hmm. I don't see the angle with Miami, but I guess it could make sense with Miami coming off a bye and Green Bay on the road after 2 divisional opponents.
Sup Mo. The situation is Green Bay coming of three division games and travelling to play out of conference (Sharps Report>Hi). Since 1996 that situation results in: 20-35-0 SU (.364) and 24-30-1 ATS (.444) against an average line of 2.6. Narrowed down to the favorites you get 8-8 SU and 6-10 ATS (avg line -4.2). And then you have Green Bay's history playing in Florida:
Old trend alert, because the last time the Packers went to Florida to play football was Nov 08, 2009. But they have gone 3-9 SU and 4-8 ATS (avg line +1) in Florida since 1998. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in Florida (avg line -3.7) since Favre left. Home dogs of 3 or less coming off a bye are 19-20 SU and 19-19-1 ATS since 1998, so you might not need the 3 points with Miami if that's the side you want.
It's definitely a weird situation, but I think you might be right and wouldn't fade the Packers - people might be reading too much into the situation. It's also easy to fade the Pack because you always see them on TV playing in the snow.
I think Miami off the bye probably holds more weight than anything, but haven't done anything to be able to back that up. And again, like Sharps Report said, public love Rogers at the low price. We will know soon enough though.
this play, in for 2U. -8 is generally a sort of scary number to lay in the NFL, but it doesn't scare me in this case. Could see Romo having a total melt down in CenturyLink against that defense, and Wilson running all over that defense.
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Alot of overs today 
