FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (10 Viewers)

[Angry Beavers]

NYY +108 - CC settled in after his first two innings last time out and Hutchinson is due for a correction... or maybe I am on crack...

ATL - 107

Ari/Col o9.5

ML Parlay of STL/CLE/BOS/LAA GLTA

 

[swirvenirvin]

I like the White Sox with Sale on the mound at +money.

I'll take Royals under 3.5 -115

 

[comfortably numb]

Whew...Sweated Liverpool a bit more then I thought I would need to.

Looking good. A few more games this afternoon and several parlays hit.

 

[got_nugs]

Whew...Sweated Liverpool a bit more then I thought I would need to.

Looking good. A few more games this afternoon and several parlays hit.

Lyon won!

If you look at the livescore though....it shows a late goal by the opposition but it either didn't count or I don't understand it. Help?

eta: Looking at the computer(not on phone now) it shows as PEN and X so I assume it was a disallowed goal of some sort

 

[ChainsawU]

Greinke 7-1 SU in April since 2012 (6-0 L6) and 2-6 O/U with an average of 2.6 ±2.7 opponent runs. The average margin of victory in those L6 games was 1.3 ±0.8.

Matt Cain 3-8 SU in April since 2012 and 7-4 O/U with an average of 5.5 ±4.0 opponent runs. Cain is 2-7 SU versus the Dodgers since 2012 with O/U of 3-5-1 in those games (avg total 6.6). Cain was 0-4 SU last year lined at 115 or greater, albeit without much run support. He is 11-22 SU in his career lined at 130 or greater.

 

[comfortably numb]

Whew...Sweated Liverpool a bit more then I thought I would need to.

Looking good. A few more games this afternoon and several parlays hit.

Lyon won!If you look at the livescore though....it shows a late goal by the opposition but it either didn't count or I don't understand it. Help?

eta: Looking at the computer(not on phone now) it shows as PEN and X so I assume it was a disallowed goal of some sort

I'm thinking that means they missed on a penalty kick.Porto/National over 2.5

 

[Raider Nation]

Kinda like the 'Stros and the Brew Crew tomorrow.

Looks like somebody made a big move on Hutchison tonight, Yankees opened at -108 at Pinny and are now at +115.

My dads a novice sports fan and isn't the type to say a bad word about anyone. When I spoke to him the other day he came right out with a "wow the Yankees stink this year, and CC looks terrible and is even more out of shape".

I know it seems ridiculous, but that's enough for me to put a multi unit bet on Toronto.

Seemed like sound reasoning to me.

 

[ChainsawU]

SF 100/140

SF o3 100/100

LA/SF o7 100/102

What the hell action junkie play. Giants are 5-1 SU and 5-1 to the over, and are averaging 6.3 runs per game. Seattle scored 11 runs at Anaheim with this umpire behind the plate last Tuesday.

 

[NIU Kicker]

<blockquote class='ipsBlockquote'data-author="Raider Nation" data-cid="16696917" data-time="1396808163"><p><p><blockquote class="ipsBlockquote" data-author="The Ref" data-cid="16696413" data-time="1396793379">My fault. I forgot the #1 lesson I've learned from the FFAWT. There is so little advantage to betting sides and totals that it can really never be +EV.Time to withdraw most of the rest of my balances and stick to the secondary bets where there is money to be made.

 

[Raider Nation]

Disregard the last post which I deleted. My math was way off.

 

[Raider Nation]

I forgot the #1 lesson I've learned from the FFAWT. There is so little advantage to betting sides and totals that it can really never be +EV.Time to withdraw most of the rest of my balances and stick to the secondary bets where there is money to be made.

Wise man. The good news is that the Red Sox look terrible again. All is right with the world!

 

[ChainsawU]

Keep your head up, fellas.

 

[swirvenirvin]

o, sorry guys I picked up Hutchinson in FB

 

[comfortably numb]

Whew...Sweated Liverpool a bit more then I thought I would need to.

Looking good. A few more games this afternoon and several parlays hit.

Lyon won!If you look at the livescore though....it shows a late goal by the opposition but it either didn't count or I don't understand it. Help?

eta: Looking at the computer(not on phone now) it shows as PEN and X so I assume it was a disallowed goal of some sort

I'm thinking that means they missed on a penalty kick.Porto/National over 2.5

That over was fast.

 

[PatsFanCT]

I know I'm a homer, but if you like value, you should love UConn at 66-1 to win the National Championship.

Great guard play, Great defense, and a nice 7 foot center. Granted, they have looked real good blowing out some not so great teams, but they have been looking stronger and stronger lately, and with no stand out "Best team in the country" in the way, getting 66-1 on a top 25 team isn't the worst thing you can do.

I tailed here, also got Wisconsin at 50-1 on a tail.

had both wisc and uconn from tailing you. Sitting on Uconn 100-1.

I know I should hedge here, but I'm going to say F### it, and let it ride!

Go UConn!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

LA/SF o7 100/102

I like it, OVER 6.5 -125

 

[ChainsawU]

Also, do you know out of however many series are played in a season how many are sweeps as well as how many times the favorite swept and got swept?

How is your system coming. When you say favorite do you mean the favorite to win the series or the favorite to win the final game of the series.

 

[Raider Nation]

Colorado Avalanche -135.

Big.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Whew...Sweated Liverpool a bit more then I thought I would need to.

Looking good. A few more games this afternoon and several parlays hit.

Ugly game for them, West Ham mucked it up pretty good in true West Ham fashion. Hammers got a lucky/unjust break on the goal, but the go-ahead penalty was also questionable. I dunno, I guess it all comes out in the wash.

EPL GOTY next Sunday.

 

[Raider Nation]

Colorado Avalanche -135.

Big.

Adding the Stars -1.5 (+175).

Both are very motivation-based plays. Pittsburgh is locked into the #2 seed and their main objective looks to be not to get guys hurt. Colorado has been playing great (won 6 straight), and they are in the middle of a tight playoff race.

Dallas looks to stay ahead of Phoenix for the last playoff spot, and they really should beat a bad Florida team.

 

[Raider Nation]

From my GB LeRinkRat... one of the rare Covers posters who knows WTF he's talking about.

Penguins were shut out last night @ Minnesota and didn't show much "effort" in that game. Looks like they are cruising into the 2nd seed in the East and doubt Danny Bylsma is going to take ANY chances on a key injury going into the playoffs. they have not been scoring lately with 2 GA's or less in 6 of their last 8.

Varlamov has won his last 6. had a shutout his last @ St Louis yesterday and only 2 GA's in each of his previous four games and 6 of previous 7.

Penguins really have nothing to play for and listening to their broadcast team yesterday it seems like Bylsma will be cautious with his top players. they have called up a couple of AHL players for their WBS AHL team and I wouldn't be suprised to see Crosby, Kunitz, Neal and company get limited ice time.

Meanwhile with the Blues regulation loss in Chicago Patrick Roy's Avalanche are in striking distance of St Louis for Central or even the Western conference lead AND are only 1 point ahead of the Blackhawks. I think they will play their hearts out yet again today. No Matt Duchene hurts BUT they have been winning without him.

Unmotivated team vs one fighting for home ice.

 

[got_nugs]

That's 1

 

[Raider Nation]

2

 

[comfortably numb]

Avalanche ML

Avalanche -1.5

 

[comfortably numb]

Whew...Sweated Liverpool a bit more then I thought I would need to.

Looking good. A few more games this afternoon and several parlays hit.

Ugly game for them, West Ham mucked it up pretty good in true West Ham fashion. Hammers got a lucky/unjust break on the goal, but the go-ahead penalty was also questionable. I dunno, I guess it all comes out in the wash.

EPL GOTY next Sunday.

Liverpool better bring the A game

 

[comfortably numb]

From my GB LeRinkRat... one of the rare Covers posters who knows WTF he's talking about.

Penguins were shut out last night @ Minnesota and didn't show much "effort" in that game. Looks like they are cruising into the 2nd seed in the East and doubt Danny Bylsma is going to take ANY chances on a key injury going into the playoffs. they have not been scoring lately with 2 GA's or less in 6 of their last 8.

Varlamov has won his last 6. had a shutout his last @ St Louis yesterday and only 2 GA's in each of his previous four games and 6 of previous 7.

Penguins really have nothing to play for and listening to their broadcast team yesterday it seems like Bylsma will be cautious with his top players. they have called up a couple of AHL players for their WBS AHL team and I wouldn't be suprised to see Crosby, Kunitz, Neal and company get limited ice time.

Meanwhile with the Blues regulation loss in Chicago Patrick Roy's Avalanche are in striking distance of St Louis for Central or even the Western conference lead AND are only 1 point ahead of the Blackhawks. I think they will play their hearts out yet again today. No Matt Duchene hurts BUT they have been winning without him.

Unmotivated team vs one fighting for home ice.

-150 & +205 @ RB

 

[Raider Nation]

Seguin with a masterful deflection past his own goalie!

 

[modogg]

whenever anybody says they have a lock in gambling you know they are being silly, but we have a lock here. obvioulsy best for parlays, but anywhere you can find it:

Undertaker -7000

it really is a lock though

i wanna bet more Wrestlemania but i don't kee[ up enough anymore. somebody please chime in with anything. this is all i got for now:

236754702-1 4/2/14 1:13pm $25.00 $118.98 Pending 3 Team Parlay

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 105 Qualifying Winner wins Triple Threat -3000* vs Field wins Triple Threat

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 133 Undertaker (end of broadcast ruling) -7500* vs Brock Lesnar (end of broadcast ruling)

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 153 John Cena (end of broadcast ruling) +450* vs Bray Wyatt (end of broadcast ruling)

 

[Raider Nation]

Avs now -165. Hope you got in early.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Avs now -165. Hope you got in early.

Pens sitting Crosby and others.

 

[got_nugs]

Pens sitting buncha dudes

 

[Raider Nation]

Avs now -165. Hope you got in early.

Pens sitting Crosby and others.

Saw you sent that two seconds after I posted. Love it. Now if Dallas can just get their heads out of their ###.

 

[Raider Nation]

Just as well. Glad the gutless bastards are gonna lose. Hope it costs them the playoffs.

 

[Raider Nation]

Pittsburgh Penguins ‏@penguinsCrosby (upper body), Kunitz (lower body), Orpik (lower) & Maatta (upper) out. None of the injuries are expected to be long-term.

You don't say....

 

[comfortably numb]

Soooo this means the Pens win 4-2 right?

 

[got_nugs]

I have 7 units on this game. Largest hockey play ever. I cannot name a single starter on the ice if Malkin/Crosby are out, for either team.

I suppose I won't be getting my own CNBC wagering show anytime soon.

LETS GO AVS

 

[The Ref]

I have 7 units on this game. Largest hockey play ever. I cannot name a single starter on the ice if Malkin/Crosby are out, for either team.

I suppose I won't be getting my own CNBC wagering show anytime soon.

LETS GO AVS

See now if this type of stuff was on the show it would be solid gold. Sharp X sees Pitt resting all stars and estimates line is off by 100 cents before Las Vegas desperately catches up.... good "real" story line there.

 

[got_nugs]

I have 7 units on this game. Largest hockey play ever. I cannot name a single starter on the ice if Malkin/Crosby are out, for either team.

I suppose I won't be getting my own CNBC wagering show anytime soon.

LETS GO AVS

See now if this type of stuff was on the show it would be solid gold. Sharp X sees Pitt resting all stars and estimates line is off by 100 cents before Las Vegas desperately catches up.... good "real" story line there.

I'm in. Who's got a camera? I have enough self confidence that i'll play the heel. Been doing it 37 years now.

ACTION!

 

[Raider Nation]

It would be neat if the overmatched Pens started losing soon.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

It would be neat if the overmatched Pens started losing soon.

Don't wiry yiu can always double tomorrow's bet

Disclaimer...been drinking

 

[Raider Nation]

It would be neat if the overmatched Pens started losing soon.

Don't wiry yiu can always double tomorrow's bet

Disclaimer...been drinking

It's gonna be hard to double this one.

 

[ChainsawU]

I have 7 units on this game. Largest hockey play ever. I cannot name a single starter on the ice if Malkin/Crosby are out, for either team.

I suppose I won't be getting my own CNBC wagering show anytime soon.

LETS GO AVS

See now if this type of stuff was on the show it would be solid gold. Sharp X sees Pitt resting all stars and estimates line is off by 100 cents before Las Vegas desperately catches up.... good "real" story line there.

I'm in. Who's got a camera? I have enough self confidence that i'll play the heel. Been doing it 37 years now.

ACTION!

I could do it very tastefully, and promise to not release the video until you are 100% comfortable with it. I just have a few things for you to sign and we need to get you a spray tan.

 

[comfortably numb]

Damn penguins

 

[Dan Lambskin]

It would be neat if the overmatched Pens started losing soon.

Don't wiry yiu can always double tomorrow's bet

Disclaimer...been drinking

It's gonna be hard to double this one.

ARE YTOU A 20 DIME PLAYER OR NOT???

 

[got_nugs]

THE SEAS ARE ROUGH! THE SHIP IS COMING APART!

 

[got_nugs]

MAN OVERBOARD! MAN OVERBOARD!!

 

[modogg]

whenever anybody says they have a lock in gambling you know they are being silly, but we have a lock here. obvioulsy best for parlays, but anywhere you can find it:

Undertaker -7000

it really is a lock though

i wanna bet more Wrestlemania but i don't kee[ up enough anymore. somebody please chime in with anything. this is all i got for now:

236754702-1 4/2/14 1:13pm $25.00 $118.98 Pending 3 Team Parlay

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 105 Qualifying Winner wins Triple Threat -3000* vs Field wins Triple Threat

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 133 Undertaker (end of broadcast ruling) -7500* vs Brock Lesnar (end of broadcast ruling)

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 153 John Cena (end of broadcast ruling) +450* vs Bray Wyatt (end of broadcast ruling)

P.S. you guys suck

 

[Clorox]

whenever anybody says they have a lock in gambling you know they are being silly, but we have a lock here. obvioulsy best for parlays, but anywhere you can find it:

Undertaker -7000

it really is a lock though

i wanna bet more Wrestlemania but i don't kee[ up enough anymore. somebody please chime in with anything. this is all i got for now:

236754702-1 4/2/14 1:13pm $25.00 $118.98 Pending 3 Team Parlay

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 105 Qualifying Winner wins Triple Threat -3000* vs Field wins Triple Threat

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 133 Undertaker (end of broadcast ruling) -7500* vs Brock Lesnar (end of broadcast ruling)

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 153 John Cena (end of broadcast ruling) +450* vs Bray Wyatt (end of broadcast ruling)

P.S. you guys suck

Good call here Mo. Ballsy to take Cena since all faces have won so far. I thought Wyatt would go over. Taker is a lock. Bryan should win the main event. Only worry is that not a single heel has won.

 

[modogg]

whenever anybody says they have a lock in gambling you know they are being silly, but we have a lock here. obvioulsy best for parlays, but anywhere you can find it:

Undertaker -7000

it really is a lock though

i wanna bet more Wrestlemania but i don't kee[ up enough anymore. somebody please chime in with anything. this is all i got for now:

236754702-1 4/2/14 1:13pm $25.00 $118.98 Pending 3 Team Parlay

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 105 Qualifying Winner wins Triple Threat -3000* vs Field wins Triple Threat

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 133 Undertaker (end of broadcast ruling) -7500* vs Brock Lesnar (end of broadcast ruling)

Pending 4/6/14 8:00pm Wrestling Other Sports 153 John Cena (end of broadcast ruling) +450* vs Bray Wyatt (end of broadcast ruling)

P.S. you guys suck

Good call here Mo. Ballsy to take Cena since all faces have won so far. I thought Wyatt would go over. Taker is a lock. Bryan should win the main event. Only worry is that not a single heel has won.

yup. i had Cena by himself too so it is a plus night for me no matter. Had Big Show to win the battle royal at +600.

but i think the all face thing is ok. Sure Cena is the good guy, but the crowd all wanted Wyatt to win. Just a different age with some of this stuff.

 

[Raider Nation]

This game makes absolutely no sense, other than the fact I bet it big. They didn't take Pittsburgh's lineup seriously.

Sigh... we move on. Sorry to all who tailed.