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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

tjnc09 said:
BRONG said:
tjnc09 said:
BRONG said:
What is the contrarian play on the next game? I forgot who was posting that and I can't find it. TIA HTH
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There is none Iowa is 50.3%. It has gone 5-1 the last two days though with Kansas St. (56.5%) and Washington (59.1%) lopsided for the last two games.
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Cool, thanks. I'm already on KSU, but I did want Okie State...so I doubled it.

What are the rest, if you don't mind?
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Right now:

Kansas St. -1 56.7% (56%, 61%, 58%, 60,% 61.5%)

Washington -7 58.6% (59%, 79%, 65%, 78%, 69.1%)

East Carolina +7 55.9% (56%, 47%, 49%, 46%, 51.3%)

Toledo -3.5 57.4% (57%, 77%, 68%, 76%, 55.1%)

Oregon -7 53.6% (54%, 64%, 69%, 62%, 67.2%)

It doesn't seem like they mean much the night before, I can post them right before kick. For example, Stanford was 59.3% the night before and closed at 53.2%. A few others moved 5-10%.

ETA: all the sites % I use . Wash and Toledo seem to be the clear outliers. Oregon is way too early imo.
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Interesting that E. Carolina is probably the only dog in there that is getting above 55%

 
Saturday Pucks:

Lots of games tomorrow, not a lot that excites me.

Habs +130

You're going to give me plus money on the team that is probably playing better than anyone right now because Pitt beat TB tonight? I'll take a chance here.

Will probably look to be on Stars -1 1/2 at home against the Wild. Wild have owned this series this year but Stars are really playing well right now.

Would love to parlay the Rangers with someone but don't have enough confidence in Winnipeg and the payout wouldn't be enough to make me pull that trigger anyhow. Have my eyes on a few OT games and still need to see end of St. Louis game and see what the number in the Phil/NJ game is, although outside of maybe OT, nothing interests me in that game.

 
So at half in the K-State game, you knew Snyder would have those guys still fight. And adjust or whatever. But Peterson? I'm not buying. Haven't looked at the line because I've been compulsive tindering but I have to think OSU.

Wecome to suggestions, BTW, HTH, TIA.

 
Wow Okie State +6 now. Washington was quitting already. Could very well be wrong but I am thinking of doubling down on the Cowboys.

 
tjnc09 said:
Wash and Toledo seem to be the clear outliers. Oregon is way too early imo.
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Washington was the heaviest consensus favorite at Sports Interactions the last two days. The heaviest: 67% the last two days. Out of all the games, that single game had been sticking out like a sore thumb. ESPECIALLY since - like you said - all these public plays have been losing. All day yesterday AND today it was like, how has that not moved to 8 yet? And then today, two hours before kickoff, the 7 went to -123 and then finally broke through to 6.5 about twenty minutes before kickoff. That was strong, strong, textbook stuff. Strong, red flag, lights flashing on and off, ATS and ML textbook-type stuff. Especially, especially since it was the last game of the night - think about it. Out of all the games across the board, even NBA, it was the last game to bet on, and it was on ESPN to boot - national television - square city. You are telling me that the underdog, who only three out of every 10 people had been betting on, gets bet down through the key number of 7? Twenty minutes before kickoff? That is a pound town, textbook example of how to use these consensus numbers, my friend. And a play like that just doesn't happen very often, but when it does, turn that frown upside-down, buddy. And take yourself a little trip to town. A little trip to pound town. You know what I'm talkin about. Thank you, TJ.

 
I forget who my favorite player in college football history's name is (this bowl season) but I know his number, it's 91. :banned:

 
Fell asleep at about 9, woke up at midnight and now I'm wired. Literally, watching season III of the wire on demand. XFINITY is cheaper than Verizon, and has like 20X the on demand stuff. Less HD but meh, still good.

What is the deal with guys going door-to-door trying to sell roofing? Like three times the last six months, and I don't need a ####### roof! "Well we can get up there and take a look." No mother####er, I don't need you to look. The roof is 12 years old.

 
Raider Nation said:
BRONG said:
I forget who my favorite player in college football history's name is (this bowl season) but I know his number, it's 91. :banned:
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http://screengrabber.deadspin.com/fat-guys-47-yard-reception-enters-annals-of-legendary-f-1677222879?utm_campaign=socialflow_deadspin_twitter&utm_source=deadspin_twitter&utm_medium=socialflow
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I can't count how many great things went on just there; really, I'll lose count. But my favorite is the end, where he made sure to stay inbounds. :lmao: How many times do we see otherwise? A lot. And they should all know better; it's so easy.

2nd favorite thing was him scrambling for the ball after. Even though he knew he was down. He knew even more to realize that refs and replays can be absolutely ridiculous (and bought). Especially in these scenarios.

Yeah, love that guy. Almost as much as Bradlee Van Pelt. :football:

 
What's the play in this ECU/Florida game at noon??

Does the small conference team with the dynamic offense have success against the big conference team with the great defense?

 
Getzlaf15 said:
BRONG said:
And when he goes in motion! :lmao: Lmao: :lmao:
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The DB or LB falls down right after the snap so he won't get run over. :lmao:
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I can't stop laughing. Seriously, the whole thing, it's so great. What other coaches would've done this??? With the game on the line. I don't even know the ####### coach's name right now, but ### #### if I don't love him more than my momma. And the kid was a senior. He must've worked his butt off every day for four years. So Coach gave the dog a bone. And another one when it really mattered! Awesome.

 
BRONG said:
Getzlaf15 said:
BRONG said:
And when he goes in motion! :lmao: Lmao: :lmao:
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The DB or LB falls down right after the snap so he won't get run over. :lmao:
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I can't stop laughing. Seriously, the whole thing, it's so great. What other coaches would've done this??? With the game on the line. I don't even know the ####### coach's name right now, but ### #### if I don't love him more than my momma. And the kid was a senior. He must've worked his butt off every day for four years. So Coach gave the dog a bone. And another one when it really mattered! Awesome.
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This was brought to me by a mother.... of children.

 
tonydead said:
modogg said:
tonydead said:
Mo, this Jon Jones guy a real bet?
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:thumbup: i hope so. don't play him like 2.5 units, but i'm still thinking he takes this fight 8 or 9 times out of 10.
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OK. 4 units it is then.

Oh, and Romo
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:scared: Hope those units are small, but yeah i like the bet still. Just the reason a little heavier is because it is one of the more exciting and anticipated fights to come around in awhile, but yeah, my money is on Jones on every book i can play him at.

 
modogg said:
tonydead said:
modogg said:
tonydead said:
Mo, this Jon Jones guy a real bet?
Click to expand...
:thumbup: i hope so. don't play him like 2.5 units, but i'm still thinking he takes this fight 8 or 9 times out of 10.
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OK. 4 units it is then.

Oh, and Romo
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:scared: Hope those units are small, but yeah i like the bet still. Just the reason a little heavier is because it is one of the more exciting and anticipated fights to come around in awhile, but yeah, my money is on Jones on every book i can play him at.
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In! It's only $ bro! Let's get this!

 
If one of you east coast guys are up and bored any of these nights, can you let me know what time CBB totals become available on BetOnline. I would much appreciate it.

 
Just watched the official weigh-ins. First off, I just feel real bad for Josh Burkman, Lombard looks terrifying. I want to do more on four of the fights: Last Call Castillo versus the Felder dude with the dyke haircut; Felder looks like he might be in over his head. Secondly, I'd like to see Cody Garbrandt whoop Brimage. Third, Jury looks a lot smaller than Cerrone so I thought Jury would pay more than just 130. And I also thought Tavares should be paying-out more, currently offered between 110 and 125, depending on where you look. Got an eye on every single fighter, though. Also thought it was funny that you had to pay seven to win one with Horiguchi. I guess it's on tomorrow night. UFC gets me higher than any other sport.

 
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