FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (8 Viewers)

[ChainsawU]

I am backing Yu. He is cheap to bet, but is 4-0 SU this season against -120 or better, 5-0 SU L5 against -120 or better, and 9-4 SU in his career against -120 or better. Ray has been successful in two starts this season but it was versus Minnesota and Houston. It also looks like a decent split on the consensus action.

 

[got_nugs]

I am backing Yu. He is cheap to bet, but is 4-0 SU this season against -120 or better, 5-0 SU L5 against -120 or better, and 9-4 SU in his career against -120 or better. Ray has been successful in two starts this season but it was versus Minnesota and Houston. It also looks like a decent split on the consensus action.

I'm backing you too brother. Do your thing.

 

[ChainsawU]

The Padres are 1-6 SU against a line of -132 or less this season and 0-6 L6 (avg line -145). No way you pay -150 to bet them tonight.

 

[Raider Nation]

That wasn't the same "You're winning when the game starts" ridiculousness that Pirelli's buddy said about football. You can get wacky non-offensive points in football to ruin an under -- a pick-6, a punt return, etc.

But I agree with this guy's point. If you have two pitchers you feel good about, you are winning... until you aren't. They have to score those runs to beat you.

 

[Raider Nation]

I overslept and missed Saw The Greek's Texas lock. :(

 

[John Bender]

See you guys in June :wave:

 

[tjnc09]

Ozuna

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm going to the Great Lakes Loons game tonight. Someone ship me a total play.

 

[got_nugs]

I'm going to the Great Lakes Loons game tonight. Someone ship me a total play.

OVER!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[got_nugs]

Ozuna

MIKE DUNN

 

[lumpy19]

BOS -153....line doesn't matter here fellas, sox bring this one home

 

[Dan Lambskin]

I hate Unders

 

[got_nugs]

I hate Unders

i've been sayin

 

[John Bender]

I hate Unders

PUT YOUR NUTS ON THE TABLE. IM GONNA NEED YOU TO GO TO THE BANK AND TAKE OUT MORE CASH AND WE'RE GONNA DOUBLE THE BET TOMORROW. FAIR ENOUGH?

 

[regularguy]

I'm going to the Great Lakes Loons game tonight. Someone ship me a total play.

One of my employees has a son who pitches for the Loons. Wish I could help you "Cash" in.

 

[got_nugs]

I'm going to the Great Lakes Loons game tonight. Someone ship me a total play.

One of my employees has a son who pitches for the Loons. Wish I could help you "Cash" in.

oh. I thought this was hockey.

UNDER!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Raider Nation]

B2B moon shots off of Lester.

 

[Raider Nation]

I went with a parlay tonight of the NY Rangers -170 and o5 (+105).

$450 to win $1,015

Tough spot for the kid goalie at MSG. I think the Rangers throw a crapload of pucks at him and this could spiral out of control fast. Looking for at least 4 goals from NY.

And if I'm wrong, at least I'll be very, very drunk at Hooters with a GB.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Buehrle vs. Lester has the makings of a nice under tomorrow afternoon unless there are some huge wind gusts at Fenway. Darvish @ DET possibly, also.

Bet you can't guess who tailed these

 

[got_nugs]

Hey Grant Balfour....eat a large ####.

 

[Raider Nation]

Buehrle vs. Lester has the makings of a nice under tomorrow afternoon unless there are some huge wind gusts at Fenway. Darvish @ DET possibly, also.

Bet you can't guess who tailed these

I didn't play them, but sorry. :(

8.5 o20 made no sense to me in the TOR/BOS game so I got scared off. That game was 7-2 after 2. Still 7-2 in the 9th. Incredibly weird.

 

[Frostillicus]

So I had the under 7 in MIA/PHI and the under 7 in OAK/TB. 0-0-2 is better than 0-2, but sheesh.

 

[tjnc09]

So I had the under 7 in MIA/PHI and the under 7 in OAK/TB. 0-0-2 is better than 0-2, but sheesh.

Fading me already? Thanks Frosty

 

[got_nugs]

Between the 2 of you...we are locking in profits!

 

[Frostillicus]

So I had the under 7 in MIA/PHI and the under 7 in OAK/TB. 0-0-2 is better than 0-2, but sheesh.

Fading me already? Thanks Frosty

Independent, of course. Wasn't thrilled to see we were on opposite sides.

 

[tjnc09]

So I had the under 7 in MIA/PHI and the under 7 in OAK/TB. 0-0-2 is better than 0-2, but sheesh.

Fading me already? Thanks Frosty

Independent, of course. Wasn't thrilled to see we were on opposite sides.

Just messing with ya. Weird day for several totals.

 

[Raider Nation]

I went with a parlay tonight of the NY Rangers -170 and o5 (+105).

$450 to win $1,015

Tough spot for the kid goalie at MSG. I think the Rangers throw a crapload of pucks at him and this could spiral out of control fast. Looking for at least 4 goals from NY.

3 games in the series so far. Wrong on the total 3 times. Gambling is neat!

 

[mquinnjr]

I went with a parlay tonight of the NY Rangers -170 and o5 (+105).

$450 to win $1,015

Tough spot for the kid goalie at MSG. I think the Rangers throw a crapload of pucks at him and this could spiral out of control fast. Looking for at least 4 goals from NY.

3 games in the series so far. Wrong on the total 3 times. Gambling is neat!

Not so fast my friend

 

[Warsteinner]

Reds/Cards o7.5.

 

[Raider Nation]

I went with a parlay tonight of the NY Rangers -170 and o5 (+105).

$450 to win $1,015

Tough spot for the kid goalie at MSG. I think the Rangers throw a crapload of pucks at him and this could spiral out of control fast. Looking for at least 4 goals from NY.

3 games in the series so far. Wrong on the total 3 times. Gambling is neat!

Not so fast my friend

Best push of my life!

Still need the Rags to win, but I'll take it. I was dead in the water 5 minutes ago.

 

[Raider Nation]

Put a little taste on Montreal live +130 to lock in something that's not quite a profit.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Used past stats, rotoworld and site projections here to try to figure these out. Did ok last yr on the handful I made plus hit that Scherzer CY. But here goes still have 20 some pitchers to look at. FYFYIFYIYFIYFIYF The units are consistent, but they are not the same unit size I play NFL props

1.5

Pedroria over 163.5 hits -115

1.25

Chris Davis over 36 HR's -115

Paul Goldschmidt over 29.5 HR's -120

Hanley Ramirez over 21.5 HR's -115

1

Adam Jones over 164.5 hits -115

Bryce Harper under 157.5 hits -115

Buster Posey under 162.5 hits -115

Ian Kinsler over 147.5 hits -1115

Edwin Encarnacion over 30.5 HR's -115

David Ortiz over 23.5 HR's -115

Prince Fielder under 31.5 HR's +120

Matt Moore under 13.5 wins -105

Julio Teheran over 11.5 wins -125

Couldn't find a margin of greater than 1 for any of the remaining pitchers so this is it.

Looks like Matt Moore could be done

http://www.tampabay.com/sports/baseball/rays/rays-matt-moore-placed-on-15-day-dl-mri-inconclusive/2174188

dead guy #2. Harper down for the count..

http://www.rotoworld.com/headlines/mlb/427946/harper-(thumb)-needs-surgery-out-until-july

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY0WxgSXdEE

Buster Posey is next

 

[Warsteinner]

Anyone else have the Nebraska lady baseball ML?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Am I a bad person if I bet on the USA at -250 to not qualify for the knockout round? Because man that bet looks good.

 

[ChainsawU]

Shelby Miller is 28-13 SU (.683) in his career. This season he is 6-3 SU (.667) and 5-0 SU L5. Shelby Miller is 14-2 SU when he throws 99 or more pitches in the previous game - the two losses were identical, five-run losses at Pittsburgh on Apr 17 2013 and Aug 30 2013 in which the Cardinals scored zero total runs. Shelby Miller is 5-0 SU with 3ER allowed in 32.2 IP when he is trying to extend a three-game winning streak.

Bailey is coming off a season-worst start of 3.2 IP. Since 2012 Bailey has lasted 4.0 or fewer innings six times. In the subsequent game he went 2-4 SU (0-4 home) against an average line of -120 with 14ER allowed in 40 IP.

Cards -107

 

[Raider Nation]

Saw, whatever you're doing, keep doing it. But I notice that almost all of your breakdowns are about the pitchers. They are the most important people in all of sports, right there with the QB, but do you not take into account how a team is currently hitting, or do you just not have time to write about it?

 

[swirvenirvin]

Shelby Miller is 28-13 SU (.683) in his career. This season he is 6-3 SU (.667) and 5-0 SU L5. Shelby Miller is 14-2 SU when he throws 99 or more pitches in the previous game - the two losses were identical, five-run losses at Pittsburgh on Apr 17 2013 and Aug 30 2013 in which the Cardinals scored zero total runs. Shelby Miller is 5-0 SU with 3ER allowed in 32.2 IP when he is trying to extend a three-game winning streak.

Bailey is coming off a season-worst start of 3.2 IP. Since 2012 Bailey has lasted 4.0 or fewer innings six times. In the subsequent game he went 2-4 SU (0-4 home) against an average line of -120 with 14ER allowed in 40 IP.

Cards -107

Bailey blows I like it

 

[Tiger Fan]

tailing Chain

 

[got_nugs]

Sorry if this is a honda but what the the thread stance on reparations?

 

[ScoobySnack]

Sorry if this is a honda but what the the thread stance on reparations?

I believe that we all are owed reparations from the Gambling Gods for all that they have stolen from us in the past!

 

[got_nugs]

Sorry if this is a honda but what the the thread stance on reparations?

I believe that we all are owed reparations from the Gambling Gods for all that they have stolen from us in the past!

In case you guys aren't aware, today is not quite national "act like Balfour day" so I thought I'd come in and start lighting #### on fire.

The gods gave us Sawparations.

 

[tjnc09]

1/4u each

Col/Atl o7 -120

KC/LAA o7.5 +115

Oak/Tor o9 -110

Was/Pit o7 +105

Mil/Mia o7 -114

Min/SF o7 -125

47-29 +15.79

I think I know what I should change on my sides and will see how that has performed last 10 days.

 

[ChainsawU]

Saw, whatever you're doing, keep doing it. But I notice that almost all of your breakdowns are about the pitchers. They are the most important people in all of sports, right there with the QB, but do you not take into account how a team is currently hitting, or do you just not have time to write about it?

As a matter of fact the Padres rank dead last in the majors in BA (.222), wOBA (.274) OBP (.278), and SLG (.348), while ranking second-worst in hard-hit average (.132) and soft-hit average (.468). So Edwin Jackson should pitch deep into tonight's game. He has enjoyed quite a May with a 1.80 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 23 K's and just three walks in 20 IP. These three starts were against the Chicago White Sox, Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers, who have lineups far superior to the San Diego Padres. link

The Padres are now 0-7 L7 against a line of -130 or less with an average of 1.3 ±1.3 runs scored in those seven games.

 

[ScoobySnack]

I like Mia -115 this evening. Tom Koehler is 3-0(Team is 4-0) in four home starts this year with a 0.64 ERA. He has a 22 inning scoreless streak going at home this season plus Mia is 19-6 at home so far this season.

 

[tjnc09]

Cubs away: BA .235, SLG .363, OPS .657, wOBA .291

Padres home: BA .237, SLG .369, OPS .658, wOBA .289



Where are those hard hit and soft hit averages from Chain?

 

[Raider Nation]

1/4u each

Col/Atl o7 -120

KC/LAA o7.5 +115

Oak/Tor o9 -110

Was/Pit o7 +105

Mil/Mia o7 -114

Min/SF o7 -125

47-29 +15.79

No offense, but that can't possibly be your record since you started posting them here.

 

[tjnc09]

1/4u each

Col/Atl o7 -120

KC/LAA o7.5 +115

Oak/Tor o9 -110

Was/Pit o7 +105

Mil/Mia o7 -114

Min/SF o7 -125

47-29 +15.79

No offense, but that can't possibly be your record since you started posting them here.

It's not. That's quite obvious.

 

[Raider Nation]

Oh, well I'm 89-1 in the stuff I don't post here.

 

[tjnc09]

Oh, well I'm 89-1 in the stuff I don't post here.

I doubt that.

 

[ChainsawU]

Before everyone collectively rolls their eyes, I PMed someone who posts in here my plays yesterday before they started and they went 21-5 +19u (the first five days averaged about +5u per day). If they want to verify, that's up to them.

The record is legit.