in previous game, did not have a 11+ total and scored 1-10 runs. The trend is small, but all 10 games ended with 13-21 runs scored, averaging 5.5 runs per game over the total.
PLAY ON: OVER 11.5 in CH. CUBS GAME.

 

[John Bender]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Its at 11 at RB....

Yeah, 11 basically everywhere now. I wouldn't think many people would play that over.

I got an email with this trend this morning on the game. Take it for what its worth...lol

trend play (and only early baseball play today): Cubs home fave games with high totals (higher than 11) are on a 10-0 over run if they did not win by 2+ in previous game, did not have a 11+ total and scored 1-10 runs. The trend is small, but all 10 games ended with 13-21 runs scored, averaging 5.5 runs per game over the total.
PLAY ON: OVER 11.5 in CH. CUBS GAME.

Steve Stevens send that email?

 

[ScoobySnack]

It's going to suck to lose backing the Thunder after fading them last night. I already put the bet in though.

Don't fret Saw...the Thunder beat the Rockets on Jan 11th by 14pts without Westbrook.

 

[ScoobySnack]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Its at 11 at RB....

Yeah, 11 basically everywhere now. I wouldn't think many people would play that over.

I got an email with this trend this morning on the game. Take it for what its worth...lol

trend play (and only early baseball play today): Cubs home fave games with high totals (higher than 11) are on a 10-0 over run if they did not win by 2+ in previous game, did not have a 11+ total and scored 1-10 runs. The trend is small, but all 10 games ended with 13-21 runs scored, averaging 5.5 runs per game over the total.
PLAY ON: OVER 11.5 in CH. CUBS GAME.

Steve Stevens send that email?

Don't think so unless he uses the email systemsforwinner@gmail.com

 

[ChainsawU]

The Thunder are 24-9 SU and 18-15 ATS without Westbrook, including a 104-92 win at Houston on Jan 16 as 2.5-point underdogs. They are 5-1 SU as the dog without Westbrook in the lineup (5-0 L5).

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Detroit Red Wings have a 91% chance to make the playoffs: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern/Atlantic/Detroit.html

Their Stanley Cup odds at my main books are:

SB: 20/1

BV: 25/1

5D: 45/1

I placed a bit on them at 5d. They could certainly beat the Penguins in round 1 and then who knows, especially if they have Datsyuk and Zetterberg in the lineup.

EDIT:

also some value on them to win the East.

SB: 8/1

BV: 14/1

5D: 18/1

 

[Raider Nation]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Just like the good old days. I have no idea why this is, but in the late 80s and 90s, totals from 11 to 14 in Wrigley were common. Or the other extreme. I can remember some 5's when the wind was gusting in.

You rarely see extreme totals like that anymore in that park, and for the life of me I can't figure out why.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Just like the good old days. I have no idea why this is, but in the late 80s and 90s, totals from 11 to 14 in Wrigley were common. Or the other extreme. I can remember some 5's when the wind was gusting in.

You rarely see extreme totals like that anymore in that park, and for the life of me I can't figure out why.

I think it's because the Cubs are terrible.

 

[Tiger Fan]

FWIW, prediction machine has cubs u11 at a 2u play

 

[comfortably numb]

Grand Salami o131 MLB

 

[mquinnjr]

Doing a parlay of Florida -6.5 -110 and Wisco ML +105 for 1U for the final 4 tomorrow.

Get

 

[Raider Nation]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Just like the good old days. I have no idea why this is, but in the late 80s and 90s, totals from 11 to 14 in Wrigley were common. Or the other extreme. I can remember some 5's when the wind was gusting in.

You rarely see extreme totals like that anymore in that park, and for the life of me I can't figure out why.

I think it's because the Cubs are terrible.

I think you need a history lesson.

 

[comfortably numb]

BOS ML -144

BOS -1.5 +130

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Just like the good old days. I have no idea why this is, but in the late 80s and 90s, totals from 11 to 14 in Wrigley were common. Or the other extreme. I can remember some 5's when the wind was gusting in.

You rarely see extreme totals like that anymore in that park, and for the life of me I can't figure out why.

I think it's because the Cubs are terrible.

I think you need a history lesson.

well, there was a steroid era where Sammy Sosa hit about 600 home runs.

 

[Raider Nation]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Just like the good old days. I have no idea why this is, but in the late 80s and 90s, totals from 11 to 14 in Wrigley were common. Or the other extreme. I can remember some 5's when the wind was gusting in.You rarely see extreme totals like that anymore in that park, and for the life of me I can't figure out why.

I think it's because the Cubs are terrible.

I think you need a history lesson.

well, there was a steroid era where Sammy Sosa hit about 600 home runs.

No, I know. I'm going back way before him. My larger point was, the rosters didn't matter. The Cubs could be decent or awful and you'd still see a 14 total. It was completely wind-dependent and you see that much more infrequently now. I have a buddy who is a meteorologist... I'll see if he can enlighten me.

 

[Raider Nation]

Example: http://m.mlb.com/video/topic/7417714/v1307939

I Kingman.

 

[Raider Nation]

Crap. Looks like a bad link.

Search 23-22 Cubs/Phillies. The video from MLB.com will be one of the first results.

 

[tjnc09]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Just like the good old days. I have no idea why this is, but in the late 80s and 90s, totals from 11 to 14 in Wrigley were common. Or the other extreme. I can remember some 5's when the wind was gusting in.

You rarely see extreme totals like that anymore in that park, and for the life of me I can't figure out why.

Yeah I stayed away. I faintly recall Chain posting about a high total last year in Wrigley, but couldn't find the post. My only guess is that the unders came in at a high clip - will need to look into that.

 

[got_nugs]

Cubs Phillies opened at 13.5 with 25 winds blowing out to right/center

Just like the good old days. I have no idea why this is, but in the late 80s and 90s, totals from 11 to 14 in Wrigley were common. Or the other extreme. I can remember some 5's when the wind was gusting in.You rarely see extreme totals like that anymore in that park, and for the life of me I can't figure out why.

I think it's because the Cubs are terrible.

I think you need a history lesson.

well, there was a steroid era where Sammy Sosa hit about 600 home runs.

In a row?

 

[tjnc09]

Totals of 7 or less are 26-13-5 during the day at Wrigley since 2004. A total set at 6.5 is 8-2-0 during the day at Wrigley since 2004.

It would help if I spelled Wrigley with an "e". This was probably the one I was thinking of but isn't for large totals.

 

[ScoobySnack]

This is why I love gambling. I had the Nats 1st 5 ML in a parlay. They had a runner thrown out at home and an inside the park home run overturned(would've given me a push on the ML at least) and then after the overturn Ian Desmond gets thrown out at 3rd base.

 

[ChainsawU]

Cavaliers 7-5 SU L12 road dog (avg line 8.8) and 5-2 ATS as the dog +3 or less on the season.

Cavaliers 100/110

Cavaliers +2½ 118/100

Cavaliers o100½ 110/100

 

[comfortably numb]

Soccer play I like

Spain

Almeira vs Osuna

over 2 goals -145

Both teams are at the bottom of the standings and fighting to get out of the relegation status.

I can't see any of these guys satisfied with a 0-0 draw or clamping down to a 1-0 lead and being content without the other team doing everything they can to tie the game and possibly leaving themselves exposed on the back end.

Almeira game totals at home are over 1.5 goals 68% of the time.

In 15 home games they have scored 20 and conceded 23

Osuna game totals on the road are over 1.5 goals 69% of the time.

In 16 road games they have scored 9 and conceded 31

Osuna ability to score on the road is the only scare I have that this could lead to a 1-0 game but i like the percentages that they can give us 2 goals.

come one boys get me a couple goals

 

[comfortably numb]

Soccer play I like

Spain

Almeira vs Osuna

over 2 goals -145

Both teams are at the bottom of the standings and fighting to get out of the relegation status.

I can't see any of these guys satisfied with a 0-0 draw or clamping down to a 1-0 lead and being content without the other team doing everything they can to tie the game and possibly leaving themselves exposed on the back end.

Almeira game totals at home are over 1.5 goals 68% of the time.

In 15 home games they have scored 20 and conceded 23

Osuna game totals on the road are over 1.5 goals 69% of the time.

In 16 road games they have scored 9 and conceded 31

Osuna ability to score on the road is the only scare I have that this could lead to a 1-0 game but i like the percentages that they can give us 2 goals.

come one boys get me a couple goals

muy bueno!

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

WAS U28 SOG is a solid play at Sportsbook

It opened at 28.5 and is moving, but the Devils only allow 24.3/game at home this year.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Nice one numb.

Kingman emailed my dad once about weather patterns. Actually true. I think he's into sailing or something.

West Ham's backline is dinged up. Going back to the well here:

Liverpool -1.5 (even)

 

[ArbyMelt]

WAS U28 SOG is a solid play at Sportsbook

It opened at 28.5 and is moving, but the Devils only allow 24.3/game at home this year.

FWIW - Bovada has 26.5 saves Schniedier (NJ) on this, under -125

 

[Raider Nation]

I forgot that the Red Sox had an early start today.

Thank God!

 

[comfortably numb]

BOS ML -144

BOS -1.5 +130

Booo.

Hopefully will hit on the over 131

 

[comfortably numb]

I forgot that the Red Sox had an early start today.

I'll gladly donate some losings to you?

Thank God!

 

[TheGooRoo]

Lawson u 8 asst -120

 

[swirvenirvin]

Lawson u 8 asst -120

just moved to -140 but still grabbed it

 

[comfortably numb]

BOS ML -144

BOS -1.5 +130

Booo.Hopefully will hit on the over 131

My luck it will get to 140 and there will be a rain out nulling the bet

 

[Tiger Fan]

Lawson u 8 asst -120

just moved to -140 but still grabbed it

can't find it at SB

 

[Tiger Fan]

Following are all 1u plays from Prediction Machine:

STL/PIT O7

SD/MIA O7.5

CLE/ATL U203 (NBA)

HOU ML +150 (MLB)

CHI/CLS O5.5 (NHL)

NYM ML -105

 

[Raider Nation]

Tanaka and the Yanks -140.

 

[Raider Nation]

Phoenix Coyotes -1.5 (+140)

Oilers/Coyotes o5.5 (+115)

I honestly don't get why the under has been slammed. This doesn't figure to be a defensive slugfest. 5-2 Phoenix seems reasonable.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Mets -103

 

[comfortably numb]

Tanaka and the Yanks -140.

In as well

 

[Raider Nation]

Tanaka and the Yanks -140.

In as well

I'm biased, but I think once he shows he's the real deal, short prices like this will be a memory.

 

[swirvenirvin]

2 NFL futures on Bovada I like. Don't have any projections done yet so didn't unload on these and it sucks tying up money for that long but.

Steve Smith under 950.5 yards receiving

Like this one a little less just cause he really hasnt been healthy and tough on season overs in the NFL

Ben Tate over 800.5 rushing

 

[got_nugs]

I'd like to mark this date in history as the last mother####ing time I bet an under in baseball. It's either an over or a pass.

For this week, anyway.

 

[Raider Nation]

Would have been a bigger 1st inning but Ichiro is still wearing a baseball uniform for some reason.

 

[comfortably numb]

I know. That inning had 5 runs written all over it

 

[Warsteinner]

Anyone interested in a Masters best ball draft? $10 a man?

 

[comfortably numb]

Tanaka and the Yanks -140.

In as well

I'm biased, but I think once he shows he's the real deal, short prices like this will be a memory.

I agree. If this were at home it would already be at -175 range imo. 1-2 strong showings and it's gonna be hard to get him at under 200

 

[comfortably numb]

Anyone interested in a Masters best ball draft? $10 a man?

Sure

Why not

 

[Warsteinner]

Anyone interested in a Masters best ball draft? $10 a man?

SureWhy not

Everyone gets 4 guys and someone smart can make up a neat google doc.